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Alba Berlin vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 May 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Postponed
Position#1
Record14-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record19-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game74.0
GermanyBBLRound 34
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayern
22 Nov 2026
ABE v BAY
upcoming
19 Jun 2026
ABE71
BAY61
17 Jun 2026
ABE83
BAY91
26 Oct 2025
ABE67
BAY61
24 Jan 2025
ABE84
BAY99
05 Jan 2025
ABE88
BAY81
14 Jun 2024
ABE82
BAY88
12 Jun 2024
ABE63
BAY67
10 May 2024
ABE59
BAY53
18 Jan 2024
ABE65
BAY82
04 Mar 2023
ABE71
BAY76
10 Nov 2022
ABE77
BAY79
17 Jun 2022
ABE60
BAY90
10 Jun 2022
ABE86
BAY73
12 Dec 2021
ABE73
BAY80
28 Oct 2021
ABE69
BAY82
10 Jun 2021
ABE66
BAY76
09 Jun 2021
ABE89
BAY86
03 Jan 2021
ABE85
BAY72
09 Oct 2020
ABE72
BAY90
02 May 2020
ABE v BAY
upcoming
28 Apr 2019
ABE75
BAY85
13 Jun 2018
ABE72
BAY68
07 Jun 2018
ABE69
BAY96
05 Nov 2017
ABE70
BAY80
16 May 2017
ABE82
BAY87
11 May 2017
ABE83
BAY76
12 Feb 2017
ABE56
BAY80
24 Feb 2016
ABE82
BAY82
15 Nov 2015
ABE90
BAY74
04 Jun 2015
ABE96
BAY101
31 May 2015
ABE101
BAY88
24 May 2015
ABE81
BAY55
18 Feb 2015
ABE74
BAY69
09 Nov 2014
ABE83
BAY80
27 Sep 2014
ABE76
BAY68
18 Jun 2014
ABE62
BAY75
12 Jun 2014
ABE95
BAY81
10 Nov 2013
ABE94
BAY74
08 May 2013
ABE73
BAY79
23 Mar 2013
ABE92
BAY83
02 Dec 2012
ABE82
BAY70
31 Mar 2012
ABE73
BAY52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A08/12
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
100-75
100
75
+25
A22/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
116-108
116
108
+8
H31/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A05/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H27/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H09/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
112-106 OT
112
106
+6
A11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
107-70
107
70
+37
H01/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
24-25
21-27
16-17
30-22
22-25
22-15
26-13
29-30
29-29
36-25
22-24
21-15
17-20
16-24
17-13
22-22
30-18
23-19
23-23
15-25
30-26
16-26
27-16
21-25
26-20
21-15
28-11
34-25
19-29
22-20
21-22
34-24
26-21
23-12
24-13
21-22
26-21
20-22
15-26
179.8Avg total
95.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)93.481.6175.0+11.774%
Season at home (8)100.578.5179.0+22.0100%
Season away (11)88.283.9172.1+4.355%
Last 10 (10)95.284.6179.8+10.670%
Last 5 (5)97.086.2183.2+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)77.584.5162.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (28)95.181.9177.1+13.282%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A30/12
BBL
Vechta
#9
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A05/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A19/01
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H26/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#7
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H02/02
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H09/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A11/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H01/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
25-8
21-20
19-21
21-17
22-22
21-22
18-15
27-16
10-17
18-9
21-26
10-15
21-22
20-24
23-20
26-7
25-24
11-25
31-29
13-7
12-18
24-25
22-10
26-18
21-14
20-20
27-23
16-21
24-23
20-27
21-19
12-18
17-23
25-1
25-16
23-14
25-21
12-25
31-15
156.1Avg total
82.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.174.0159.2+11.190%
Season at home (11)85.969.7155.6+16.2100%
Season away (10)84.378.8163.1+5.580%
Last 10 (10)82.373.8156.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)83.271.6154.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)84.577.5162.0+7.0100%
vs Weaker (28)86.674.6161.2+12.089%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +4.4+4.4
Alba BerlinBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A08/12
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A22/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H31/12
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H27/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H09/02
BBL
Ulm
#6
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/02
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H01/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A08/03
BBL
95.0Avg total
49.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.942.990.8+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.143.994.9+7.267%-
Last 30 away (15)44.741.986.6+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)49.745.395.0+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)50.447.698.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)39.540.079.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (28)48.543.191.6+5.464%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A22/12
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/12
BBL
Vechta
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A05/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A19/01
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H26/01
BBL
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#7
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H02/02
BBL
Giessen
#13
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H09/02
BBL
Gottingen
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A11/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H01/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A08/03
BBL
73.9Avg total
39.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.578.7+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.133.475.6+8.781%-
Last 30 away (14)42.339.982.2+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.673.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.835.473.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.039.579.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (28)42.436.278.6+6.168%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
54.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.411.1
43.7%
33.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.4%
73.5%12.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.9
53.6%
54.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
73.5%13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWLWLWWW
Bayern
WWLWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#2
+4.5
Net rating
-4.6
115.3
Offensive rating
106.5
110.8
Defensive rating
111.1
56.5%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
43.7%
3-point %
36.6%
64.5%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 106.5Defence110.8 · 111.1Shooting56.5% · 54.1%3-point %43.7% · 36.6%Ball care18.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds34.7% · 20.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Alba Berlin wins
6
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
10/11/19Bayern v Alba Berlin84-80
28/04/19Alba Berlin v Bayern75-85
23/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin70-78
16/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin83-81
16/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin106-85
13/06/18Alba Berlin v Bayern72-68
10/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin72-66
07/06/18Alba Berlin v Bayern69-96
03/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin95-106 OT
25/03/18Bayern v Alba Berlin72-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20ACrailsheim Merlins82-91
01/03/20HBamberg107-70
11/02/20AUlm112-106 OT
09/02/20HGottingen96-71
02/02/20AOldenburg88-93
27/01/20HCrailsheim Merlins98-82
05/01/20AGottingen71-72
31/12/19HSyntainics MBC116-108
22/12/19AHamburg100-75
08/12/19ABayreuth82-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20ABayreuth91-75
01/03/20HOldenburg79-58
11/02/20AGottingen81-90
09/02/20HGiessen94-75
02/02/20Hs.Oliver Wurzburg71-60
26/01/20HBonn93-85
19/01/20ALudwigsburg74-81
05/01/20AVechta76-68
30/12/19ABamberg82-76
22/12/19AGiessen82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL74%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %74%100%55%
Points / game93.4100.588.2
Allowed / game81.678.583.9
Point differential+11.7+22.0+4.3
Avg total175.0179.0172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%88%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)-43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Bayern
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game85.185.984.3
Allowed / game74.069.778.8
Point differential+11.1+16.2+5.5
Avg total159.2155.6163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%73%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2119290%85.174.0+11.1
2 Ludwigsburg2117481%86.578.8+7.7
3 Alba Berlin1914574%93.481.6+11.7
4 Crailsheim Merlins2115671%90.084.4+5.6
5 Oldenburg2013765%84.383.2+1.2
6 Bamberg2112957%82.678.5+4.1
7 Vechta2112957%80.781.8-1.1
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg21111052%83.685.0-1.4
9 Gottingen21111052%82.285.1-2.9
10 Ulm20101050%87.485.5+1.9
11 Basketball Braunschweig2091145%89.591.5-2.0
12 Bayreuth2191243%86.286.2+0.0
13 Giessen2061430%84.789.2-4.5
14 Frankfurt2161529%75.280.6-5.4
15 Bonn2041620%84.391.2-6.8
16 Syntainics MBC2031715%89.597.5-7.9
17 Hamburg2031715%81.292.8-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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