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Alba Berlin vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-53
12-17 18-11 9-20 20-5
Position#2
Record25-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#1
Record27-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game76.6
GermanyBBLRound 10· Uber Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Bayern
22 Nov 2026
ABE v BAY
upcoming
19 Jun 2026
ABE71
BAY61
17 Jun 2026
ABE83
BAY91
26 Oct 2025
ABE67
BAY61
24 Jan 2025
ABE84
BAY99
05 Jan 2025
ABE88
BAY81
14 Jun 2024
ABE82
BAY88
12 Jun 2024
ABE63
BAY67
10 May 2024
ABE59
BAY53
18 Jan 2024
ABE65
BAY82
04 Mar 2023
ABE71
BAY76
10 Nov 2022
ABE77
BAY79
17 Jun 2022
ABE60
BAY90
10 Jun 2022
ABE86
BAY73
12 Dec 2021
ABE73
BAY80
28 Oct 2021
ABE69
BAY82
10 Jun 2021
ABE66
BAY76
09 Jun 2021
ABE89
BAY86
03 Jan 2021
ABE85
BAY72
09 Oct 2020
ABE72
BAY90
02 May 2020
ABE v BAY
upcoming
28 Apr 2019
ABE75
BAY85
13 Jun 2018
ABE72
BAY68
07 Jun 2018
ABE69
BAY96
05 Nov 2017
ABE70
BAY80
16 May 2017
ABE82
BAY87
11 May 2017
ABE83
BAY76
12 Feb 2017
ABE56
BAY80
24 Feb 2016
ABE82
BAY82
15 Nov 2015
ABE90
BAY74
04 Jun 2015
ABE96
BAY101
31 May 2015
ABE101
BAY88
24 May 2015
ABE81
BAY55
18 Feb 2015
ABE74
BAY69
09 Nov 2014
ABE83
BAY80
27 Sep 2014
ABE76
BAY68
18 Jun 2014
ABE62
BAY75
12 Jun 2014
ABE95
BAY81
10 Nov 2013
ABE94
BAY74
08 May 2013
ABE73
BAY79
23 Mar 2013
ABE92
BAY83
02 Dec 2012
ABE82
BAY70
31 Mar 2012
ABE73
BAY52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
100-91
100
91
+9
98avg 78
H07/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
76-67
76
67
+9
45avg 78
A14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
83avg 78
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
98-92
98
92
+6
98avg 78
H21/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
91-74
91
74
+17
90avg 78
H24/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
70avg 78
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
96-89
96
89
+7
98avg 78
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
36avg 78
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 78
H08/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
28-21
25-24
20-23
23-17
14-21
26-22
12-24
16-22
22-15
15-17
23-13
16-5
24-17
22-26
22-28
20-24
25-19
28-23
25-26
21-20
21-20
24-11
25-23
14-34
17-15
19-15
31-26
28-17
19-28
22-24
27-20
17-16
5-30
15-13
16-18
20-19
30-12
23-22
17-16
165.3Avg total
84.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)90.281.6171.8+8.678%
Season at home (16)95.680.5176.1+15.194%
Season away (16)84.882.8167.6+2.162%
Last 10 (10)84.480.9165.3+3.570%
Last 5 (5)82.279.8162.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.691.9168.5-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.681.8163.4-0.260%
vs Weaker (14)90.178.3168.4+11.886%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 78
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 78
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 78
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
82avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
92avg 78
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 78
A21/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
52avg 78
H28/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 78
A01/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
77-53
77
53
+24
81avg 78
H05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
70avg 78
A08/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
28-23
19-17
27-24
18-13
18-27
18-18
21-24
21-13
23-18
23-18
24-12
14-29
16-23
30-20
25-17
20-17
25-19
20-23
25-23
14-17
30-25
13-21
25-26
21-13
22-27
24-17
25-16
19-20
18-16
27-13
17-25
16-17
30-5
13-15
18-16
27-16
22-25
15-17
21-22
162.1Avg total
85.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.676.6165.2+12.084%
Season at home (16)89.974.1164.0+15.894%
Season away (16)87.379.1166.4+8.275%
Last 10 (10)85.776.4162.1+9.370%
Last 5 (5)83.473.8157.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.084.6161.6-7.60%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.177.9159.0+3.275%
vs Weaker (17)88.976.6165.5+12.288%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
Alba BerlinBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H07/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A11/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A14/04
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A17/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/04
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H24/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A28/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H30/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A05/05
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/05
BBL
80.2Avg total
40.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.883.0-0.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.141.885.9+2.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.041.779.7-3.750%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.580.2+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.280.6-3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.146.284.3-8.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.441.079.4-2.680%-
vs Weaker (14)44.738.683.3+6.186%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/04
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H28/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H05/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/05
BBL
80.7Avg total
42.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.482.3+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.537.580.0+5.176%-
Last 30 away (13)43.441.985.3+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.080.7+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.280.0+7.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.844.478.2-10.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.639.881.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker (17)46.237.883.9+8.494%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.2
54.6%
54.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.2
30.6%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.518.4
81.8%
76.0%18.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.1
57.3%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.312.2
43.1%
35.4%36.6
🏀 Free throws17.014.0
82.4%
76.0%14.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWLWWWWLW
Bayern
WWWWLWLWLW
#2
League position
#1
+4.6
Net rating
+12.0
109.6
Offensive rating
121.5
105.0
Defensive rating
109.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
60.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
19.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.6%
3-point %
43.1%
67.6%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 121.5Defence105.0 · 109.4Shooting50.9% · 60.6%3-point %30.6% · 43.1%Ball care19.5% · 14.8%Off. rebounds35.3% · 26.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
05/05/24Bayern v Alba Berlin77-53
18/01/24Alba Berlin v Bayern65-82
05/10/23Bayern v Alba Berlin80-68
17/03/23Bayern v Alba Berlin75-76
04/03/23Alba Berlin v Bayern71-76
18/02/23Bayern v Alba Berlin83-77
08/01/23Bayern v Alba Berlin79-80
10/11/22Alba Berlin v Bayern77-79
19/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin81-96
17/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern60-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24HBonn90-69
05/05/24ABayern53-77
30/04/24HHeidelberg96-89
28/04/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-90
24/04/24HRostock91-74
21/04/24HBamberg98-92
17/04/24AHamburg84-76
14/04/24ASyntainics MBC76-67
11/04/24APanathinaikos75-84
07/04/24HLudwigsburg100-91
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/24ALudwigsburg85-80
05/05/24HAlba Berlin77-53
01/05/24AUlm81-74
28/04/24HTubingen92-73
21/04/24AHeidelberg82-89
14/04/24AWurzburg90-82
11/04/24AMonaco85-89
07/04/24HBasketball Braunschweig91-61
05/04/24HPanathinaikos75-82
31/03/24ABamberg99-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW78%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %78%94%62%
Points / game90.295.684.8
Allowed / game81.680.582.8
Point differential+8.6+15.1+2.1
Avg total171.8176.1167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%69%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW84%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %84%94%75%
Points / game88.689.987.3
Allowed / game76.674.179.1
Point differential+12.0+15.8+8.2
Avg total165.2164.0166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%69%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %9%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3227584%88.676.6+12.0
2 Alba Berlin3225778%90.281.6+8.6
3 Chemnitz3325876%89.179.2+9.9
4 Wurzburg3324973%87.580.2+7.4
5 Ulm33231070%90.983.7+7.2
6 Vechta33201361%88.082.8+5.2
7 Bonn33191458%89.686.3+3.2
8 Ludwigsburg33181555%88.482.8+5.6
9 Oldenburg33171652%85.183.8+1.2
10 Hamburg33161748%85.886.8-1.1
11 Bamberg33151845%88.689.3-0.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig33151845%82.084.6-2.6
13 Syntainics MBC33112233%86.093.1-7.1
14 Gottingen33102330%85.993.0-7.1
15 Rostock3392427%87.292.8-5.7
16 Crailsheim Merlins3382524%81.292.2-11.1
17 Heidelberg3382524%82.593.8-11.3
18 Tubingen3362718%82.495.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin121892059
Bayern171120553
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