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Alba Berlin vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 71-76
17-16 26-27 7-13 21-20
Position#2
Record18-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record14-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game76.9
GermanyBBLRound 22
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayern
22 Nov 2026
ABE v BAY
upcoming
19 Jun 2026
ABE71
BAY61
17 Jun 2026
ABE83
BAY91
26 Oct 2025
ABE67
BAY61
24 Jan 2025
ABE84
BAY99
05 Jan 2025
ABE88
BAY81
14 Jun 2024
ABE82
BAY88
12 Jun 2024
ABE63
BAY67
10 May 2024
ABE59
BAY53
18 Jan 2024
ABE65
BAY82
04 Mar 2023
ABE71
BAY76
10 Nov 2022
ABE77
BAY79
17 Jun 2022
ABE60
BAY90
10 Jun 2022
ABE86
BAY73
12 Dec 2021
ABE73
BAY80
28 Oct 2021
ABE69
BAY82
10 Jun 2021
ABE66
BAY76
09 Jun 2021
ABE89
BAY86
03 Jan 2021
ABE85
BAY72
09 Oct 2020
ABE72
BAY90
02 May 2020
ABE v BAY
upcoming
28 Apr 2019
ABE75
BAY85
13 Jun 2018
ABE72
BAY68
07 Jun 2018
ABE69
BAY96
05 Nov 2017
ABE70
BAY80
16 May 2017
ABE82
BAY87
11 May 2017
ABE83
BAY76
12 Feb 2017
ABE56
BAY80
24 Feb 2016
ABE82
BAY82
15 Nov 2015
ABE90
BAY74
04 Jun 2015
ABE96
BAY101
31 May 2015
ABE101
BAY88
24 May 2015
ABE81
BAY55
18 Feb 2015
ABE74
BAY69
09 Nov 2014
ABE83
BAY80
27 Sep 2014
ABE76
BAY68
18 Jun 2014
ABE62
BAY75
12 Jun 2014
ABE95
BAY81
10 Nov 2013
ABE94
BAY74
08 May 2013
ABE73
BAY79
23 Mar 2013
ABE92
BAY83
02 Dec 2012
ABE82
BAY70
31 Mar 2012
ABE73
BAY52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
100-77
100
77
+23
98avg 84
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
84-102
84
102
-18
81avg 84
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
86-101
86
101
-15
84avg 84
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
101avg 84
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
60-93
60
93
-33
45avg 84
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
95avg 84
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-72
87
72
+15
90avg 84
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 84
A02/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
32-12
27-26
25-14
24-22
12-29
18-22
30-29
27-31
20-26
14-24
25-20
18-14
22-20
26-22
28-30
13-28
22-17
10-28
15-20
32-22
21-20
21-21
15-18
16-16
27-24
23-19
25-26
17-21
21-19
13-20
26-23
15-25
24-19
21-17
27-11
19-20
25-22
9-35
21-11
171.0Avg total
84.2Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)91.179.8170.9+11.395%
Season at home (9)89.376.7166.0+12.7100%
Season away (10)92.782.6175.3+10.190%
Last 10 (10)84.286.8171.0-2.650%
Last 5 (5)83.681.8165.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.389.6167.9-11.315%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.278.7162.8+5.567%
vs Weaker (11)93.978.7172.6+15.2100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
L
73-82
73
82
-9
67avg 73
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
70-72
70
72
-2
58avg 73
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 73
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
58avg 73
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
79-58
79
58
+21
74avg 73
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
70-89
70
89
-19
58avg 73
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
70avg 73
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
18-17
24-28
17-21
14-21
19-13
14-17
23-21
15-27
21-12
19-22
18-16
19-19
14-20
12-21
26-22
23-7
19-21
21-18
16-12
19-35
15-18
23-16
13-20
21-17
19-21
20-13
23-26
24-16
19-19
22-19
25-24
18-18
26-21
23-22
15-29
19-23
22-15
11-18
35-24
156.3Avg total
77.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.576.9159.4+5.570%
Season at home (11)84.777.0161.7+7.773%
Season away (9)79.776.8156.4+2.967%
Last 10 (10)77.878.5156.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)82.482.8165.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.678.8152.5-5.218%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.479.8162.1+2.662%
vs Weaker (11)84.677.1161.7+7.582%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
Alba BerlinBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H28/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H01/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A03/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/02
BBL
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H08/02
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H11/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/02
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A24/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A02/03
Euroleague
85.5Avg total
42.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.386.4-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.543.386.7+0.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.386.1-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.285.5-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.685.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.346.387.6-5.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.843.385.2-1.517%-
vs Weaker (11)45.939.785.6+6.282%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A31/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A02/02
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H05/02
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#12
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A12/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H14/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/02
German Cup
Oldenburg
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/02
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H02/03
Euroleague
75.4Avg total
37.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.680.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.881.6+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.679.2-2.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.675.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.681.0-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.840.877.6-4.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.636.977.5+3.862%-
vs Weaker (11)45.140.585.5+4.673%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.721.9
61.3%
54.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
35.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.6
74.9%
75.8%14.6
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.1
49.6%
54.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.315.2
78.8%
75.8%15.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWLWWLWLLW
Bayern
WLWWLWLLLL
#2
League position
#3
-3.5
Net rating
+2.4
112.3
Offensive rating
113.2
115.7
Defensive rating
110.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.1%
3-point %
35.2%
69.0%
Assist %
50.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 113.2Defence115.7 · 110.8Shooting56.4% · 51.0%3-point %33.1% · 35.2%Ball care20.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds34.7% · 34.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alba Berlin wins
5
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
18/02/23Bayern v Alba Berlin83-77
08/01/23Bayern v Alba Berlin79-80
10/11/22Alba Berlin v Bayern77-79
19/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin81-96
17/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern60-90
14/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin58-71
10/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern86-73
10/05/22Bayern v Alba Berlin78-83
28/01/22Bayern v Alba Berlin62-56
12/12/21Alba Berlin v Bayern73-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23APartizan74-88
24/02/23ACrvena zvezda87-72
18/02/23ABayern77-83
14/02/23ACrailsheim Merlins91-85
11/02/23HOldenburg89-81
08/02/23HOlympiacos60-93
05/02/23AHeidelberg94-86
03/02/23AFenerbahce86-101
01/02/23HMonaco84-102
28/01/23HCrailsheim Merlins100-77
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/23HCrvena zvezda87-80
23/02/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv82-90
19/02/23HOldenburg90-78
18/02/23HAlba Berlin83-77
14/02/23HHamburg70-89
12/02/23AChemnitz79-58
09/02/23HPartizan71-82
05/02/23HBonn73-77
02/02/23ABarcelona70-72
31/01/23AValencia73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game91.189.392.7
Allowed / game79.876.782.6
Point differential+11.3+12.7+10.1
Avg total170.9166.0175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%33%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL70%
HomeWLWLL73%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game82.584.779.7
Allowed / game76.977.076.8
Point differential+5.5+7.7+2.9
Avg total159.3161.7156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin1918195%91.179.8+11.3
2 Bonn2119290%90.174.2+16.0
3 Bayern2014670%82.576.9+5.5
4 Oldenburg2013765%85.082.1+3.0
5 Gottingen2013765%87.185.3+1.8
6 Ludwigsburg1912763%88.885.0+3.8
7 Ulm21111052%87.685.6+2.0
8 Chemnitz20101050%84.082.8+1.1
9 Bamberg22111150%87.086.0+1.0
10 Wurzburg22111150%83.683.6+0.0
11 Rostock22101245%84.489.2-4.8
12 Syntainics MBC2191243%83.487.7-4.3
13 Hamburg2281436%82.885.7-2.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins2171433%87.391.7-4.4
15 Heidelberg2171433%86.291.1-4.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig2261627%79.184.8-5.6
17 Frankfurt2151624%79.687.2-7.6
18 Bayreuth2031715%80.889.7-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin172672171
Bayern1627132076
← all games of the day
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