Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Apr 2022

Tip-off: 13:30

Final 95-69

33-15 19-12 18-21 25-21

Position#1

Record23-1

FormLLLWW

Points / game90.9

Allowed / game53.5

Astana 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#4

Record6-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game69.4

Allowed / game84.9

National LeagueNational League - Semi-finals

Other2021-22

Meetings · Astana v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Zenit Petersburg

60-94

-34

58avg 59

H27/03

VTB United League

Lokomotiv Kuban

57-109

109

-52

47avg 59

A30/03

VTB United League

Nizhny Novgorod

49-69

-20

46avg 59

H03/04

VTB United League

Kaspiy Aktau

97-64

+33

no box

A05/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

108-52

108

+56

no box

A06/04

National League

CSKA Moscow

48-96

-48

33avg 59

H10/04

VTB United League

Parma Perm

65-82

-17

55avg 59

H13/04

VTB United League

Enisey

65-76

-11

59avg 59

A17/04

VTB United League

Aktobe

100-58

100

+42

no box

H20/04

National League

Aktobe

100-32

100

+68

no box

H21/04

National League

15-25

19-23

12-23

14-23

11-35

18-28

8-26

20-20

9-9

11-18

18-25

11-17

17-17

31-12

23-22

26-13

23-16

31-15

33-11

21-10

8-23

19-21

13-31

8-21

13-25

14-12

12-26

26-19

14-14

14-18

22-16

15-28

31-17

24-19

20-11

25-11

19-0

30-4

25-15

26-13

148.1Avg total

74.9Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	90.9	53.5	144.4	+37.4	96%
Season at home (12)	89.2	50.9	140.2	+38.3	92%
Season away (12)	92.5	56.1	148.6	+36.4	100%
Last 10 (10)	74.9	73.2	148.1	+1.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	75.6	68.8	144.4	+6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	64.6	88.1	152.7	-23.5	9%
vs Similar (3)	69.0	74.0	143.0	-5.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	88.8	53.4	142.2	+35.3	94%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Aktobe

20-0

+20

no box

A11/03

National League

Aktobe

59-71

-12

no box

A12/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

76-81

-5

no box

H19/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

77-54

+23

no box

H20/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

92-86

no box

H27/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

78-84

-6

no box

H28/03

National League

Atyrau

78-92

-14

no box

A03/04

National League

Atyrau

90-98

-8

no box

A04/04

National League

Aktobe

82-93 OT

-11

no box

A07/04

National League

Aktobe

65-71

-6

no box

A08/04

National League

–

19-16

12-15

9-21

19-19

20-17

18-24

20-15

18-25

27-18

17-2

18-23

15-11

24-18

22-13

25-23

21-32

18-25

20-12

21-20

19-27

23-26

18-19

12-30

25-17

24-30

16-17

14-22

36-29

13-18

15-13

15-16

26-22

18-15

20-20

9-16

18-20

144.7Avg total

71.7Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	69.4	84.9	154.3	-15.5	25%
Season at home (12)	71.3	87.4	158.8	-16.1	33%
Season away (12)	67.5	82.3	149.8	-14.8	17%
Last 10 (10)	71.7	73.0	144.7	-1.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	87.6	166.2	-9.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	67.4	88.4	155.8	-21.0	15%
vs Similar (6)	79.8	77.5	157.3	+2.3	50%
vs Weaker (4)	80.8	74.0	154.8	+6.8	75%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	17.9	38.8	+3.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	16.9	37.9	+4.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.8	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	18.1	34.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	14.9	20.5	35.5	-5.6	18%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	24.3	41.7	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	26.1	14.6	40.7	+11.5	87%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	22.6	41.4	-3.7	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	23.4	43.1	-3.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	21.6	39.6	-3.7	21%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.5	24.4	41.9	-6.8	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.3	19.3	39.7	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	18.8	41.5	+4.0	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	17.3	36.9	+2.2	48%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.0	38.1	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.8	35.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.3	20.8	37.1	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar (3)	13.0	17.0	30.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.2	14.9	38.1	+8.3	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	19.7	37.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	15.0	32.6	+2.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.7	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.7	14.2	33.8	+5.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.5	20.0	42.5	+2.5	75%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zenit Petersburg

34-48

-14

H27/03

VTB United League

Lokomotiv Kuban

29-63

-34

A30/03

VTB United League

Nizhny Novgorod

20-27

-7

H03/04

VTB United League

Kaspiy Aktau

48-29

+19

A05/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

54-31

+23

A06/04

National League

CSKA Moscow

27-44

-17

H10/04

VTB United League

Parma Perm

27-37

-10

H13/04

VTB United League

Enisey

28-32

-4

A17/04

VTB United League

Aktobe

55-36

+19

H20/04

National League

Aktobe

49-4

+45

H21/04

National League

72.2Avg total

37.1Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	35.2	75.7	+5.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.9	34.0	74.9	+6.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.8	36.9	76.8	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	35.1	72.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	30.6	67.8	+6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	31.2	41.4	72.5	-10.2	9%	-
vs Similar (3)	30.3	41.3	71.7	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	49.3	29.5	78.7	+19.8	100%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Aktobe

31-31

A12/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

38-41

-3

H19/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

44-20

+24

H20/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

46-31

+15

H27/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

38-37

H28/03

National League

Atyrau

41-45

-4

A03/04

National League

Atyrau

40-47

-7

A04/04

National League

Aktobe

28-31

-3

A07/04

National League

Aktobe

38-35

A08/04

National League

73.6Avg total

38.2Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.9	42.2	79.1	-5.3	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.0	41.6	79.6	-3.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	42.9	78.6	-7.2	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.2	35.3	73.6	+2.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	34.2	45.7	79.9	-11.6	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.0	33.5	73.5	+6.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	45.2	38.8	84.0	+6.5	75%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	16.6	35.9	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.1	16.8	37.9	+4.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.5	21.9	37.4	-6.5	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.7	15.7	35.3	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.0	12.9	34.9	+9.1	93%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	22.4	40.3	-4.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	22.4	40.7	-4.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	22.4	39.9	-4.8	14%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.9	20.7	36.6	-4.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	20.8	35.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.2	23.9	40.2	-7.7	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	16.6	36.3	+3.1	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	16.5	36.8	+3.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.7	21.9	37.6	-6.2	27%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	13.7	29.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	23.4	13.3	36.7	+10.1	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	21.8	39.9	-3.6	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	23.3	40.2	-6.3	13%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	20.1	39.6	-0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.9	22.4	44.3	-0.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	23.0	47.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.8	22.1	40.9	-3.3	32%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	22.7	40.8	-4.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (4)	14.8	18.8	33.5	-4.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.0	33.2	72.2	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	33.1	70.5	+4.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.3	33.3	74.7	+8.0	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.1	75.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.2	76.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	31.2	43.8	75.0	-12.6	18%	-
vs Similar (3)	35.7	29.3	65.0	+6.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	45.4	26.2	71.6	+19.2	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.1	44.1	80.2	-8.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	45.7	80.9	-10.4	7%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.0	42.5	79.5	-5.5	29%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.8	43.1	80.9	-5.3	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	43.8	82.8	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	35.1	46.1	81.1	-11.0	16%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.8	44.0	83.8	-4.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	35.5	35.2	70.8	+0.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.5	13.8	45.2%	50.5%	27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.8	30.4%	30.4%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	12.0	7.7	64.2%	69.6%	7.7

They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	19.2	56.8%	50.5%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.6	36.4%	30.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	14.1	10.4	73.8%	69.6%	10.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	16.8	50.5%	50.5%	33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.4	33.7%	30.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	13.7	9.5	69.4%	69.6%	9.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.5	53.8%	50.5%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.3	35.5%	30.4%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	69.6%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
20/01/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	50-105
19/01/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	60-102
13/12/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	112-49
12/12/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	107-48
23/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	54-94
22/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	50-100
07/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	0-20
06/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	107-57
18/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	82-110
17/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	72-88

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/04/22	H	Aktobe	100-32
20/04/22	H	Aktobe	100-58
17/04/22	A	Enisey	65-76
13/04/22	H	Parma Perm	65-82
10/04/22	H	CSKA Moscow	48-96
06/04/22	A	Kaspiy Aktau	108-52
05/04/22	A	Kaspiy Aktau	97-64
03/04/22	H	Nizhny Novgorod	49-69
30/03/22	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	57-109
27/03/22	H	Zenit Petersburg	60-94

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/22	A	Aktobe	65-71
07/04/22	A	Aktobe	82-93 OT
04/04/22	A	Atyrau	90-98
03/04/22	A	Atyrau	78-92
28/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	78-84
27/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	92-86
20/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	77-54
19/03/22	H	Kaspiy Aktau	76-81
12/03/22	A	Aktobe	59-71
11/03/22	A	Aktobe	20-0

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	96%
Home	LWWWW	92%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	96%	92%	100%
Points / game	90.9	89.2	92.5
Allowed / game	53.5	50.9	56.1
Point differential	+37.4	+38.3	+36.4
Avg total	144.4	140.2	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	96%	92%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2021-22

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	25%
Home	LLWWL	33%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	25%	33%	17%
Points / game	69.4	71.3	67.5
Allowed / game	84.9	87.4	82.3
Point differential	-15.5	-16.1	-14.8
Avg total	154.3	158.8	149.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	8%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	24	23	1	96%	90.9	53.5	+37.4
2	Atyrau	24	17	7	71%	76.3	71.1	+5.2
3	Aktobe	24	9	15	38%	65.0	74.5	-9.5
4	Tobol Kostanay	24	6	18	25%	69.4	84.9	-15.5
5	Kaspiy Aktau	24	5	19	21%	63.5	81.1	-17.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	33	19	18	25	95
Tobol Kostanay	15	12	21	21	69

← all games of the day

Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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