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Alba Berlin vs Anadolu Efes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-97
15-22 25-15 25-27 24-33
Position#18
Record2-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#10
Record6-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game86.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 13· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Anadolu Efes
31 Oct 2024
ABE70
EFS86
07 Dec 2023
ABE89
EFS97
23 Mar 2023
ABE95
EFS93
11 Nov 2021
ABE63
EFS90
13 Oct 2020
ABE72
EFS93
06 Mar 2013
ABE86
EFS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Anadolu Efes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
W
97-81
97
81
+16
98avg 80
A06/11
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 80
H10/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
92avg 80
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 80
H15/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 80
A17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
75-108
75
108
-33
66avg 80
H19/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-99
75
99
-24
60avg 80
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 80
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 80
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
46avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
20-22
26-16
22-16
26-27
21-33
23-22
15-17
22-16
20-15
24-13
26-20
13-28
22-15
20-10
13-20
20-18
20-25
15-22
19-24
19-22
18-35
21-25
17-26
17-27
16-17
18-23
24-32
21-19
13-28
29-21
16-19
14-29
28-29
24-23
15-21
13-20
12-8
14-17
25-17
165.4Avg total
79.0Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.785.8161.4-10.117%
Season at home (5)77.681.4159.0-3.840%
Season away (7)74.388.9163.1-14.60%
Last 10 (10)79.086.4165.4-7.430%
Last 5 (5)74.891.6166.4-16.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.885.6161.4-9.815%
vs Similar (2)93.090.0183.0+3.050%
vs Weaker (15)89.981.0170.9+8.967%
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEfes
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
78avg 78
H09/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
85-75
85
75
+10
85avg 78
H11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 78
A14/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 78
A16/11
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
82avg 78
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#11
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 78
H24/11
Euroleague
Manisa
#6
W
99-79
99
79
+20
103avg 78
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 78
A01/12
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
101-92 OT
101
92
+9
no box
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
W
71-68
71
68
+3
61avg 78
H05/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
25-12
13-20
23-28
21-21
26-18
26-19
12-17
28-25
20-19
21-22
20-16
18-19
21-24
22-20
15-29
20-18
15-22
24-11
20-13
22-22
28-23
14-29
36-20
25-22
26-18
25-16
23-23
21-22
28-21
21-29
13-25
26-17
25-18
17-20
16-29
23-15
14-16
13-21
21-16
169.4Avg total
86.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.286.2166.4-5.950%
Season at home (6)83.884.0167.8-0.283%
Season away (6)76.788.3165.0-11.717%
Last 10 (10)86.982.5169.4+4.480%
Last 5 (5)90.886.0176.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.585.5161.0-10.050%
vs Similar (14)83.387.9171.2-4.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.278.5165.7+8.793%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
Alba BerlinAnadolu Efes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/11
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H10/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H19/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A23/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
84.4Avg total
38.4Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.786.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.887.1+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.144.686.7-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.446.084.4-7.610%-
Last 5 (5)34.246.881.0-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.844.582.2-6.78%-
vs Similar (2)53.046.599.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (15)46.542.789.3+3.867%-
This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H09/11
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H11/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Monaco
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A14/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A16/11
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A19/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#11
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H24/11
Euroleague
Manisa
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H27/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A01/12
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
A03/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H05/12
Euroleague
83.1Avg total
44.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.183.0+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.239.083.2+5.280%-
Last 30 away (15)41.641.282.8+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.683.1+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)47.638.886.4+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.043.082.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (14)42.341.383.6+1.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.138.582.6+5.679%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.2
53.4%
53.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.7
29.8%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.5
75.3%
77.4%12.5
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.9
58.1%
53.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.3
40.2%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.012.9
80.6%
77.4%12.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLLLLLWLW
Anadolu Efes
WWLWWWLWWW
#18
League position
#10
-9.8
Net rating
+8.3
103.2
Offensive rating
120.0
113.0
Defensive rating
111.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
59.0%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
21.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.8%
3-point %
40.2%
59.2%
Assist %
63.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 120.0Defence113.0 · 111.7Shooting50.0% · 59.0%3-point %29.8% · 40.2%Ball care21.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds36.4% · 30.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Anadolu Efes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alba Berlin wins
7
Anadolu Efes wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas64-62
30/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-102
26/11/23ALudwigsburg79-87
23/11/23AReal Madrid75-99
19/11/23HSyntainics MBC75-108
17/11/23APartizan74-89
15/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne68-73
12/11/23HBasketball Braunschweig92-64
10/11/23HPanathinaikos85-99
06/11/23ATubingen97-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/23HPanathinaikos71-68
03/12/23APetkim Spor101-92 OT
01/12/23ACrvena zvezda83-97
27/11/23HManisa99-79
24/11/23HPartizan100-94
19/11/23AMerkezefendi79-64
16/11/23AOlimpia Milano76-92
14/11/23AMonaco89-82
11/11/23HTofas85-75
09/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas86-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %17%40%0%
Points / game75.777.674.3
Allowed / game85.881.488.9
Point differential-10.1-3.8-14.6
Avg total161.4159.0163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Anadolu Efes
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%83%17%
Points / game80.283.876.7
Allowed / game86.284.088.3
Point differential-5.9-0.2-11.7
Avg total166.4167.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%89.175.6+13.5
2 Barcelona129375%83.477.3+6.1
3 Virtus Bologna128467%82.881.2+1.6
4 Monaco127558%79.478.3+1.1
5 Baskonia127558%82.882.0+0.8
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv127558%85.586.6-1.1
7 Panathinaikos126650%81.779.8+1.9
8 Olympiacos126650%78.176.3+1.8
9 Partizan126650%87.686.8+0.8
10 Fenerbahce126650%80.881.2-0.4
11 Bayern126650%80.081.2-1.2
12 Valencia126650%74.877.2-2.4
13 Anadolu Efes126650%80.286.2-5.9
14 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%78.680.1-1.5
15 Crvena zvezda124833%81.980.5+1.4
16 Olimpia Milano124833%79.878.3+1.4
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1221017%82.289.9-7.7
18 Alba Berlin1221017%75.785.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1525252489
Anadolu Efes2215273397
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