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Alba Berlin vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-92
26-16 18-21 19-28 20-27
Position#18
Record1-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Paris 🏆
Position#9
Record2-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6· Uber Arena
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
W
105-70
105
70
+35
107avg 76
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 76
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 76
A06/10
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 76
A11/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
76avg 76
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
82avg 76
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 76
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
76avg 76
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
57-80
57
80
-23
48avg 76
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
65-61
65
61
+4
57avg 76
H27/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
20-28
28-20
29-11
17-26
19-19
21-17
20-25
23-22
21-24
22-24
21-21
16-19
21-24
17-20
19-25
17-26
11-17
22-19
25-12
20-13
16-23
28-18
20-25
16-15
15-23
16-20
24-20
21-21
20-16
19-25
18-19
13-24
13-15
14-24
17-17
17-14
20-17
17-9
11-21
156.1Avg total
77.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.482.4154.8-10.020%
Season at home (3)77.381.3158.7-4.033%
Season away (2)65.084.0149.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)77.278.9156.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)71.075.8146.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.881.0153.8-8.233%
vs Similar (12)75.175.6150.7-0.550%
vs Weaker (12)90.180.7170.8+9.467%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
102-87
102
87
+15
110avg 91
A28/09
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
60avg 91
H04/10
Euroleague
La Rochelle
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
90avg 91
H06/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
59avg 91
A11/10
Euroleague
Dijon
#8
W
97-83
97
83
+14
105avg 91
A13/10
LNB
Panathinaikos
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
71avg 91
H15/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
107-109
107
109
-2
97avg 91
A17/10
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
102-86
102
86
+16
115avg 91
H20/10
LNB
Monaco
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
83avg 91
A24/10
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
L
80-90
80
90
-10
86avg 91
A26/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
26-17
27-27
22-20
18-17
25-18
15-23
19-22
23-21
23-20
17-14
21-20
18-20
21-15
18-23
17-21
22-23
25-21
27-17
23-22
21-19
24-20
24-20
15-21
21-24
26-30
31-27
29-28
30-19
22-15
27-21
23-31
25-22
24-21
14-21
24-16
27-25
14-18
19-22
20-25
174.3Avg total
89.4Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.885.6171.4+0.240%
Season at home (2)80.580.0160.5+0.550%
Season away (3)89.389.3178.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)89.484.9174.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)92.089.0181.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)84.286.4170.7-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.979.0166.9+8.979%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Alba BerlinParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/10
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/10
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A24/10
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/10
BBL
76.1Avg total
36.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.379.2-1.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.338.478.7+1.965%-
Last 30 away (13)37.242.879.9-5.623%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.776.1-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.236.270.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.340.773.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (12)37.839.677.3-1.850%-
vs Weaker (12)43.440.884.2+2.667%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A28/09
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/10
Euroleague
La Rochelle
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/10
Euroleague
Dijon
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A13/10
LNB
Panathinaikos
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H15/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A17/10
Euroleague
Nanterre
#13
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/10
LNB
Monaco
#4
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A24/10
Euroleague
Cholet
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/10
LNB
87.0Avg total
46.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.484.6+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.241.885.0+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)43.241.184.3+2.175%-
Last 10 (10)46.240.887.0+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)46.842.689.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)42.243.485.7-1.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.339.183.4+5.171%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.3
54.9%
54.5%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.2
28.2%
36.2%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.4
69.8%
78.0%13.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.4
60.0%
54.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.6
34.3%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.915.6
71.2%
78.0%15.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLLLWWLLLW
Paris
LWWLWWLWLW
#18
League position
#9
-1.8
Net rating
+5.4
106.8
Offensive rating
121.2
108.6
Defensive rating
115.8
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.9%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.2%
3-point %
34.3%
65.3%
Assist %
54.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 121.2Defence108.6 · 115.8Shooting50.5% · 55.9%3-point %28.2% · 34.3%Ball care19.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds36.0% · 36.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
0
Paris wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HBasketball Braunschweig65-61
24/10/24ABaskonia57-80
20/10/24HChemnitz78-81
17/10/24HFenerbahce71-78
15/10/24HLyon-Villeurbanne84-79
13/10/24ACrailsheim Merlins75-74
11/10/24ABarcelona73-88
06/10/24ABonn87-91
03/10/24HPanathinaikos77-87
28/09/24HOldenburg105-70
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ACholet80-90
24/10/24AMonaco87-80
20/10/24HNanterre102-86
17/10/24ABayern107-109
15/10/24HPanathinaikos84-80
13/10/24ADijon97-83
11/10/24AOlimpia Milano74-79
06/10/24HLa Rochelle84-75
04/10/24HCrvena zvezda77-80
28/09/24AChalon/Saone102-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game72.477.365.0
Allowed / game82.481.384.0
Point differential-10.0-4.0-19.0
Avg total154.8158.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game85.880.589.3
Allowed / game85.680.089.3
Point differential+0.2+0.5+0.0
Avg total171.4160.5178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona65183%87.780.5+7.2
2 Zalgiris Kaunas54180%75.270.8+4.4
3 Panathinaikos53260%85.681.2+4.4
4 Real Madrid53260%87.883.4+4.4
5 Baskonia53260%76.873.0+3.8
6 Monaco53260%86.083.4+2.6
7 Crvena zvezda53260%80.079.6+0.4
8 Fenerbahce53260%75.275.4-0.2
9 Bayern53260%89.491.2-1.8
10 Anadolu Efes63350%86.785.5+1.2
11 Olympiacos52340%80.678.6+2.0
12 Partizan52340%82.881.6+1.2
13 Paris52340%85.885.6+0.2
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne52340%81.483.4-2.0
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%80.685.4-4.8
16 Virtus Bologna51420%75.080.8-5.8
17 Olimpia Milano51420%78.687.4-8.8
18 Alba Berlin51420%72.482.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2618192083
Paris1621282792
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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