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Alba Berlin vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-91
21-25 26-26 14-25 25-15
Position#18
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game80.0
Alba Berlin
vs
Baskonia 🏆
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· Uber Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Baskonia
13 Mar 2025
ABE97
BAS90
12 Oct 2023
ABE86
BAS91
05 Jan 2023
ABE85
BAS84
14 Oct 2021
ABE76
BAS80
05 Jan 2021
ABE95
BAS91
18 Dec 2008
ABE68
BAS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 81
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 81
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
58avg 81
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 81
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 81
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
81-83
81
83
-2
81avg 81
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
96avg 81
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
110-75
110
75
+35
113avg 81
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 81
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
88-100
88
100
-12
78avg 81
A07/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
28-21
22-25
21-21
20-17
27-17
22-19
14-19
17-19
27-23
10-16
10-30
21-20
18-27
29-14
23-16
27-20
19-33
23-22
12-18
22-26
29-24
16-18
14-15
21-17
23-22
26-19
20-23
30-14
29-26
30-18
21-17
17-19
27-17
7-25
17-19
27-20
25-29
16-19
20-32
167.5Avg total
84.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.080.0148.0-12.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.080.0148.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)84.782.8167.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)87.483.8171.2+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.684.4161.0-7.820%
vs Similar (6)79.582.0161.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (19)86.375.6161.9+10.784%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-77
86
77
+9
76avg 68
A11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 68
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 68
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 68
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 68
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
89avg 68
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 68
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 68
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 68
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
68avg 68
A08/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
18-17
25-18
22-14
21-24
24-21
19-28
20-18
21-15
19-19
19-18
16-18
16-28
23-20
27-30
25-21
19-21
21-25
22-25
14-12
23-19
26-18
18-20
21-22
13-18
11-20
24-23
28-27
18-20
22-11
27-16
25-25
23-19
24-24
20-19
10-17
20-13
25-20
17-23
28-25
165.4Avg total
83.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)77.079.0156.0-2.00%
Season at home (1)77.079.0156.0-2.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.581.9165.4+1.650%
Last 5 (5)84.679.8164.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.582.5160.0-5.00%
vs Similar (10)84.084.1168.1-0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)96.384.1180.4+12.289%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Alba BerlinBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A24/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/09
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H02/10
BBL
Bayern
#15
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/10
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A07/10
BBL
89.7Avg total
47.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.183.4+3.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.340.383.6+3.064%-
Last 30 away (16)43.240.083.2+3.281%-
Last 10 (10)47.442.389.7+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)50.042.892.8+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)42.840.082.8+2.880%-
vs Similar (6)39.541.080.5-1.567%-
vs Weaker (19)44.539.984.4+4.674%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A11/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A08/10
ACB
80.8Avg total
40.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.986.3+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.042.890.8+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)40.940.981.8-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.080.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.477.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.084.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (10)39.643.082.6-3.410%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.641.088.6+6.678%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.7
56.1%
53.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.5
35.2%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.715.8
80.2%
77.4%15.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.4
55.4%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.9
31.8%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
77.4%14.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWWLLWLWW
Baskonia
WLWLWLLWLW
#18
League position
#9
+2.3
Net rating
+1.6
111.6
Offensive rating
110.9
109.3
Defensive rating
109.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
21.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
31.8%
67.8%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 110.9Defence109.3 · 109.3Shooting54.7% · 52.1%3-point %35.2% · 31.8%Ball care21.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds35.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
28/03/23Baskonia v Alba Berlin93-87
05/01/23Alba Berlin v Baskonia85-84
18/03/22Baskonia v Alba Berlin85-68
14/10/21Alba Berlin v Baskonia76-80
22/01/21Baskonia v Alba Berlin77-84
05/01/21Alba Berlin v Baskonia95-91
18/12/08Alba Berlin v Baskonia68-73
05/11/08Baskonia v Alba Berlin106-65
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23AUlm88-100
05/10/23ABayern68-80
02/10/23HCrailsheim Merlins110-75
28/09/23AHeidelberg90-81
24/05/23AUlm81-83
19/05/23HUlm81-93
17/05/23AUlm91-77
14/05/23HUlm64-88
04/05/23ABayreuth83-72
30/04/23HUlm91-79
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AGranada90-81
06/10/23HReal Madrid77-79
30/09/23HBilbao92-72
27/09/23AMurcia76-88
24/09/23ABreogan88-79
30/05/23AJoventut Badalona76-83
27/05/23HJoventut Badalona91-99
24/05/23ABasquet Girona75-70
14/05/23HBarcelona84-91
11/05/23AJoventut Badalona86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game80.0-80.0
Point differential-12.0--12.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential-2.0-2.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%94.073.0+21.0
2 Barcelona110100%91.074.0+17.0
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv110100%96.081.0+15.0
4 Real Madrid220100%91.078.5+12.5
5 Bayern110100%80.068.0+12.0
6 Olympiacos110100%88.078.0+10.0
7 Valencia110100%70.065.0+5.0
8 Fenerbahce110100%85.082.0+3.0
9 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%82.079.0+3.0
10 Baskonia1010%77.079.0-2.0
11 Olimpia Milano1010%82.085.0-3.0
12 Virtus Bologna1010%79.082.0-3.0
13 Monaco1010%65.070.0-5.0
14 Panathinaikos1010%78.088.0-10.0
15 Alba Berlin1010%68.080.0-12.0
16 Partizan1010%81.096.0-15.0
17 Anadolu Efes2020%77.097.0-20.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%73.094.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2126142586
Baskonia2526251591
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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