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Alba Berlin vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-90
26-24 24-22 25-23 22-21
Position#18
Record4-24
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#14
Record12-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Baskonia
13 Mar 2025
ABE97
BAS90
12 Oct 2023
ABE86
BAS91
05 Jan 2023
ABE85
BAS84
14 Oct 2021
ABE76
BAS80
05 Jan 2021
ABE95
BAS91
18 Dec 2008
ABE68
BAS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 77
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
86-99 OT
86
99
-13
80avg 77
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
53-73
53
73
-20
46avg 77
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 77
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
94avg 77
H09/02
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
69avg 77
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
63avg 77
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 77
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 77
H07/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
90-101 OT
90
101
-11
83avg 77
A09/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
27-26
24-15
23-24
17-17
24-21
15-24
24-18
12-25
10-12
15-18
16-18
13-15
22-25
20-19
16-18
31-18
23-16
17-22
21-21
17-20
19-25
23-11
19-15
21-24
14-24
20-20
18-30
18-16
21-18
23-25
24-18
20-18
19-23
25-25
21-33
16-17
33-20
13-21
24-28
166.6Avg total
80.7Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.891.4170.2-12.514%
Season at home (14)80.790.2170.9-9.514%
Season away (14)76.992.5169.4-15.614%
Last 10 (10)80.785.9166.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)82.489.2171.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.090.5168.5-12.512%
vs Similar (4)81.088.8169.8-7.825%
vs Weaker (9)87.280.1167.3+7.167%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
W
78-74
78
74
+4
60avg 78
A26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#6
W
88-86
88
86
+2
87avg 78
H30/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
41avg 78
A02/02
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 78
A05/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 78
H07/02
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
103-82
103
82
+21
90avg 78
H09/02
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 78
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 78
A02/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
54avg 78
H06/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
81avg 78
H09/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
18-25
27-16
20-17
23-25
21-21
21-18
23-22
14-15
19-29
17-27
23-23
18-23
17-28
28-16
22-25
22-23
29-19
22-17
16-23
26-21
33-17
19-26
25-18
18-25
7-20
26-18
22-23
24-18
17-25
20-31
27-19
18-12
20-18
10-13
18-22
14-19
18-25
27-16
25-20
166.1Avg total
82.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.482.0162.5-1.643%
Season at home (15)84.179.7163.9+4.467%
Season away (13)76.284.7160.8-8.515%
Last 10 (10)82.783.4166.1-0.760%
Last 5 (5)82.881.2164.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.393.3178.7-8.022%
vs Similar (15)81.781.5163.1+0.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.080.3169.3+8.783%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
Alba BerlinBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H09/02
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A12/02
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A28/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H03/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A09/03
BBL
79.8Avg total
39.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.582.4-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.043.282.2-4.231%-
Last 30 away (17)40.641.982.6-1.341%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.345.283.5-6.912%-
vs Similar (4)36.040.576.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (9)44.838.283.0+6.678%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A26/01
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/01
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A02/02
ACB
Monaco
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A05/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H07/02
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H09/02
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A28/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/03
ACB
81.3Avg total
38.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.481.2-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.540.282.7+2.344%-
Last 30 away (14)36.742.879.5-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.481.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.079.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.743.483.1-3.833%-
vs Similar (15)39.541.981.4-2.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.737.277.8+3.533%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.3
57.2%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.4
29.2%
36.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.013.2
73.3%
78.0%13.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.6
49.3%
54.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
78.0%15.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLWLWWLLLW
Baskonia
WWLLWWLLWW
#18
League position
#14
-6.6
Net rating
-1.0
103.7
Offensive rating
111.6
110.3
Defensive rating
112.5
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
20.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.2%
3-point %
36.8%
68.4%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 111.6Defence110.3 · 112.5Shooting51.9% · 51.7%3-point %29.2% · 36.8%Ball care20.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds31.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
7
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AUlm90-101 OT
07/03/25HBarcelona85-99
03/03/25HBamberg86-77
28/02/25AAnadolu Efes73-98
12/02/25ARostock78-71
09/02/25HHamburg92-77
06/02/25HCrvena zvezda71-77
04/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas53-73
02/02/25ABayern86-99 OT
30/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-87
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HGran Canaria84-80
06/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas66-65
02/03/25AMoraBanc Andorra88-93
28/02/25APartizan73-86
09/02/25HGranada103-82
07/02/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-82
05/02/25AMonaco85-92
02/02/25AUnicaja73-94
30/01/25HBarcelona88-86
26/01/25AForca Lleida78-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL14%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %14%14%14%
Points / game78.880.776.9
Allowed / game91.490.292.5
Point differential-12.5-9.5-15.6
Avg total170.2170.9169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %43%67%15%
Points / game80.484.176.2
Allowed / game82.079.784.7
Point differential-1.6+4.4-8.5
Avg total162.5163.9160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%27%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2821775%87.881.5+6.4
2 Fenerbahce2920969%82.880.4+2.3
3 Panathinaikos28181064%87.382.9+4.4
4 Monaco28171161%86.582.8+3.7
5 Bayern28171161%86.686.4+0.3
6 Crvena zvezda29161355%81.880.9+0.9
7 Paris29161355%85.285.0+0.2
8 Olimpia Milano29161355%85.185.6-0.5
9 Partizan28151354%82.979.2+3.6
10 Barcelona28151354%87.684.6+3.1
11 Anadolu Efes28141450%85.482.2+3.1
12 Real Madrid28141450%84.482.9+1.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas29141548%77.678.1-0.6
14 Baskonia28121643%80.482.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne29111838%81.385.4-4.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv2882029%85.290.0-4.7
17 Virtus Bologna2872125%79.484.9-5.5
18 Alba Berlin2842414%78.891.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2624252297
Baskonia2422232190
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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