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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 62-100
21-23 9-29 16-31 16-17
Position#4
Record23-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#1
Record23-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game76.0
GermanyBBLRound 30
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
no box
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 76
H30/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 76
H01/04
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 76
A03/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
83-62
83
62
+21
84avg 76
H06/04
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 76
A09/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
83-85
83
85
-2
78avg 76
H11/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
85avg 76
A13/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
68avg 76
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 76
A22/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
24-20
14-17
22-21
15-18
19-17
10-18
24-24
21-22
16-14
20-18
14-16
26-19
20-24
21-20
27-32
18-19
26-10
17-18
22-15
29-22
14-15
17-18
22-17
16-18
22-19
22-31
23-17
33-18
14-18
19-24
23-11
18-16
26-11
20-26
14-26
12-26
17-21
24-18
16-15
158.5Avg total
80.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.878.1165.9+9.877%
Season at home (15)88.975.4164.3+13.587%
Season away (15)86.880.7167.5+6.167%
Last 10 (10)80.378.2158.5+2.140%
Last 5 (5)80.277.4157.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.075.5156.5+5.5100%
vs Similar (12)79.381.1160.4-1.850%
vs Weaker (16)85.776.4162.1+9.275%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 77
A23/03
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 77
A26/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 77
H28/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
84avg 77
A30/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
82avg 77
H02/04
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
83avg 77
A04/04
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
81-58
81
58
+23
80avg 77
H08/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
72avg 77
H10/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
W
102-96
102
96
+6
102avg 77
A13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
78avg 77
H22/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
23-19
14-21
11-20
23-22
17-23
18-17
9-18
32-18
13-20
30-21
18-23
23-21
28-20
10-27
25-28
26-13
27-29
17-22
16-26
21-22
16-20
21-13
22-20
24-22
25-8
17-16
15-12
10-15
19-15
16-23
23-22
29-20
20-30
25-24
28-22
17-11
19-23
14-23
32-30
164.9Avg total
82.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.876.0161.8+9.879%
Season at home (16)86.874.2161.1+12.681%
Season away (13)84.578.2162.6+6.377%
Last 10 (10)82.082.9164.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)82.678.2160.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.486.0162.4-9.60%
vs Similar (8)83.180.8163.9+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.275.2162.4+11.976%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.2-2.2
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A27/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H30/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/04
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A03/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/04
BBL
Barcelona
#2
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H11/04
BBL
Bonn
#13
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/04
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/04
Euroleague
77.3Avg total
40.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.938.477.3+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.837.576.4+1.362%-
Last 30 away (17)38.939.077.9-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.877.3+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.877.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.041.581.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (12)37.738.776.3-1.042%-
vs Weaker (16)39.737.877.4+1.962%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A23/03
BBL
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A30/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H02/04
Euroleague
Bonn
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A04/04
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H08/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/04
BBL
Giessen
#17
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A13/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H22/04
BBL
84.0Avg total
43.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.281.5+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.835.475.1+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)44.542.687.1+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.184.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.277.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
vs Similar (8)40.641.482.0-0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.937.880.7+5.271%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.6
53.0%
54.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.9
35.7%
37.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.2
75.4%
78.0%13.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.4
55.7%
54.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.4
38.0%
37.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws13.811.2
81.2%
78.0%11.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLWLWWLWLL
Alba Berlin
LWLWWLLWLL
#4
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
-1.0
109.1
Offensive rating
110.5
107.0
Defensive rating
111.4
53.2%
Effective FG%
56.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
35.7%
3-point %
38.0%
60.7%
Assist %
74.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 110.5Defence107.0 · 111.4Shooting53.2% · 56.3%3-point %35.7% · 38.0%Ball care16.0% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.9% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bayern wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
05/02/21Bayern v Alba Berlin101-95 OT
03/01/21Alba Berlin v Bayern85-72
09/10/20Alba Berlin v Bayern72-90
10/11/19Bayern v Alba Berlin84-80
28/04/19Alba Berlin v Bayern75-85
23/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin70-78
16/12/18Bayern v Alba Berlin83-81
16/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin106-85
13/06/18Alba Berlin v Bayern72-68
10/06/18Bayern v Alba Berlin72-66
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/21AOlimpia Milano69-80
20/04/21AOlimpia Milano78-79
13/04/21ABonn89-71
11/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig83-85
09/04/21ABarcelona82-72
06/04/21HBayreuth83-62
03/04/21AGiessen94-95
01/04/21HZalgiris Kaunas71-70
30/03/21HFenerbahce68-77
27/03/21AHamburg86-91 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/21HBasketball Braunschweig82-87
13/04/21AGiessen102-96
10/04/21HHamburg68-75
08/04/21HCrvena zvezda81-58
04/04/21ABonn80-75
02/04/21HValencia86-90
30/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas86-96
28/03/21HSyntainics MBC93-82
26/03/21ABarcelona67-80
23/03/21AHamburg75-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW77%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %77%87%67%
Points / game87.888.986.8
Allowed / game78.175.480.7
Point differential+9.8+13.5+6.1
Avg total165.9164.3167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL79%
HomeLWWLL81%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %79%81%77%
Points / game85.886.884.5
Allowed / game76.074.278.2
Point differential+9.8+12.6+6.3
Avg total161.8161.1162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%81%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)0% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg2927293%88.676.9+11.8
2 Alba Berlin2923679%85.876.0+9.8
3 Bayern3023777%87.878.1+9.8
4 Oldenburg3022873%93.685.0+8.6
5 Crailsheim Merlins3021970%87.282.7+4.4
6 Hamburg30201067%84.978.7+6.2
7 Ulm30191163%87.878.5+9.3
8 Bamberg29151452%84.481.4+3.0
9 Gottingen29121741%83.389.3-6.0
10 Basketball Braunschweig30121840%83.187.8-4.7
11 Frankfurt28111739%77.282.4-5.1
12 Bonn30111937%82.784.7-2.0
13 Bayreuth30111937%83.385.7-2.4
14 Chemnitz30111937%79.587.5-8.0
15 s.Oliver Wurzburg2992031%78.187.0-8.9
16 Syntainics MBC3192229%83.689.9-6.3
17 Giessen3062420%84.594.5-10.0
18 Vechta3052517%79.288.5-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern219161662
Alba Berlin23293117100
← all games of the day
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