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Real Madrid vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 99-75
27-17 17-16 23-18 32-24
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#18
Record1-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game85.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Alba Berlin
21 Nov 2024
MAD98
ABE84
23 Nov 2023
MAD99
ABE75
17 Nov 2022
MAD90
ABE72
14 Dec 2021
MAD87
ABE64
22 Dec 2020
MAD91
ABE62
12 Mar 2015
MAD93
ABE62
22 Feb 2013
MAD77
ABE72
12 Mar 2009
MAD83
ABE82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 74
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
83avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 74
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
91-68
91
68
+23
82avg 74
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
100-74
100
74
+26
104avg 74
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 74
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 74
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-73
91
73
+18
102avg 74
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 74
H19/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
23-17
25-19
21-10
27-14
20-20
18-27
17-15
12-19
16-11
23-11
14-23
30-11
22-14
15-18
24-25
25-13
15-21
22-31
21-11
26-27
27-10
15-14
32-23
20-11
16-22
27-23
24-28
24-26
19-23
20-13
13-11
30-20
23-19
27-11
11-23
25-26
29-13
18-27
21-33
161.4Avg total
85.6Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.973.9160.8+13.0100%
Season at home (5)87.472.2159.6+15.2100%
Season away (3)86.076.7162.7+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)85.675.8161.4+9.890%
Last 5 (5)89.480.6170.0+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)87.093.8180.8-6.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.876.7165.4+12.196%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
96avg 81
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 81
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
114-77
114
77
+37
121avg 81
A30/10
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 81
A02/11
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
97-81
97
81
+16
98avg 81
A06/11
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-99
85
99
-14
75avg 81
H10/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
92avg 81
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
68-73
68
73
-5
57avg 81
H15/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 81
A17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
75-108
75
108
-33
66avg 81
H19/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
32-17
22-18
22-18
12-18
23-19
22-24
28-21
39-14
17-25
29-24
29-14
14-15
25-26
15-15
17-23
29-27
20-22
26-16
22-16
26-27
21-33
23-22
15-17
22-16
20-15
24-13
26-20
13-28
22-15
20-10
13-20
20-18
20-25
15-22
19-24
19-22
18-35
21-25
17-26
169.1Avg total
85.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.485.1161.6-8.711%
Season at home (4)81.086.2167.2-5.225%
Season away (5)72.884.2157.0-11.40%
Last 10 (10)85.983.2169.1+2.750%
Last 5 (5)78.886.6165.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.585.0161.5-8.510%
vs Similar (3)91.383.7175.0+7.767%
vs Weaker (17)89.078.8167.8+10.276%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
Real MadridAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H19/11
ACB
81.0Avg total
44.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.337.181.5+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.135.981.0+9.167%-
Last 30 away (15)43.638.381.9+5.380%-
Last 10 (10)44.836.281.0+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.487.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)46.542.288.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)44.136.280.3+7.972%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H22/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/10
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/11
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/11
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H10/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H12/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/11
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H19/11
BBL
87.8Avg total
43.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.087.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.343.588.7+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)43.542.586.0+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.487.8-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.887.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.144.883.9-5.710%-
vs Similar (3)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (17)46.841.988.8+4.971%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.7
58.4%
53.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.8
35.0%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.518.2
84.7%
77.4%18.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.1
57.5%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.1
33.2%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.915.8
83.6%
77.4%15.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWWW
Alba Berlin
LLLWLWLWWW
#1
League position
#18
+13.6
Net rating
+4.4
115.4
Offensive rating
113.0
101.9
Defensive rating
108.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
33.2%
69.1%
Assist %
66.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 113.0Defence101.9 · 108.7Shooting55.7% · 54.2%3-point %35.0% · 33.2%Ball care18.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.1% · 35.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HUnicaja93-99
16/11/23HMonaco91-73
14/11/23AValencia76-73
12/11/23ABilbao87-84
09/11/23HVirtus Bologna100-74
05/11/23AGranada83-76
29/10/23HPalencia91-68
26/10/23HBarcelona65-64
22/10/23ATenerife82-76
19/10/23HOlimpia Milano88-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HSyntainics MBC75-108
17/11/23APartizan74-89
15/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne68-73
12/11/23HBasketball Braunschweig92-64
10/11/23HPanathinaikos85-99
06/11/23ATubingen97-81
02/11/23AValencia71-79
30/10/23AGottingen114-77
26/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82
22/10/23HVechta98-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.987.486.0
Allowed / game73.972.276.7
Point differential+13.0+15.2+9.3
Avg total160.8159.6162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL11%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game76.481.072.8
Allowed / game85.186.284.2
Point differential-8.7-5.2-11.4
Avg total161.6167.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%86.973.9+13.0
2 Barcelona108280%82.575.6+6.9
3 Virtus Bologna107370%83.780.9+2.8
4 Panathinaikos106460%82.579.4+3.1
5 Olympiacos95456%77.875.8+2.0
6 Monaco95456%78.477.7+0.8
7 Baskonia95456%82.282.7-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv95456%84.485.3-0.9
9 Fenerbahce105550%79.079.5-0.5
10 Valencia105550%72.974.8-1.9
11 Partizan94544%86.285.6+0.7
12 Zalgiris Kaunas94544%80.782.0-1.3
13 Anadolu Efes94544%78.886.1-7.3
14 Bayern104640%77.981.4-3.5
15 Crvena zvezda93633%81.678.3+3.2
16 Olimpia Milano93633%78.977.2+1.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne102820%80.488.4-8.0
18 Alba Berlin91811%76.485.1-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2717233299
Alba Berlin1716182475
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