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Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-76
10-23 19-17 24-17 15-19
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Al Gharafa 🏆
Qatar
Position#5
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2026-27
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Gharafa
13 Oct 2026
AL A68
AL G76
22 Oct 2025
AL A98
AL G83
10 Mar 2025
AL A81
AL G66
30 Dec 2023
AL A86
AL G74
13 May 2023
AL A59
AL G53
09 Mar 2022
AL A81
AL G90
20 Nov 2021
AL A81
AL G83
27 Dec 2020
AL A62
AL G105
04 Jan 2020
AL A71
AL G86
10 Feb 2019
AL A70
AL G67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H05/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
78-67
78
67
+11
no box
A12/02
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
A20/02
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H23/02
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
55avg 80
A23/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
A26/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
85avg 80
H28/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
H29/03
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
65avg 80
H30/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
63-102
63
102
-39
no box
A01/04
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
15-18
22-19
16-12
15-13
15-23
27-15
21-16
7-15
13-20
17-28
23-20
17-21
21-21
13-17
17-20
20-25
20-24
11-24
18-20
9-24
26-24
20-19
18-23
19-20
22-22
25-25
22-26
17-24
16-18
19-29
17-25
18-26
29-24
15-15
11-15
21-27
15-28
9-32
18-15
157.7Avg total
72.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.085.7157.7-13.720%
Last 5 (5)73.292.2165.4-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.379.9151.2-8.629%
vs Similar (5)71.075.6146.6-4.620%
vs Weaker (11)93.778.5172.3+15.2100%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
79-102
79
102
-23
67avg 83
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
89avg 83
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
62avg 83
A25/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 83
A29/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 83
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
100-73
100
73
+27
101avg 83
A05/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
103-99
103
99
+4
94avg 83
H08/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 83
H12/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
122-119
122
119
+3
118avg 83
A21/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
97-117
97
117
-20
85avg 83
H24/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
24-13
13-29
24-32
23-19
18-33
26-24
32-35
17-19
19-25
16-27
25-27
15-28
19-20
22-34
26-19
26-23
19-19
13-29
27-27
16-19
33-14
24-21
27-19
24-20
33-23
24-33
22-23
27-26
27-35
23-26
23-22
27-22
31-29
29-38
35-30
28-31
16-29
29-32
24-25
197.1Avg total
94.4Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.4102.7197.1-8.330%
Last 5 (5)104.4103.4207.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)85.996.6182.4-10.714%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.687.0180.6+6.678%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
Al AhliAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nuwaidrad
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H05/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A12/02
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A20/02
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H23/02
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A23/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A26/03
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H29/03
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H30/03
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A01/04
Premier League
80.3Avg total
36.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.979.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.338.479.6+2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)38.341.279.6-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)36.144.280.3-8.10%-
Last 5 (5)38.447.485.8-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.840.574.3-6.721%-
vs Similar (5)38.440.879.2-2.420%-
vs Weaker (11)47.838.786.5+9.191%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A25/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A05/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H12/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A21/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H24/01
QBL
93.5Avg total
46.0Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.345.388.5-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.047.090.0-4.036%-
Last 30 away (16)43.543.887.2-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)46.047.593.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)52.449.6102.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)42.245.487.6-3.233%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.845.090.8+0.856%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.626.7
58.6%
52.2%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.3
31.5%
31.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.011.8
69.4%
67.4%11.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.025.6
59.5%
52.2%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.8
34.6%
31.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.613.0
66.3%
67.4%13.0
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLLLLLLLWW
Al Gharafa
LWLWWLLLLL
#8
League position
#5
+7.8
Net rating
-10.2
103.2
Offensive rating
107.0
95.4
Defensive rating
117.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
56.5%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.9%
39.3%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.5%
3-point %
34.6%
51.2%
Assist %
50.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 107.0Defence95.4 · 117.2Shooting54.7% · 56.5%3-point %31.5% · 34.6%Ball care15.1% · 13.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Al Ahli wins
3
Al Gharafa wins
DateGameScore
12/01/26Al Gharafa v Al Ahli100-109
22/10/25Al Ahli v Al Gharafa98-83
10/03/25Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-66
01/01/25Al Gharafa v Al Ahli82-90
30/12/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa86-74
15/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli61-95
13/05/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa59-53
10/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli73-58
09/03/22Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-90
06/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli76-75
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26AAl Muharraq63-102
30/03/26HAl Sadd73-80
29/03/26HAl Muharraq69-96
28/03/26HAl-Rayyan88-93
26/03/26AAl Muharraq73-90
23/03/26AAl-Rayyan69-93
23/02/26HAl Hala68-79
20/02/26AAl Muharraq60-83
12/02/26AAl Manama78-67
05/02/26HNuwaidrad79-74
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HAl Arabi97-117
21/01/26AAl Khor122-119
12/01/26HAl Ahli100-109
08/01/26HQatar Sports103-99
05/01/26AAl Shamal100-73
01/01/26HAl Wakrah85-98
29/12/25AAl-Rayyan82-101
25/12/25AAl Sadd77-98
15/12/25AQatar Sports99-111
11/12/25HAl Sadd79-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Al Gharafa
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Sadd110100%102.065.0+37.0
2 Qatar Sports1010%65.0102.0-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1019241568
Al Gharafa2317171976
← all games of the day
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