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Alba Berlin vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 88-81
18-27 19-20 26-18 25-16
Position#6
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#1
Record9-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.8
GermanyBBLRound 15· Uber Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayern
22 Nov 2026
ABE v BAY
upcoming
19 Jun 2026
ABE71
BAY61
17 Jun 2026
ABE83
BAY91
26 Oct 2025
ABE67
BAY61
24 Jan 2025
ABE84
BAY99
05 Jan 2025
ABE88
BAY81
14 Jun 2024
ABE82
BAY88
12 Jun 2024
ABE63
BAY67
10 May 2024
ABE59
BAY53
18 Jan 2024
ABE65
BAY82
04 Mar 2023
ABE71
BAY76
10 Nov 2022
ABE77
BAY79
17 Jun 2022
ABE60
BAY90
10 Jun 2022
ABE86
BAY73
12 Dec 2021
ABE73
BAY80
28 Oct 2021
ABE69
BAY82
10 Jun 2021
ABE66
BAY76
09 Jun 2021
ABE89
BAY86
03 Jan 2021
ABE85
BAY72
09 Oct 2020
ABE72
BAY90
02 May 2020
ABE v BAY
upcoming
28 Apr 2019
ABE75
BAY85
13 Jun 2018
ABE72
BAY68
07 Jun 2018
ABE69
BAY96
05 Nov 2017
ABE70
BAY80
16 May 2017
ABE82
BAY87
11 May 2017
ABE83
BAY76
12 Feb 2017
ABE56
BAY80
24 Feb 2016
ABE82
BAY82
15 Nov 2015
ABE90
BAY74
04 Jun 2015
ABE96
BAY101
31 May 2015
ABE101
BAY88
24 May 2015
ABE81
BAY55
18 Feb 2015
ABE74
BAY69
09 Nov 2014
ABE83
BAY80
27 Sep 2014
ABE76
BAY68
18 Jun 2014
ABE62
BAY75
12 Jun 2014
ABE95
BAY81
10 Nov 2013
ABE94
BAY74
08 May 2013
ABE73
BAY79
23 Mar 2013
ABE92
BAY83
02 Dec 2012
ABE82
BAY70
31 Mar 2012
ABE73
BAY52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 77
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 77
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
89avg 77
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 77
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
85avg 77
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
109-83
109
83
+26
109avg 77
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 77
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 77
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
85-96
85
96
-11
71avg 77
H31/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
82avg 77
H02/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-34
19-21
25-24
18-21
16-21
20-14
17-27
14-18
28-30
18-21
18-23
26-17
10-24
20-21
16-24
20-17
19-26
22-18
21-25
23-21
22-19
30-16
34-18
23-30
15-28
19-17
17-16
18-19
21-22
29-21
12-21
14-30
15-22
32-21
17-24
21-29
21-30
14-25
32-24
23-26
172.2Avg total
81.7Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.784.8169.5-0.233%
Season at home (6)81.578.3159.8+3.250%
Season away (6)87.891.3179.2-3.517%
Last 10 (10)81.790.5172.2-8.810%
Last 5 (5)85.891.6177.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)79.290.3169.4-11.120%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.774.3148.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.189.7176.9-2.614%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
89avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
100avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
96avg 80
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
73avg 80
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
74-93
74
93
-19
69avg 80
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 80
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 80
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
63avg 80
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 80
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 80
A03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
21-21
25-17
25-19
31-16
25-19
20-17
27-15
22-30
21-20
24-22
31-21
14-19
24-21
28-15
14-15
24-18
16-28
20-31
14-16
26-14
14-25
25-20
14-19
24-21
18-15
25-11
22-28
16-13
20-19
17-23
16-25
25-25
27-22
22-21
17-16
16-23
14-24
20-15
26-26
166.1Avg total
85.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.074.8156.8+7.275%
Season at home (6)80.572.3152.8+8.283%
Season away (6)83.577.3160.8+6.267%
Last 10 (10)85.380.8166.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)80.881.0161.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.789.2167.8-10.517%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.085.8173.8+2.275%
vs Weaker (11)88.976.0164.9+12.982%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Alba BerlinBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H02/01
Euroleague
85.9Avg total
40.8Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.144.383.4-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.344.081.3-6.733%-
Last 30 away (15)40.944.685.5-3.727%-
Last 10 (10)40.845.185.9-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.746.083.7-8.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)33.738.372.0-4.767%-
vs Weaker (7)45.442.087.4+3.457%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A03/01
Euroleague
83.7Avg total
42.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.783.3-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.340.284.5+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.343.082.3-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.683.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.280.2-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.743.279.8-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.242.484.6-0.258%-
vs Weaker (11)43.839.783.5+4.155%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.0
57.9%
52.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.4
29.4%
33.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.7
72.7%
73.5%15.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.8
57.0%
52.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.5
36.4%
33.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws16.212.2
75.3%
73.5%12.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LLLLWLLLLL
Bayern
LWLWWLWWWW
#6
League position
#1
-11.4
Net rating
+6.0
107.1
Offensive rating
113.2
118.5
Defensive rating
107.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.8%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.4%
3-point %
36.4%
65.6%
Assist %
67.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 113.2Defence118.5 · 107.2Shooting53.0% · 55.8%3-point %29.4% · 36.4%Ball care18.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
14/11/24Bayern v Alba Berlin115-88
14/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern82-88
12/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern63-67
10/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin70-79
08/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin79-67
10/05/24Alba Berlin v Bayern59-53
05/05/24Bayern v Alba Berlin77-53
18/01/24Alba Berlin v Bayern65-82
05/10/23Bayern v Alba Berlin80-68
17/03/23Bayern v Alba Berlin75-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25HMonaco90-105
31/12/24HRostock85-96
28/12/24ASyntainics MBC76-94
26/12/24HReal Madrid69-80
22/12/24AGottingen109-83
20/12/24AOlympiacos85-90
17/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas66-86
12/12/24HPartizan90-91
08/12/24ABamberg67-80
06/12/24AMonaco80-100
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AReal Madrid76-88
29/12/24AFrankfurt91-84
27/12/24HPanathinaikos69-80
22/12/24HOldenburg89-75
20/12/24AOlimpia Milano79-78
17/12/24AMonaco74-93
15/12/24ARostock80-70
12/12/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-93
09/12/24HVechta103-67
05/12/24HBaskonia94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%50%17%
Points / game84.781.587.8
Allowed / game84.878.391.3
Point differential-0.2+3.2-3.5
Avg total169.5159.8179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game82.080.583.5
Allowed / game74.872.377.3
Point differential+7.2+8.2+6.2
Avg total156.8152.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern129375%82.074.8+7.2
2 Ulm139469%85.079.1+5.9
3 Wurzburg139469%80.975.0+5.9
4 Heidelberg139469%79.877.5+2.4
5 Basketball Braunschweig128467%78.575.9+2.6
6 Ludwigsburg148657%75.171.0+4.1
7 Chemnitz148657%80.079.6+0.4
8 Bonn137654%85.084.2+0.8
9 Syntainics MBC147750%84.283.0+1.2
10 Rostock147750%78.877.9+0.9
11 Vechta126650%82.384.2-1.8
12 Bamberg136746%81.282.9-1.8
13 Oldenburg135838%86.286.9-0.8
14 Alba Berlin124833%84.784.8-0.2
15 Hamburg124833%80.382.0-1.7
16 Frankfurt1431121%76.784.7-8.0
17 Gottingen121118%78.296.2-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1819262588
Bayern2720181681
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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