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Alba Berlin vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 78-81
21-21 20-16 19-25 18-19
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game80.0
GermanyBBLRound 5· Uber Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Chemnitz
18 Sep 2026
ABE89
CHE82
03 May 2026
ABE82
CHE84
20 Oct 2024
ABE78
CHE81
06 Jun 2024
ABE97
CHE84
31 May 2024
ABE86
CHE64
28 May 2024
ABE82
CHE95
31 Dec 2023
ABE101
CHE90
11 Mar 2023
ABE101
CHE91
19 Feb 2022
ABE91
CHE81
05 Dec 2021
ABE83
CHE62
07 Feb 2021
ABE83
CHE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 78
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
80-97
80
97
-17
75avg 78
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
105-70
105
70
+35
107avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 78
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
87-91
87
91
-4
82avg 78
A06/10
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 78
A11/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
76avg 78
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
82avg 78
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 78
H17/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
14-14
17-17
18-19
21-22
25-22
6-21
30-23
15-21
29-27
25-22
11-27
28-11
20-28
28-20
29-11
17-26
19-19
21-17
20-25
23-22
21-24
22-24
21-21
16-19
21-24
17-20
19-25
17-26
11-17
22-19
25-12
20-13
16-23
28-18
20-25
16-15
15-23
16-20
24-20
161.6Avg total
79.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.786.0176.7+4.733%
Season at home (1)105.070.0175.0+35.0100%
Season away (2)83.594.0177.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)79.781.9161.6-2.230%
Last 5 (5)78.082.0160.0-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.081.2157.2-5.240%
vs Similar (11)76.076.9152.9-0.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.180.1170.2+9.979%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
64-86
64
86
-22
51avg 81
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 81
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
72avg 81
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 81
A06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
51avg 81
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
84avg 81
H22/09
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 81
A02/10
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 81
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 81
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
103-75
103
75
+28
112avg 81
H16/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
23-21
12-21
12-17
14-26
15-11
24-24
31-11
28-27
23-16
17-22
17-31
28-30
25-18
20-26
11-23
16-16
12-20
18-26
13-11
18-24
20-23
21-22
27-21
17-22
25-25
18-21
21-19
24-16
20-18
21-17
23-26
10-19
25-23
15-15
23-21
32-17
25-16
22-21
24-21
163.8Avg total
80.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.780.0157.7-2.333%
Season at home (2)87.083.5170.5+3.550%
Season away (1)59.073.0132.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)80.783.1163.8-2.430%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.383.3158.7-8.00%
vs Similar (15)85.583.7169.2+1.953%
vs Weaker (11)92.681.0173.6+11.673%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
Alba BerlinChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H14/06
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A22/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H28/09
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/10
BBL
Barcelona
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/10
Euroleague
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A13/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H17/10
Euroleague
79.1Avg total
37.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.179.7-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.839.280.0+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)38.241.179.4-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.841.379.1-3.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.276.4-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.641.074.6-7.40%-
vs Similar (11)37.840.478.2-2.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.139.682.7+3.471%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H02/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A06/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/09
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H22/09
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/10
Champions League
Vechta
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H06/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/10
German Cup
Benfica
#30
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H16/10
Champions League
83.2Avg total
41.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.183.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.380.9+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.241.985.1+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.583.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.043.379.3-7.30%-
vs Similar (15)43.540.283.7+3.360%-
vs Weaker (11)44.638.983.5+5.773%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.4
56.4%
52.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.9
28.9%
33.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.113.4
74.0%
73.5%13.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.6
56.0%
52.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
33.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.511.8
71.5%
73.5%11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWLLLWLLL
Chemnitz
WLWLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#7
-3.0
Net rating
-3.1
108.8
Offensive rating
103.8
111.8
Defensive rating
106.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
19.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
28.9%
3-point %
33.1%
63.1%
Assist %
66.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 103.8Defence111.8 · 106.9Shooting51.5% · 53.3%3-point %28.9% · 33.1%Ball care19.8% · 18.9%Off. rebounds36.3% · 26.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Alba Berlin wins
3
Chemnitz wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HFenerbahce71-78
15/10/24HLyon-Villeurbanne84-79
13/10/24ACrailsheim Merlins75-74
11/10/24ABarcelona73-88
06/10/24ABonn87-91
03/10/24HPanathinaikos77-87
28/09/24HOldenburg105-70
22/09/24AHamburg80-97
14/06/24HBayern82-88
12/06/24HBayern63-67
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/24HBenfica103-75
13/10/24AHeidelberg73-78
06/10/24HVechta88-77
02/10/24ATortona81-87
22/09/24HUlm86-90
20/09/24ABayern59-73
06/06/24AAlba Berlin84-97
04/06/24HAlba Berlin85-96
02/06/24HAlba Berlin84-72
31/05/24AAlba Berlin64-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game90.7105.083.5
Allowed / game86.070.094.0
Point differential+4.7+35.0-10.5
Avg total176.7175.0177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game77.787.059.0
Allowed / game80.083.573.0
Point differential-2.3+3.5-14.0
Avg total157.7170.5132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn43175%89.081.5+7.5
2 Ulm43175%76.079.2-3.2
3 Basketball Braunschweig32167%84.073.3+10.7
4 Wurzburg32167%86.378.3+8.0
5 Ludwigsburg53260%74.470.0+4.4
6 Bayern53260%78.875.4+3.4
7 Rostock53260%81.479.0+2.4
8 Heidelberg53260%83.686.4-2.8
9 Hamburg42250%87.282.5+4.8
10 Frankfurt42250%76.872.8+4.0
11 Oldenburg42250%86.585.0+1.5
12 Syntainics MBC52340%83.086.8-3.8
13 Alba Berlin31233%90.786.0+4.7
14 Chemnitz31233%77.780.0-2.3
15 Bamberg31233%72.781.0-8.3
16 Vechta41325%77.080.8-3.8
17 Gottingen4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2120191878
Chemnitz2116251981
← all games of the day
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