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Alkar vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 17· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2026-27
Meetings · Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb
22 Jan 2027
ALKA v DINA
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ALKA77
DINA72
11 Oct 2025
ALKA74
DINA72
02 May 2025
ALKA63
DINA62
08 Dec 2024
ALKA88
DINA80
20 Apr 2024
ALKA79
DINA100
03 Dec 2023
ALKA53
DINA76
29 Mar 2023
ALKA75
DINA85
17 Dec 2022
ALKA74
DINA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
86avg 68
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#12
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
96avg 68
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 68
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 68
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
71avg 68
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
64avg 68
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 68
A30/10
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#8
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H08/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A15/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
18-21
21-22
24-15
21-17
16-22
26-16
21-29
23-22
23-21
18-26
9-19
20-22
26-32
16-16
20-23
21-20
26-28
16-17
15-18
24-20
23-16
16-21
12-19
17-26
16-20
20-19
22-20
25-22
15-28
24-25
16-17
24-21
30-14
23-17
14-20
18-21
28-21
20-14
15-22
166.7Avg total
82.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.882.1162.9-1.438%
Season at home (4)79.280.0159.2-0.825%
Season away (4)82.284.2166.5-2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.284.5166.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)80.480.6161.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)72.280.7152.9-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.382.2162.5-1.850%
vs Weaker (4)84.579.5164.0+5.075%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Kastela
#13
W
97-61
97
61
+36
102avg 76
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
104avg 76
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 76
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
86avg 76
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
55-100
55
100
-45
33avg 76
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
85-62
85
62
+23
85avg 76
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
61-87
61
87
-26
55avg 76
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 76
H30/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
A06/11
Premijer liga
Samobor
#12
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
16-18
21-7
31-21
39-23
18-29
31-13
13-17
24-27
17-18
17-10
22-23
25-23
21-20
23-17
25-25
17-30
8-16
18-21
12-33
23-16
19-18
24-7
19-21
17-26
15-21
17-19
12-21
26-17
20-16
19-20
20-22
16-19
18-24
21-28
20-17
26-21
28-13
17-18
12-23
160.9Avg total
81.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.281.2158.5-4.062%
Season at home (5)85.475.0160.4+10.4100%
Season away (3)63.791.7155.3-28.00%
Last 10 (10)81.679.3160.9+2.370%
Last 5 (5)77.877.4155.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.797.0174.7-19.310%
vs Similar ◀ (13)84.387.4171.7-3.146%
vs Weaker (7)86.676.1162.7+10.471%
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
AlkarDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A30/09
ENBL
Samobor
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H10/10
Premijer liga
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A14/10
ENBL
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A18/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H03/11
ENBL
Dubrovnik
#10
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H08/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/11
Premijer liga
85.9Avg total
42.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.378.5-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)37.642.680.2-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.285.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.440.176.5-3.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.540.580.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#13
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/05
Premijer liga
Kastela
#13
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A20/05
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H26/09
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/10
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H17/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H30/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/11
Premijer liga
Samobor
#12
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H14/11
Premijer liga
83.2Avg total
42.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.544.784.2-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.042.083.0-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)37.947.485.3-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.083.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.279.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.249.586.7-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.843.384.1-2.531%-
vs Weaker (7)40.340.480.7-0.157%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.1
56.1%
54.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
71.7%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.4
56.5%
54.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
34.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.314.4
70.9%
71.7%14.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
WWLLLLLLWW
Dinamo Zagreb
WLWLWLWWWW
#8
League position
#4
-6.7
Net rating
-1.0
93.5
Offensive rating
96.0
100.3
Defensive rating
97.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.8%
3-point %
34.5%
58.3%
Assist %
63.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 96.0Defence100.3 · 97.1Shooting52.7% · 54.5%3-point %31.8% · 34.5%Ball care15.9% · 16.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Alkar   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Alkar wins
5
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar85-75
25/04/26Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb77-72
03/01/26Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar76-81
11/10/25Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-72
02/05/25Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb63-62
01/03/25Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar96-86
08/12/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb88-80
20/04/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb79-100
02/03/24Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar74-68
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AKvarner81-78
08/11/26HDubrovnik91-72
03/11/26HDonar Groningen80-92
30/10/26ADinamo Zagreb75-85
25/10/26HSplit75-76
18/10/26ACedevita Junior78-83
14/10/26ASpartak Pleven82-93
10/10/26HSkrljevo73-88
04/10/26ASamobor95-91 OT
30/09/26AZrinjski Mostar92-87 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSamobor83-75
06/11/26ACibona75-88
30/10/26HAlkar85-75
23/10/26AZadar61-87
17/10/26HDubrava85-62
11/10/26AKvarner55-100
03/10/26HDubrovnik94-85
26/09/26HZabok80-78
20/05/26AKastela101-82
16/05/26HKastela97-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game80.879.282.2
Allowed / game82.180.084.2
Point differential-1.4-0.8-2.0
Avg total162.9159.2166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%100%0%
Points / game77.285.463.7
Allowed / game81.275.091.7
Point differential-4.0+10.4-28.0
Avg total158.5160.4155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner84450%87.583.5+4.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar83538%80.882.1-1.4
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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