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Alkar vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-72
23-12 14-21 17-18 20-21
Position#9
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game69.0
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#10
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 3· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb
22 Jan 2027
ALKA v DINA
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ALKA77
DINA72
11 Oct 2025
ALKA74
DINA72
02 May 2025
ALKA63
DINA62
08 Dec 2024
ALKA88
DINA80
20 Apr 2024
ALKA79
DINA100
03 Dec 2023
ALKA53
DINA76
29 Mar 2023
ALKA75
DINA85
17 Dec 2022
ALKA74
DINA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
W
71-62
71
62
+9
62avg 66
A13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
85-71
85
71
+14
86avg 66
H19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
79avg 66
A25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
63-62
63
62
+1
54avg 66
H02/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 66
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
71-97
71
97
-26
63avg 66
A15/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
74avg 66
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
74avg 66
A21/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 66
H27/09
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 66
A04/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
19-25
21-13
18-10
22-20
20-20
23-13
20-18
28-24
26-23
23-23
15-28
13-8
19-20
18-16
13-18
17-30
28-11
22-22
23-22
15-22
22-27
16-22
18-26
19-14
26-18
21-22
17-18
30-28
14-28
13-19
24-21
17-23
24-14
19-12
22-25
25-18
9-20
19-16
19-10
157.1Avg total
79.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.069.0146.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)72.064.0136.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.078.1157.1+0.970%
Last 5 (5)77.880.6158.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)73.480.3153.6-6.941%
vs Similar (9)75.170.1145.2+5.078%
vs Weaker (4)72.063.8135.8+8.275%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 80
H27/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
62-63
62
63
-1
59avg 80
A02/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
91avg 80
H08/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 80
A15/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
91avg 80
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
86-82
86
82
+4
90avg 80
A25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
55-88
55
88
-33
45avg 80
H28/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
63avg 80
A31/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 80
A27/09
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
74avg 80
H03/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
18-17
28-14
21-21
8-13
20-19
16-18
18-13
23-29
23-19
33-18
19-23
21-22
14-25
26-9
27-23
16-20
27-29
23-12
29-21
29-17
14-26
17-18
26-21
16-26
13-18
13-19
13-25
10-23
22-28
17-13
20-25
17-19
23-16
17-26
26-16
26-15
17-17
22-16
14-19
158.8Avg total
80.1Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)79.067.0146.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.178.7158.8+1.470%
Last 5 (5)74.480.6155.0-6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.590.0168.5-11.531%
vs Similar (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.177.1169.2+15.085%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
AlkarDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A13/04
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/04
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A25/04
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H02/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A10/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A21/05
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H27/09
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A04/10
Premijer liga
81.3Avg total
40.6Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.876.4-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.936.272.1-0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.380.7-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.640.781.3-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.140.678.7-2.647%-
vs Similar (9)38.438.877.2-0.344%-
vs Weaker (4)33.830.864.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#7
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A02/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H18/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A25/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H28/05
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A31/05
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A27/09
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/10
Premijer liga
79.3Avg total
37.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.385.5-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.643.184.7-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)40.945.386.2-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.779.3-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.078.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.949.287.2-11.30%-
vs Similar (4)42.235.277.5+7.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.242.286.3+2.054%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.9
49.0%
53.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
34.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
74.3%14.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.2
52.6%
53.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
34.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.518.3
74.7%
74.3%18.3
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
WWLWLWWLWW
Dinamo Zagreb
WWLLWWWWLW
#9
League position
#10
+1.0
Net rating
+2.2
106.6
Offensive rating
107.8
105.7
Defensive rating
105.6
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.9%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.43
36.5%
3-point %
35.8%
62.5%
Assist %
67.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 107.8Defence105.7 · 105.6Shooting51.5% · 53.0%3-point %36.5% · 35.8%Ball care17.0% · 20.9%Off. rebounds24.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Alkar   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alkar wins
8
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
02/05/25Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb63-62
01/03/25Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar96-86
08/12/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb88-80
20/04/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb79-100
02/03/24Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar74-68
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
17/12/22Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-86
01/10/22Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar91-83
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AGKK Sibenka72-64
27/09/25HDubrava82-74
21/05/25ASplit81-96
18/05/25HSplit83-72
15/05/25ASplit71-97
10/05/25ACibona90-85
02/05/25HDinamo Zagreb63-62
25/04/25AKvarner92-98
19/04/25HDubrava85-71
13/04/25AZabok71-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/25HCedevita Junior79-67
27/09/25ADubrovnik83-77
31/05/25ASplit69-89
28/05/25HSplit55-88
25/05/25ASplit86-82
18/05/25HCedevita Junior95-82
15/05/25ACedevita Junior88-79
08/05/25HZabok98-89
02/05/25AAlkar62-63
27/04/25HGKK Sibenka86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.082.072.0
Allowed / game69.074.064.0
Point differential+8.0+8.0+8.0
Avg total146.0156.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.079.083.0
Allowed / game72.067.077.0
Point differential+9.0+12.0+6.0
Avg total153.0146.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar330100%88.777.3+11.3
2 Dinamo Zagreb220100%81.072.0+9.0
3 Alkar220100%77.069.0+8.0
4 Cibona32167%89.780.3+9.3
5 Cedevita Junior32167%85.077.0+8.0
6 Split32167%81.379.0+2.3
7 Zabok31233%80.078.7+1.3
8 Samobor31233%82.382.7-0.3
9 Dubrava31233%76.782.3-5.7
10 Dubrovnik31233%76.084.3-8.3
11 Kvarner3030%67.080.3-13.3
12 GKK Sibenka3030%72.388.3-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar2314172074
Dinamo Zagreb1221182172
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