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Bayern vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 109-107
24-21 30-26 27-31 28-29
Position#7
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game89.7
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Paris
03 Dec 2026
BAY v PRS
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
BAY81
PRS75
17 Oct 2024
BAY109
PRS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
67-63
67
63
+4
63avg 79
A12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 79
A14/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
73-59
73
59
+14
70avg 79
H20/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
70-78
70
78
-8
68avg 79
A22/09
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
72avg 79
H29/09
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
92avg 79
H03/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
95-81
95
81
+14
99avg 79
A06/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 79
A10/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#17
W
91-85
91
85
+6
93avg 79
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
78-86
78
86
-8
67avg 79
A15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
14-14
17-17
19-18
22-21
22-25
21-6
23-30
16-16
20-12
26-18
11-13
16-25
19-17
19-17
16-19
21-21
21-20
16-19
23-20
26-29
26-22
12-22
33-16
24-21
19-24
31-17
21-19
16-25
18-22
24-19
21-28
19-26
22-20
29-15
21-24
15-24
17-25
20-22
26-15
161.6Avg total
81.9Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.789.7174.3-5.033%
Season at home (1)97.089.0186.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)78.590.0168.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)81.979.7161.6+2.270%
Last 5 (5)88.087.0175.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.788.3168.0-8.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.172.2148.4+3.962%
vs Weaker (18)85.975.2161.1+10.883%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
W
77-70
77
70
+7
83avg 91
A06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
60avg 91
H09/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
76-115
76
115
-39
77avg 91
H12/06
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
85-89
85
89
-4
69avg 91
A22/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
102-87
102
87
+15
110avg 91
A28/09
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
60avg 91
H04/10
Euroleague
La Rochelle
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
90avg 91
H06/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
59avg 91
A11/10
Euroleague
Dijon
#8
W
97-83
97
83
+14
105avg 91
A13/10
LNB
Panathinaikos
#3
W
84-80
84
80
+4
71avg 91
H15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
13-25
17-15
22-19
14-28
21-18
10-18
14-24
18-37
19-26
18-30
21-22
22-24
24-20
23-25
16-20
27-23
26-17
27-27
22-20
18-17
25-18
15-23
19-22
23-21
23-20
17-14
21-20
18-20
21-15
18-23
17-21
22-23
25-21
27-17
23-22
21-19
24-20
24-20
15-21
166.1Avg total
81.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.379.7158.0-1.333%
Season at home (2)80.580.0160.5+0.550%
Season away (1)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)81.584.6166.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.279.4162.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.485.3167.7-2.950%
vs Weaker (16)88.075.1163.1+12.988%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.1-2.1
BayernParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H20/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/09
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/09
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H03/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A06/10
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A10/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/10
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A15/10
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
39.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.779.6+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.736.980.6+6.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.540.278.8-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.381.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.688.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.346.379.7-13.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.938.577.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (18)43.137.180.2+6.189%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A06/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H09/06
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
37-63
37
63
-26
H12/06
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A22/09
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#7
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A28/09
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H04/10
Euroleague
La Rochelle
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A11/10
Euroleague
Dijon
#8
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A13/10
LNB
Panathinaikos
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H15/10
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
42.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.784.2+2.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.341.986.1+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.739.682.3+3.180%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.385.2+0.680%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.882.8+5.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.442.784.1-1.364%-
vs Weaker (16)45.339.084.3+6.375%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.616.1
52.6%
54.5%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.2
34.0%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.117.9
84.8%
78.0%17.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.3
57.8%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.4
30.8%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.913.9
69.8%
78.0%13.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLWWWLWWW
Paris
WWLWLWLLLW
#7
League position
#9
+2.2
Net rating
-4.3
109.2
Offensive rating
113.2
107.0
Defensive rating
117.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
21.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.0%
3-point %
30.8%
67.3%
Assist %
49.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 113.2Defence107.0 · 117.6Shooting51.8% · 52.3%3-point %34.0% · 30.8%Ball care21.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds33.5% · 32.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
0
Paris wins
No previous meetings.
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24APartizan78-86
13/10/24ABonn91-85
10/10/24APanathinaikos79-94
06/10/24AGottingen95-81
03/10/24HReal Madrid97-89
29/09/24HHamburg81-80
22/09/24ALudwigsburg70-78
20/09/24HChemnitz73-59
14/06/24AAlba Berlin88-82
12/06/24AAlba Berlin67-63
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24HPanathinaikos84-80
13/10/24ADijon97-83
11/10/24AOlimpia Milano74-79
06/10/24HLa Rochelle84-75
04/10/24HCrvena zvezda77-80
28/09/24AChalon/Saone102-87
22/09/24AGravelines-Dunkerque85-89
12/06/24HMonaco76-115
09/06/24HMonaco59-88
06/06/24AMonaco77-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game84.797.078.5
Allowed / game89.789.090.0
Point differential-5.0+8.0-11.5
Avg total174.3186.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.380.574.0
Allowed / game79.780.079.0
Point differential-1.3+0.5-5.0
Avg total158.0160.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda330100%78.068.3+9.7
2 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%74.572.8+1.8
3 Fenerbahce43175%75.074.0+1.0
4 Barcelona32167%80.372.7+7.7
5 Panathinaikos32167%87.080.0+7.0
6 Olympiacos32167%78.072.7+5.3
7 Monaco32167%83.081.7+1.3
8 Baskonia32167%78.377.3+1.0
9 Partizan42250%86.284.5+1.8
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv42250%85.087.2-2.2
11 Anadolu Efes31233%81.781.0+0.7
12 Paris31233%78.379.7-1.3
13 Real Madrid31233%84.786.3-1.7
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%82.786.0-3.3
15 Bayern31233%84.789.7-5.0
16 Alba Berlin41325%76.283.0-6.8
17 Olimpia Milano41325%77.285.2-8.0
18 Virtus Bologna3030%73.378.0-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern24302728109
Paris21263129107
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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