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Alba Berlin vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-80
15-21 14-31 18-10 29-18
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2021
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Baskonia
13 Mar 2025
ABE97
BAS90
12 Oct 2023
ABE86
BAS91
05 Jan 2023
ABE85
BAS84
14 Oct 2021
ABE76
BAS80
05 Jan 2021
ABE95
BAS91
18 Dec 2008
ABE68
BAS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
60avg 78
H10/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
81-69
81
69
+12
78avg 78
A12/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 78
A13/06
BBL
Bonn
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
79avg 78
H23/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
101-63
101
63
+38
107avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
47avg 78
A01/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#11
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H03/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
67-71
67
71
-4
51avg 78
H08/10
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
62-74
62
74
-12
59avg 78
A10/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#13
W
84-70
84
70
+14
82avg 78
H12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-20
19-15
24-17
16-24
19-18
18-19
22-19
22-13
21-9
17-21
20-22
28-27
25-12
23-29
24-28
14-19
27-15
23-15
26-14
25-19
15-28
14-22
17-13
18-33
14-17
17-21
19-19
20-13
18-13
13-21
12-15
24-22
15-17
18-28
20-13
9-16
18-19
9-16
30-18
27-17
154.6Avg total
78.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.779.0150.7-7.333%
Season at home (2)75.570.5146.0+5.050%
Season away (1)64.096.0160.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)78.076.6154.6+1.450%
Last 5 (5)72.078.2150.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.096.0160.0-32.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.973.3152.2+5.667%
vs Weaker (19)86.878.0164.8+8.874%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 75
H02/06
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 75
A04/06
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
72-67
72
67
+5
69avg 75
A18/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
95-86
95
86
+9
99avg 75
H24/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
61-72
61
72
-11
50avg 75
A26/09
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
L
50-75
50
75
-25
44avg 75
A01/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#6
L
67-74
67
74
-7
63avg 75
A03/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
47avg 75
H08/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 75
H10/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
82avg 75
H12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
15-12
21-18
14-19
19-23
15-20
19-16
20-19
19-19
17-11
12-24
24-13
23-23
19-18
28-24
25-21
19-20
5-15
18-20
19-17
13-28
9-19
20-16
8-12
16-22
17-15
18-18
16-19
17-19
13-19
17-19
17-21
28-9
19-20
27-20
17-21
15-17
25-18
21-24
20-20
147.4Avg total
73.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.077.3142.3-12.333%
Season at home (2)72.578.5151.0-6.050%
Season away (1)50.075.0125.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)73.074.4147.4-1.450%
Last 5 (5)70.675.2145.8-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.581.2146.8-15.80%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.779.1156.7-1.440%
vs Weaker (11)86.179.4165.5+6.773%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
Alba BerlinBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#4
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H10/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A12/06
BBL
Bayern
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/06
BBL
Bonn
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H23/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H28/09
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A01/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H03/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H08/10
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A10/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H12/10
Euroleague
72.5Avg total
35.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.079.4+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.535.675.1+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.140.583.6+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)35.037.572.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.240.470.6-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.050.079.0-21.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.436.474.9+2.044%-
vs Weaker (19)43.938.282.1+5.768%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H02/06
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A04/06
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A18/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A26/09
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A01/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A03/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H08/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H10/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/10
Euroleague
71.2Avg total
34.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.376.0-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.737.976.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)36.938.775.6-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)34.936.371.2-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.271.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.842.874.5-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.236.772.9-0.547%-
vs Weaker (11)42.038.980.9+3.173%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.5
51.4%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
35.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.913.4
79.3%
77.2%13.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.5
52.3%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.5
33.3%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws13.09.7
74.6%
77.2%9.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWLWLWWL
Baskonia
WWLLLLWWLW
#14
League position
#15
+2.5
Net rating
-1.7
106.8
Offensive rating
102.3
104.4
Defensive rating
104.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
21.3%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.2%
3-point %
33.3%
60.3%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 102.3Defence104.4 · 104.0Shooting50.7% · 51.3%3-point %33.2% · 33.3%Ball care19.2% · 21.3%Off. rebounds36.2% · 33.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
2
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
22/01/21Baskonia v Alba Berlin77-84
05/01/21Alba Berlin v Baskonia95-91
18/12/08Alba Berlin v Baskonia68-73
05/11/08Baskonia v Alba Berlin106-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/21HFenerbahce84-70
10/10/21ALudwigsburg62-74
08/10/21HLyon-Villeurbanne67-71
03/10/21HBonn83-80 OT
01/10/21ABarcelona64-96
28/09/21HFrankfurt101-63
23/09/21HBonn86-88
13/06/21ABayern86-79
12/06/21ABayern81-69
10/06/21HBayern66-76
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/21HPanathinaikos81-79
10/10/21HObradoiro CAB91-70
08/10/21HOlimpia Milano64-78
03/10/21AManresa67-74
01/10/21AOlympiacos50-75
26/09/21AJoventut Badalona61-72
24/09/21HFuenlabrada95-86
18/09/21AValencia72-67
04/06/21AValencia73-78
02/06/21HValencia76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game71.775.564.0
Allowed / game79.070.596.0
Point differential-7.3+5.0-32.0
Avg total150.7146.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game65.072.550.0
Allowed / game77.378.575.0
Point differential-12.3-6.0-25.0
Avg total142.3151.0125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona330100%85.071.3+13.7
2 Olimpia Milano330100%81.770.0+11.7
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne330100%78.072.0+6.0
4 Zenit Petersburg43175%71.570.2+1.2
5 Olympiacos32167%75.765.7+10.0
6 Crvena zvezda32167%68.361.7+6.7
7 Real Madrid32167%81.376.3+5.0
8 Monaco32167%83.079.0+4.0
9 CSKA Moscow32167%83.782.3+1.3
10 Fenerbahce42250%74.568.2+6.2
11 Panathinaikos31233%77.781.0-3.3
12 Alba Berlin31233%71.779.0-7.3
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%68.075.3-7.3
14 Baskonia31233%65.077.3-12.3
15 Unics Kazan41325%65.877.0-11.2
16 Bayern4040%70.275.2-5.0
17 Anadolu Efes3030%79.385.7-6.3
18 Zalgiris Kaunas3030%67.077.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1514182976
Baskonia2131101880
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