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Alba Berlin vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-84
27-20 27-28 23-19 8-17
Position#17
Record4-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#8
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Baskonia
13 Mar 2025
ABE97
BAS90
12 Oct 2023
ABE86
BAS91
05 Jan 2023
ABE85
BAS84
14 Oct 2021
ABE76
BAS80
05 Jan 2021
ABE95
BAS91
18 Dec 2008
ABE68
BAS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 83
A06/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
62avg 83
H08/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 83
H10/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 83
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 83
A16/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#4
W
110-83
110
83
+27
117avg 83
A18/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
56avg 83
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
86-60
86
60
+26
92avg 83
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
106avg 83
H03/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-23
27-17
24-30
18-24
17-30
17-30
23-20
27-20
13-29
21-18
30-16
15-18
14-22
23-23
24-22
25-28
19-24
21-20
24-20
32-16
30-20
29-24
19-23
21-19
26-21
16-21
7-22
16-15
21-14
26-20
23-11
15-27
32-22
26-16
18-14
28-17
18-19
27-24
26-14
171.5Avg total
88.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.184.4165.5-3.225%
Season at home (7)83.784.4168.1-0.729%
Season away (9)79.184.3163.4-5.222%
Last 10 (10)88.283.3171.5+4.960%
Last 5 (5)91.275.8167.0+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.288.1168.4-7.912%
vs Similar (8)82.080.6162.6+1.438%
vs Weaker (13)93.579.0172.5+14.592%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
102-73
102
73
+29
108avg 79
H04/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
78-53
78
53
+25
72avg 79
H09/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
96-68
96
68
+28
99avg 79
A11/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 79
A14/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 79
A16/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
102-88
102
88
+14
96avg 79
H18/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
90-79
90
79
+11
94avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
83avg 79
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
92-86
92
86
+6
84avg 79
H29/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
90avg 79
A03/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
20-18
36-21
17-22
17-10
27-20
11-12
23-11
20-9
33-15
25-22
18-22
21-23
15-23
28-12
19-20
21-13
31-20
15-23
9-14
24-25
11-27
39-12
28-24
17-14
28-17
18-20
27-28
25-13
16-19
23-30
22-15
24-28
35-15
14-26
19-17
25-20
16-18
30-20
24-26
165.6Avg total
90.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.080.4166.4+5.669%
Season at home (9)92.778.7171.3+14.089%
Season away (7)77.482.7160.1-5.343%
Last 10 (10)90.075.6165.6+14.4100%
Last 5 (5)93.082.8175.8+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.097.0189.0-5.00%
vs Similar (12)88.784.3173.0+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.578.2166.8+10.382%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
Alba BerlinBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
BBL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H10/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#4
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A18/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/01
BBL
85.9Avg total
43.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.684.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.041.484.4+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)42.841.884.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.885.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.085.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.145.989.0-2.838%-
vs Similar (8)39.939.579.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (13)44.539.684.1+4.877%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/12
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H09/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A11/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A16/12
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H18/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#14
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H29/12
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/01
ACB
81.4Avg total
45.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.639.084.6+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.338.184.4+8.275%-
Last 30 away (14)44.740.184.9+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)45.535.981.4+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.042.089.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (12)48.242.790.8+5.558%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.636.379.9+7.476%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.221.2
60.2%
53.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.4
35.9%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.3
74.9%
78.5%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.9
58.1%
53.5%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.911.3
42.0%
36.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
78.5%11.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWLWLLWLW
Baskonia
WWWWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#8
+7.1
Net rating
+20.0
115.1
Offensive rating
122.1
108.0
Defensive rating
102.1
57.3%
Effective FG%
60.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.9%
3-point %
42.0%
68.7%
Assist %
66.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 122.1Defence108.0 · 102.1Shooting57.3% · 60.1%3-point %35.9% · 42.0%Ball care19.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds33.1% · 29.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alba Berlin wins
4
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
18/03/22Baskonia v Alba Berlin85-68
14/10/21Alba Berlin v Baskonia76-80
22/01/21Baskonia v Alba Berlin77-84
05/01/21Alba Berlin v Baskonia95-91
18/12/08Alba Berlin v Baskonia68-73
05/11/08Baskonia v Alba Berlin106-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23HFrankfurt99-74
30/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne91-79
27/12/22HSyntainics MBC86-60
22/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-83
18/12/22AUlm110-83
16/12/22AMonaco89-92
14/12/22AVirtus Bologna76-85
10/12/22HBayreuth91-83
08/12/22HFenerbahce75-104
06/12/22ABasketball Braunschweig95-90
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23AGranada95-84
29/12/22HReal Madrid92-86
27/12/22ABreogan86-77
22/12/22HVirtus Bologna90-79
18/12/22HFuenlabrada102-88
16/12/22AFenerbahce76-70
14/12/22AAnadolu Efes83-78
11/12/22AGran Canaria96-68
09/12/22HBayern78-53
04/12/22HMurcia102-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %25%29%22%
Points / game81.183.779.1
Allowed / game84.484.484.3
Point differential-3.2-0.7-5.2
Avg total165.5168.1163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %12%14%11%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game86.092.777.4
Allowed / game80.478.782.7
Point differential+5.6+14.0-5.3
Avg total166.4171.3160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baskonia1611569%86.080.4+5.6
2 Barcelona1611569%80.677.0+3.6
3 Monaco1611569%82.680.9+1.7
4 Olympiacos1610662%86.977.9+9.1
5 Fenerbahce1610662%83.878.1+5.8
6 Real Madrid1610662%83.978.9+5.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%81.580.6+0.9
8 Anadolu Efes168850%82.677.8+4.8
9 Zalgiris Kaunas168850%76.478.3-1.9
10 Crvena zvezda168850%75.978.6-2.8
11 Partizan167944%83.585.2-1.8
12 Valencia167944%81.284.8-3.6
13 Virtus Bologna167944%76.981.1-4.2
14 Panathinaikos1661038%78.982.9-4.0
15 Olimpia Milano1661038%70.875.9-5.1
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne1661038%74.279.8-5.6
17 Bayern1651131%74.578.8-4.3
18 Alba Berlin1641225%81.184.4-3.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin272723885
Baskonia2028191784
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