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Alba Berlin vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-99
26-27 21-33 23-22 15-17
Position#18
Record1-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#2
Record2-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 7· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos
03 Oct 2024
ABE77
PAO87
10 Nov 2023
ABE85
PAO99
19 Oct 2022
ABE94
PAO65
06 Apr 2022
ABE87
PAO78
26 Feb 2021
ABE74
PAO65
06 Feb 2015
ABE59
PAO65
16 Jan 2013
ABE73
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
L
88-100
88
100
-12
78avg 82
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 82
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
96avg 82
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
70avg 82
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 82
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 82
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 82
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
114-77
114
77
+37
121avg 82
A30/10
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 82
A02/11
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
97-81
97
81
+16
98avg 82
A06/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
25-29
16-19
20-32
21-25
26-26
14-25
25-15
23-17
28-17
25-17
20-20
11-27
15-17
25-23
25-20
16-18
24-29
16-20
19-19
22-27
32-17
22-18
22-18
12-18
23-19
22-24
28-21
39-14
17-25
29-24
29-14
14-15
25-26
15-15
17-23
29-27
20-22
26-16
22-16
172.0Avg total
88.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.884.2161.0-7.317%
Season at home (2)85.586.5172.0-1.050%
Season away (4)72.583.0155.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)88.683.4172.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)93.079.8172.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.282.6156.9-8.412%
vs Similar (4)90.583.8174.2+6.875%
vs Weaker (18)88.475.2163.6+13.383%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
66avg 74
H09/10
Basket League
Bayern
#15
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 74
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
61avg 74
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
57avg 74
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
73avg 74
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 74
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
88avg 74
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
66-54
66
54
+12
57avg 74
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 74
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
112-60
112
60
+52
112avg 74
H06/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
31-13
22-16
13-26
23-11
14-19
17-18
24-23
11-13
13-23
22-19
20-9
9-27
19-16
17-24
24-16
15-20
9-19
25-18
23-15
31-20
25-25
30-9
25-21
24-22
24-21
22-23
25-15
11-12
17-19
17-12
21-11
20-21
13-24
14-26
25-9
33-12
29-15
27-15
23-18
155.7Avg total
83.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.881.5160.3-2.733%
Season at home (4)83.081.5164.5+1.550%
Season away (2)70.581.5152.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)83.272.5155.7+10.770%
Last 5 (5)91.270.0161.2+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.373.6134.9-12.314%
vs Similar (5)73.878.6152.4-4.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.271.1158.3+16.178%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +6.0+6.0
Alba BerlinPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A07/10
BBL
Baskonia
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H12/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#11
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H15/10
German Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A18/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A20/10
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/10
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/11
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/11
BBL
88.4Avg total
44.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.085.8+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.640.487.0+6.269%-
Last 30 away (17)43.441.484.8+2.065%-
Last 10 (10)44.943.588.4+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.088.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.042.080.0-4.025%-
vs Similar (4)48.242.891.0+5.5100%-
vs Weaker (18)47.140.187.2+6.978%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H09/10
Basket League
Bayern
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H12/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A14/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A17/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H20/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H06/11
Basket League
75.5Avg total
38.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.075.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.137.781.8+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)32.436.468.8-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.875.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.283.6+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.638.469.0-7.929%-
vs Similar (5)34.840.875.6-6.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.235.477.7+6.867%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.8
56.4%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.1
38.0%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.715.7
84.0%
77.4%15.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.4
53.6%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
36.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.414.7
72.1%
77.4%14.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWWWLLWLL
Panathinaikos
WLWWWLLWWW
#18
League position
#2
+6.6
Net rating
+14.6
115.3
Offensive rating
112.5
108.7
Defensive rating
97.9
56.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.0%
3-point %
36.6%
63.1%
Assist %
53.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 112.5Defence108.7 · 97.9Shooting56.6% · 54.1%3-point %38.0% · 36.6%Ball care19.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alba Berlin wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23ATubingen97-81
02/11/23AValencia71-79
30/10/23AGottingen114-77
26/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82
22/10/23HVechta98-80
20/10/23AMonaco75-86
18/10/23AVirtus Bologna76-87
15/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig96-71
12/10/23HBaskonia86-91
07/10/23AUlm88-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23HApollon Patras112-60
03/11/23ABarcelona72-80
30/10/23AOlympiacos66-54
27/10/23HBaskonia95-81
23/10/23HLavrio111-75
20/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-86 OT
17/10/23AFenerbahce69-83
14/10/23APeristeri66-64
12/10/23HBayern78-71
09/10/23HMaroussi82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game76.885.572.5
Allowed / game84.286.583.0
Point differential-7.3-1.0-10.5
Avg total161.0172.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.883.070.5
Allowed / game81.581.581.5
Point differential-2.7+1.5-11.0
Avg total160.3164.5152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%88.074.2+13.8
2 Barcelona65183%83.770.2+13.5
3 Fenerbahce75271%83.177.6+5.6
4 Virtus Bologna75271%84.080.1+3.9
5 Valencia75271%73.372.6+0.7
6 Monaco64267%78.574.8+3.7
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv64267%86.387.3-1.0
8 Olympiacos73443%76.175.0+1.1
9 Partizan73443%86.086.0+0.0
10 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%83.084.6-1.6
11 Baskonia73443%79.784.6-4.9
12 Anadolu Efes73443%77.785.9-8.1
13 Crvena zvezda62433%80.579.2+1.3
14 Panathinaikos62433%78.881.5-2.7
15 Olimpia Milano72529%77.076.1+0.9
16 Bayern72529%73.079.3-6.3
17 Alba Berlin61517%76.884.2-7.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne61517%80.091.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2621231585
Panathinaikos2733221799
← all games of the day
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