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Baskonia vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 80-57
24-13 15-13 24-14 17-17
Position#14
Record2-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#18
Record1-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 5· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Baskonia v Alba Berlin
24 Oct 2024
BAS80
ABE57
08 Mar 2024
BAS88
ABE71
28 Mar 2023
BAS93
ABE87
18 Mar 2022
BAS85
ABE68
22 Jan 2021
BAS77
ABE84
05 Nov 2008
BAS106
ABE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
94avg 81
H10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
100-106
100
106
-6
83avg 81
A12/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 81
A29/09
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 81
H03/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
84avg 81
H05/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
66avg 81
A09/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
91avg 81
H12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
68avg 81
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
69-76
69
76
-7
58avg 81
A18/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 81
A20/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
16-24
23-11
25-20
26-28
21-28
29-20
24-30
13-17
28-23
23-21
16-27
16-17
16-21
27-22
29-22
16-21
29-30
27-24
19-20
20-25
14-17
15-17
22-19
20-20
20-24
20-17
24-23
16-18
20-17
12-17
28-20
12-20
14-18
28-15
15-23
21-26
20-12
27-24
25-27
171.4Avg total
85.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.077.0153.0-1.050%
Season at home (2)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)70.077.0147.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)85.785.7171.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)80.881.4162.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.096.2189.2-3.238%
vs Similar (18)85.587.8173.3-2.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)93.288.0181.2+5.275%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 78
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
105-70
105
70
+35
107avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 78
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 78
A06/10
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 78
A11/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
76avg 78
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
82avg 78
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 78
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
L
78-81
78
81
-3
76avg 78
H20/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
25-22
6-21
30-23
15-21
29-27
25-22
11-27
28-11
20-28
28-20
29-11
17-26
19-19
21-17
20-25
23-22
21-24
22-24
21-21
16-19
21-24
17-20
19-25
17-26
11-17
22-19
25-12
20-13
16-23
28-18
20-25
16-15
15-23
16-20
24-20
21-21
20-16
19-25
18-19
164.5Avg total
81.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.283.0159.2-6.825%
Season at home (3)77.381.3158.7-4.033%
Season away (1)73.088.0161.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)81.283.3164.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)76.280.0156.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)76.081.2157.2-5.240%
vs Similar (11)76.076.9152.9-0.945%
vs Weaker (14)90.281.1171.4+9.171%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
BaskoniaAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A12/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/09
ACB
Partizan
#12
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H03/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H05/10
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A09/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H12/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A20/10
ACB
81.8Avg total
38.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.445.988.3-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.043.688.6+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.147.987.9-7.819%-
Last 10 (10)38.843.081.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.474.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.947.293.1-1.450%-
vs Similar (18)40.244.784.9-4.622%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.248.593.8-3.225%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/10
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/10
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H20/10
BBL
81.0Avg total
39.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.179.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.839.179.9+1.665%-
Last 30 away (13)38.241.579.7-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.981.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.639.474.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.641.074.6-7.40%-
vs Similar (11)37.840.478.2-2.545%-
vs Weaker (14)43.339.682.9+3.671%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.1
52.6%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.9
38.8%
36.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
78.0%14.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.2
57.0%
54.5%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.6
28.8%
36.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.214.2
74.0%
78.0%14.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWWLLWLLW
Alba Berlin
LLWWLLLWLL
#14
League position
#18
-0.5
Net rating
-2.6
115.9
Offensive rating
110.7
116.5
Defensive rating
113.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.0%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.7%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.8%
3-point %
28.8%
57.0%
Assist %
64.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 110.7Defence116.5 · 113.3Shooting54.9% · 52.0%3-point %38.8% · 28.8%Ball care16.5% · 19.7%Off. rebounds31.8% · 38.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Baskonia   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24ABarcelona93-89
18/10/24ALyon-Villeurbanne69-76
15/10/24HReal Madrid76-72
12/10/24HMurcia95-92 OT
09/10/24ACrvena zvezda71-78
05/10/24HMoraBanc Andorra91-95
03/10/24HPartizan88-82
29/09/24ATenerife80-88
12/05/24AReal Madrid100-106
10/05/24HMurcia94-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HChemnitz78-81
17/10/24HFenerbahce71-78
15/10/24HLyon-Villeurbanne84-79
13/10/24ACrailsheim Merlins75-74
11/10/24ABarcelona73-88
06/10/24ABonn87-91
03/10/24HPanathinaikos77-87
28/09/24HOldenburg105-70
22/09/24AHamburg80-97
14/06/24HBayern82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.082.070.0
Allowed / game77.077.077.0
Point differential-1.0+5.0-7.0
Avg total153.0159.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLWL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game76.277.373.0
Allowed / game83.081.388.0
Point differential-6.8-4.0-15.0
Avg total159.2158.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas54180%75.270.8+4.4
2 Barcelona43175%84.878.0+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda43175%82.075.8+6.2
4 Fenerbahce43175%75.074.0+1.0
5 Monaco53260%86.083.4+2.6
6 Panathinaikos42250%86.882.5+4.2
7 Olympiacos42250%80.877.2+3.5
8 Anadolu Efes42250%84.083.0+1.0
9 Real Madrid42250%86.086.2-0.2
10 Lyon-Villeurbanne42250%81.081.8-0.8
11 Baskonia42250%76.077.0-1.0
12 Bayern42250%90.894.0-3.2
13 Partizan52340%82.881.6+1.2
14 Paris52340%85.885.6+0.2
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv52340%80.685.4-4.8
16 Alba Berlin41325%76.283.0-6.8
17 Olimpia Milano41325%77.285.2-8.0
18 Virtus Bologna51420%75.080.8-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2415241780
Alba Berlin1313141757
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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