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AEL vs Keravnos Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.0
AEL
Cyprus
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Keravnos
Cyprus
Position#2
Record5-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game75.2
CyprusDivision ARound 14· Nicos Solomonides Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · AEL v Keravnos
29 Dec 2026
AEL v KER
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
AEL87
KER82
22 Apr 2026
AEL81
KER85
19 Oct 2025
AEL77
KER87
03 May 2025
AEL72
KER81
31 Jan 2025
AEL94
KER91
22 Apr 2024
AEL61
KER75
29 Jan 2024
AEL62
KER71
15 Mar 2023
AEL78
KER92
17 Feb 2022
AEL67
KER81
02 Jan 2021
AEL55
KER83
09 Nov 2019
AEL75
KER99
12 Dec 2018
AEL71
KER74
02 Dec 2014
AEL0
KER20
17 Jan 2014
AEL58
KER76
24 Nov 2013
AEL67
KER82
30 Jan 2013
AEL46
KER70
24 Nov 2012
AEL62
KER66
02 Mar 2012
AEL50
KER90
07 Jan 2012
AEL46
KER150
31 Mar 2011
AEL76
KER65
23 Mar 2011
AEL88
KER73
15 Jan 2011
AEL79
KER75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEL win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Keravnos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
45avg 73
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 73
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 73
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 73
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
76-58
76
58
+18
74avg 73
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 73
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
68avg 73
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
20-11
14-17
20-14
22-16
23-14
18-10
21-24
12-22
20-11
22-15
19-13
10-10
23-16
16-16
19-21
16-14
24-19
19-22
23-16
16-17
16-22
27-28
21-14
17-19
147.0Avg total
75.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.0147.8+7.880%
Season at home (2)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)76.374.7151.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)75.971.1147.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)76.468.6145.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.684.0154.6-13.422%
vs Similar (9)87.379.9167.2+7.489%
vs Weaker (12)80.169.8149.8+10.383%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
95-62
95
62
+33
97avg 86
A10/10
Division A
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
88-78
88
78
+10
92avg 86
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 86
H18/10
Division A
Szczecin
#16
L
65-78
65
78
-13
57avg 86
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#7
W
90-75
90
75
+15
98avg 86
A24/10
Division A
Vienna Basket
#32
W
85-83
85
83
+2
81avg 86
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
99avg 86
H31/10
Division A
Nancy
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A07/11
Division A
Parnu
#39
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
26-20
20-14
18-14
23-21
22-16
18-26
25-15
24-22
19-21
35-18
13-21
18-22
21-19
16-19
10-18
19-19
21-18
32-15
18-23
26-22
22-25
22-20
15-16
18-29
26-14
22-29
28-12
17-20
21-22
18-23
17-21
17-21
23-19
24-11
16-22
17-21
22-20
15-11
32-13
161.3Avg total
84.7Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.075.2165.2+14.8100%
Season at home (2)92.583.0175.5+9.5100%
Season away (3)88.370.0158.3+18.3100%
Last 10 (10)84.776.6161.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)83.678.2161.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)75.178.0153.1-2.938%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.874.4166.2+17.490%
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
AELKeravnos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
ENBL
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.277.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.535.577.0+5.985%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.577.0-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.676.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.940.676.4-4.744%-
vs Similar (9)41.838.780.4+3.167%-
vs Weaker (12)41.233.774.8+7.583%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Achilleas K.
#10
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A10/10
Division A
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Morphou
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/10
Division A
Szczecin
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
Division A
Vienna Basket
#32
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H31/10
Division A
Nancy
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/11
Division A
Parnu
#39
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
83.8Avg total
43.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.438.783.0+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.937.783.6+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.939.682.5+3.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.583.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.684.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.042.080.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.140.479.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.737.984.5+8.876%-
This opponent (AEL) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
34.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.4
70.6%
72.9%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.2
55.4%
52.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.2
39.3%
34.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
72.9%13.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEL
LWWWWWWLWL
Keravnos
WWLWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#2
+2.4
Net rating
+20.3
92.1
Offensive rating
106.5
89.7
Defensive rating
86.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
56.7%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.8%
3-point %
39.3%
62.3%
Assist %
72.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 106.5Defence89.7 · 86.2Shooting50.3% · 56.7%3-point %28.8% · 39.3%Ball care14.3% · 14.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ AEL   ■ Keravnos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEL wins
8
Keravnos wins
DateGameScore
02/05/26Keravnos v AEL92-60
29/04/26AEL v Keravnos87-82
25/04/26Keravnos v AEL86-66
22/04/26AEL v Keravnos81-85
18/04/26Keravnos v AEL80-87
04/04/26Keravnos v AEL101-58
04/01/26Keravnos v AEL65-63
19/10/25AEL v Keravnos77-87
07/05/25Keravnos v AEL102-85
03/05/25AEL v Keravnos72-81
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADonar Groningen81-83
07/11/26AAnorthosis82-74
03/11/26HTal Tech74-67
30/10/26HMorphou71-49
26/10/26AETHA Engomi74-70
21/10/26HFyllingen76-58
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AParnu86-65
07/11/26AApoel BC80-73
03/11/26ANancy73-86
31/10/26HAnorthosis94-84
27/10/26AVienna Basket85-83
24/10/26AApollon90-75
21/10/26HSzczecin65-78
18/10/26HMorphou91-82
14/10/26ANitra Blue Wings88-78
10/10/26AAchilleas K.95-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEL
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game77.880.076.3
Allowed / game70.063.074.7
Point differential+7.8+17.0+1.7
Avg total147.8143.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keravnos
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.092.588.3
Allowed / game75.283.070.0
Point differential+14.8+9.5+18.3
Avg total165.2175.5158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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