PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-99
27-27 23-25 18-18 16-29
Position#18
Record3-19
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#7
Record12-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game88.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayern
22 Nov 2026
ABE v BAY
upcoming
19 Jun 2026
ABE71
BAY61
17 Jun 2026
ABE83
BAY91
26 Oct 2025
ABE67
BAY61
24 Jan 2025
ABE84
BAY99
05 Jan 2025
ABE88
BAY81
14 Jun 2024
ABE82
BAY88
12 Jun 2024
ABE63
BAY67
10 May 2024
ABE59
BAY53
18 Jan 2024
ABE65
BAY82
04 Mar 2023
ABE71
BAY76
10 Nov 2022
ABE77
BAY79
17 Jun 2022
ABE60
BAY90
10 Jun 2022
ABE86
BAY73
12 Dec 2021
ABE73
BAY80
28 Oct 2021
ABE69
BAY82
10 Jun 2021
ABE66
BAY76
09 Jun 2021
ABE89
BAY86
03 Jan 2021
ABE85
BAY72
09 Oct 2020
ABE72
BAY90
02 May 2020
ABE v BAY
upcoming
28 Apr 2019
ABE75
BAY85
13 Jun 2018
ABE72
BAY68
07 Jun 2018
ABE69
BAY96
05 Nov 2017
ABE70
BAY80
16 May 2017
ABE82
BAY87
11 May 2017
ABE83
BAY76
12 Feb 2017
ABE56
BAY80
24 Feb 2016
ABE82
BAY82
15 Nov 2015
ABE90
BAY74
04 Jun 2015
ABE96
BAY101
31 May 2015
ABE101
BAY88
24 May 2015
ABE81
BAY55
18 Feb 2015
ABE74
BAY69
09 Nov 2014
ABE83
BAY80
27 Sep 2014
ABE76
BAY68
18 Jun 2014
ABE62
BAY75
12 Jun 2014
ABE95
BAY81
10 Nov 2013
ABE94
BAY74
08 May 2013
ABE73
BAY79
23 Mar 2013
ABE92
BAY83
02 Dec 2012
ABE82
BAY70
31 Mar 2012
ABE73
BAY52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 77
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 77
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
85-96
85
96
-11
71avg 77
H31/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
82avg 77
H02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 77
H05/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 77
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
63avg 77
A12/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 77
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
79avg 77
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
92-65
92
65
+27
93avg 77
H18/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
19-17
17-16
18-19
21-22
29-21
12-21
14-30
15-22
32-21
17-24
21-29
21-30
14-25
32-24
23-26
18-27
19-20
26-18
25-16
11-16
23-21
26-24
13-29
26-14
15-22
16-12
18-13
19-23
24-24
10-31
15-22
19-23
21-27
22-20
23-15
27-19
17-15
28-15
20-16
167.3Avg total
80.5Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.592.0171.5-12.614%
Season at home (11)80.989.8170.7-8.918%
Season away (11)78.094.3172.3-16.39%
Last 10 (10)80.586.8167.3-6.330%
Last 5 (5)79.482.4161.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.593.3172.8-13.811%
vs Similar (4)77.276.0153.2+1.275%
vs Weaker (7)87.483.1170.6+4.343%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 79
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 79
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
63avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 79
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 79
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
77avg 79
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
61avg 79
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-59
87
59
+28
87avg 79
A12/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
W
95-94
95
94
+1
88avg 79
H15/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 79
H17/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
14-25
25-20
14-19
24-21
18-15
25-11
22-28
16-13
20-19
17-23
16-25
25-25
27-22
22-21
17-16
16-23
14-24
20-15
26-26
27-18
20-19
18-26
16-25
14-28
23-23
20-27
12-34
22-12
27-12
17-24
21-11
30-13
23-27
25-28
17-26
18-20
14-15
20-22
20-25
164.8Avg total
80.8Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.488.2173.6-2.855%
Season at home (11)91.885.9177.7+5.982%
Season away (11)79.090.5169.5-11.527%
Last 10 (10)80.884.0164.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)80.887.0167.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.692.4172.0-12.929%
vs Similar (12)86.285.3171.5+0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.274.0162.2+14.282%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -5.4-5.4
Alba BerlinBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H18/01
BBL
84.2Avg total
40.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.844.684.4-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.045.083.0-7.036%-
Last 30 away (16)41.444.285.6-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.784.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.947.185.9-8.216%-
vs Similar (4)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Weaker (7)45.440.185.6+5.371%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A12/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H17/01
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.8Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.082.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.182.7+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)40.840.981.7-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.880.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.481.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.443.382.7-3.929%-
vs Similar (12)41.840.181.8+1.758%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.437.882.2+6.564%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.6
52.7%
54.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.1
29.2%
36.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.2
74.5%
78.0%15.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.017.2
55.5%
54.5%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.1
36.4%
36.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.9
73.5%
78.0%11.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLWLWLLLL
Bayern
LWWLLLWLWW
#18
League position
#7
-8.3
Net rating
-4.9
105.1
Offensive rating
108.9
113.4
Defensive rating
113.8
49.4%
Effective FG%
55.0%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.2%
3-point %
36.4%
59.2%
Assist %
67.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 108.9Defence113.4 · 113.8Shooting49.4% · 55.0%3-point %29.2% · 36.4%Ball care18.1% · 19.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 30.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern88-81
14/11/24Bayern v Alba Berlin115-88
14/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern82-88
12/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern63-67
10/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin70-79
08/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin79-67
10/05/24Alba Berlin v Bayern59-53
05/05/24Bayern v Alba Berlin77-53
18/01/24Alba Berlin v Bayern65-82
05/10/23Bayern v Alba Berlin80-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HHeidelberg92-65
16/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne89-96 OT
14/01/25AOlimpia Milano68-100
12/01/25AFrankfurt75-61
09/01/25AFenerbahce73-90
05/01/25HBayern88-81
02/01/25HMonaco90-105
31/12/24HRostock85-96
28/12/24ASyntainics MBC76-94
26/12/24HReal Madrid69-80
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25HVirtus Bologna72-82
15/01/25HMonaco95-94
12/01/25AHeidelberg87-59
10/01/25AOlympiacos69-112
05/01/25AAlba Berlin81-88
03/01/25AReal Madrid76-88
29/12/24AFrankfurt91-84
27/12/24HPanathinaikos69-80
22/12/24HOldenburg89-75
20/12/24AOlimpia Milano79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %14%18%9%
Points / game79.580.978.0
Allowed / game92.089.894.3
Point differential-12.6-8.9-16.3
Avg total171.5170.7172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %14%9%18%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%82%27%
Points / game85.491.879.0
Allowed / game88.285.990.5
Point differential-2.8+5.9-11.5
Avg total173.6177.7169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2216673%88.082.0+6.0
2 Fenerbahce2114767%80.780.0+0.7
3 Monaco2314961%87.583.0+4.5
4 Panathinaikos2314961%86.782.3+4.4
5 Barcelona2213959%86.283.5+2.6
6 Paris2213959%85.884.8+1.0
7 Real Madrid23131057%86.283.1+3.1
8 Crvena zvezda23131057%83.081.3+1.6
9 Bayern22121055%85.488.2-2.8
10 Partizan23121152%83.880.5+3.3
11 Olimpia Milano23121152%86.085.8+0.2
12 Anadolu Efes23111248%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas23111248%77.178.3-1.1
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne22101245%80.684.2-3.6
15 Baskonia2391439%80.582.0-1.5
16 Virtus Bologna2371630%80.784.2-3.5
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2361726%84.889.8-5.0
18 Alba Berlin2231914%79.592.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2723181684
Bayern2725182999
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.