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Valencia vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 78-73
23-19 20-15 16-19 19-20
Position#4
Record25-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#5
Record24-14
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game78.1
SpainACBACB - Quarter-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Valencia v Baskonia
25 Oct 2026
VAL84
BAS75
29 Sep 2026
VAL111
BAS88
10 May 2026
VAL86
BAS88
23 Dec 2025
VAL91
BAS81
27 Apr 2025
VAL125
BAS128
07 Apr 2024
VAL111
BAS101
01 Dec 2023
VAL84
BAS98
02 Apr 2023
VAL81
BAS85
06 Oct 2022
VAL71
BAS81
30 May 2022
VAL59
BAS76
24 May 2022
VAL79
BAS80
18 Sep 2021
VAL67
BAS72
04 Jun 2021
VAL78
BAS73
31 May 2021
VAL87
BAS86
08 Apr 2021
VAL86
BAS81
24 Jan 2021
VAL83
BAS61
26 May 2019
VAL v BAS
upcoming
12 Apr 2018
VAL81
BAS77
08 Mar 2018
VAL71
BAS81
05 Jun 2017
VAL85
BAS77
03 Jun 2017
VAL75
BAS69
13 Nov 2016
VAL99
BAS91
08 Nov 2015
VAL85
BAS78
07 Dec 2014
VAL85
BAS70
07 Nov 2014
VAL79
BAS69
02 Mar 2014
VAL67
BAS55
07 Feb 2014
VAL74
BAS73
11 Nov 2012
VAL75
BAS79
03 Mar 2012
VAL63
BAS68
07 Nov 2010
VAL67
BAS81
01 Nov 2009
VAL81
BAS74
30 Nov 2008
VAL73
BAS91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 80
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-82
97
82
+15
80avg 80
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
99-90
99
90
+9
92avg 80
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
73avg 80
A30/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
100-89
100
89
+11
98avg 80
H02/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
79-69
79
69
+10
80avg 80
A09/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 80
A19/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
96-76
96
76
+20
97avg 80
H22/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
W
87-86
87
86
+1
84avg 80
H31/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
65-76
65
76
-11
60avg 80
A02/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-17
19-19
21-19
28-18
24-23
25-23
20-18
17-33
25-18
30-21
27-18
15-16
29-12
20-25
16-13
34-29
18-23
24-21
24-16
27-12
16-15
17-16
19-26
24-18
23-26
20-15
19-33
24-23
27-17
12-24
33-12
22-18
13-26
25-19
27-23
16-26
12-15
18-21
19-14
167.6Avg total
87.4Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)85.881.0166.8+4.766%
Season at home (19)89.783.1172.8+6.768%
Season away (19)81.879.0160.8+2.863%
Last 10 (10)87.480.2167.6+7.280%
Last 5 (5)82.679.8162.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.887.8170.5-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.477.3157.7+3.160%
vs Weaker (15)88.182.5170.5+5.673%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#12
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
no box
A11/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
96-92
96
92
+4
93avg 76
H15/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 76
H18/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 76
H11/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
81-63
81
63
+18
78avg 76
A13/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
63avg 76
H16/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
63avg 76
A19/05
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
68-71
68
71
-3
65avg 76
A23/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
86-87
86
87
-1
76avg 76
A31/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 76
H02/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
17-27
23-18
15-16
23-24
32-20
17-25
24-23
25-18
21-24
12-32
25-20
16-15
16-25
19-19
20-20
29-9
9-23
14-9
29-22
13-12
17-18
18-27
22-22
21-21
18-20
19-24
16-22
19-18
15-24
13-15
21-14
18-22
26-13
19-25
23-27
26-16
15-12
21-18
14-19
160.1Avg total
79.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.978.1160.0+3.963%
Season at home (19)82.076.4158.4+5.668%
Season away (19)81.979.7161.6+2.258%
Last 10 (10)79.280.9160.1-1.730%
Last 5 (5)74.877.8152.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.083.0155.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.579.2158.7+0.246%
vs Weaker (13)86.076.2162.2+9.877%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
ValenciaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
ACB
Bilbao
#17
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H25/04
ACB
Murcia
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A30/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H02/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A09/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A19/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H22/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H31/05
ACB
Baskonia
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A02/06
ACB
84.5Avg total
43.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.681.9+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.442.285.6+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)39.239.178.3+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.684.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.280.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.839.279.0+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.438.277.6+1.260%-
vs Weaker (15)43.542.185.5+1.453%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A11/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#18
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H15/04
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H11/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#19
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A13/05
ACB
Unicaja
#9
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H16/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/05
ACB
Manresa
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A23/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A31/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H02/06
ACB
77.7Avg total
39.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.277.9+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.238.179.4+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.538.276.7+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.877.7+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.272.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.041.375.3-7.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.736.873.5-0.246%-
vs Weaker (13)43.038.181.1+4.977%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.422.5
61.8%
53.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.4
37.6%
36.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.913.4
79.3%
76.6%13.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.621.1
54.7%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.2
31.6%
36.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
76.6%14.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jun 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LWWLWWWWWW
Baskonia
WLLLLWLLWL
#4
League position
#5
+9.8
Net rating
-2.0
118.2
Offensive rating
103.7
108.3
Defensive rating
105.7
59.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.9%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.6%
3-point %
31.6%
61.4%
Assist %
60.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 103.7Defence108.3 · 105.7Shooting59.6% · 52.0%3-point %37.6% · 31.6%Ball care16.3% · 19.9%Off. rebounds26.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Valencia   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
02/06/21Baskonia v Valencia76-65
31/05/21Valencia v Baskonia87-86
08/04/21Valencia v Baskonia86-81
24/01/21Valencia v Baskonia83-61
29/12/20Baskonia v Valencia71-70
20/09/20Baskonia v Valencia76-73
04/11/18Baskonia v Valencia77-56
12/04/18Valencia v Baskonia81-77
08/03/18Valencia v Baskonia71-81
07/01/18Baskonia v Valencia78-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/21ABaskonia65-76
31/05/21HBaskonia87-86
22/05/21HFuenlabrada96-76
19/05/21AGran Canaria86-92
09/05/21AReal Madrid79-69
02/05/21HEstudiantes100-89
30/04/21AMurcia80-66
25/04/21HBilbao99-90
16/04/21HObradoiro CAB97-82
11/04/21ABasket Zaragoza85-76
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/21HValencia76-65
31/05/21AValencia86-87
23/05/21AManresa68-71
19/05/21ABarcelona74-87
16/05/21HUnicaja70-79
13/05/21AGipuzkoa81-63
11/05/21HJoventut Badalona71-79
18/04/21HSan Pablo Burgos83-94
15/04/21HEstudiantes96-92
11/04/21AMurcia87-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL66%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayWWWLL63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %66%68%63%
Points / game85.889.781.8
Allowed / game81.083.179.0
Point differential+4.7+6.7+2.8
Avg total166.8172.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW63%
HomeWLLLW68%
AwayLWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %63%68%58%
Points / game81.982.081.9
Allowed / game78.176.479.7
Point differential+3.9+5.6+2.2
Avg total160.0158.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)100% (2)50% (10)
Overtime %3%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3836295%87.376.2+11.1
2 Barcelona3833587%87.172.8+14.3
3 Tenerife3829976%87.579.1+8.4
4 Valencia38251366%85.881.0+4.7
5 Baskonia38241463%81.978.1+3.9
6 San Pablo Burgos38221658%86.283.5+2.7
7 Joventut Badalona38211755%85.184.7+0.5
8 Gran Canaria38182047%81.283.9-2.7
9 Unicaja36171947%83.783.2+0.5
10 MoraBanc Andorra36171947%79.279.6-0.4
11 Manresa36171947%83.887.1-3.2
12 Murcia36162044%81.282.0-0.8
13 Basket Zaragoza36142239%86.988.6-1.7
14 Fuenlabrada36122433%81.183.9-2.8
15 Obradoiro CAB36122433%80.283.8-3.5
16 Real Betis36112531%77.484.2-6.8
17 Bilbao36102628%80.086.6-6.6
18 Estudiantes3692725%82.588.5-6.0
19 Gipuzkoa3672919%73.687.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2320161978
Baskonia1915192073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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