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Alkar vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-80
18-26 32-23 16-10 22-21
Position#7
Record2-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game77.6
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#6
Record3-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game86.9
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 11· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb
22 Jan 2027
ALKA v DINA
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
ALKA77
DINA72
11 Oct 2025
ALKA74
DINA72
02 May 2025
ALKA63
DINA62
08 Dec 2024
ALKA88
DINA80
20 Apr 2024
ALKA79
DINA100
03 Dec 2023
ALKA53
DINA76
29 Mar 2023
ALKA75
DINA85
17 Dec 2022
ALKA74
DINA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
64-81
64
81
-17
50avg 69
A05/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 69
H12/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
69-83
69
83
-14
53avg 69
A20/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
78avg 69
H27/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
67avg 69
A30/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
57-80
57
80
-23
47avg 69
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
55-64
55
64
-9
42avg 69
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
52avg 69
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
67-75 OT
67
75
-8
53avg 69
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 69
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
18-23
14-16
19-22
22-16
16-21
21-32
23-7
11-23
15-19
24-24
19-17
24-25
29-15
10-15
21-19
17-25
18-18
20-20
20-21
25-12
8-27
18-18
6-23
24-16
5-17
12-10
14-21
11-24
26-11
14-14
12-16
15-13
15-13
15-23
19-15
18-21
27-15
20-19
20-15
145.3Avg total
70.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)66.377.6143.9-11.320%
Season at home (4)71.573.8145.2-2.250%
Season away (6)62.880.2143.0-17.30%
Last 10 (10)70.175.2145.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)65.470.8136.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)70.083.8153.8-13.87%
vs Similar (9)74.078.0152.0-4.033%
vs Weaker (5)97.273.8171.0+23.480%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 80
A06/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
79-65
79
65
+14
79avg 80
H12/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
85-101
85
101
-16
76avg 80
A20/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
111-121 OT
111
121
-10
106avg 80
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
81-97
81
97
-16
79avg 80
A30/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
69-92
69
92
-23
61avg 80
H03/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 80
A08/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
87avg 80
H15/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
58-64
58
64
-6
51avg 80
H29/11
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#7
L
85-86
85
86
-1
84avg 80
A03/12
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-21
25-13
20-16
15-15
18-16
19-18
27-16
28-25
17-27
15-22
25-27
27-28
25-18
19-24
21-22
20-17
25-25
21-27
15-28
22-14
9-30
15-25
23-23
15-22
23-17
21-28
16-15
25-14
22-32
22-14
18-18
12-17
18-11
19-22
9-14
22-24
25-22
16-19
22-21
166.6Avg total
81.0Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.186.9169.0-4.830%
Season at home (6)83.386.5169.8-3.233%
Season away (4)80.287.5167.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)81.085.6166.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)74.880.4155.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.190.9164.0-17.80%
vs Similar (6)87.885.8173.7+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.379.2169.5+11.277%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
AlkarDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A05/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H12/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A20/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H27/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A30/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H02/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H16/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A30/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A03/12
Croatian Cup
73.1Avg total
35.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.977.9-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.840.278.1-2.438%-
Last 30 away (17)38.139.777.8-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.473.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.868.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.242.177.3-6.920%-
vs Similar (9)34.438.673.0-4.144%-
vs Weaker (5)51.436.888.2+14.680%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A06/10
Premijer liga
Osijek
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H12/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A20/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A30/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H03/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A08/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H15/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H29/11
Premijer liga
Marsonia
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/12
Croatian Cup
81.8Avg total
40.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.084.8+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.241.984.1+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)43.442.185.5+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.581.8-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.843.881.6-6.020%-
vs Similar (6)46.545.792.2+0.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.538.783.2+5.862%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.7
49.9%
53.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.8
29.2%
34.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws12.68.3
65.9%
73.3%8.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.1
38.2%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.613.9
67.5%
73.3%13.9
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
WLLLLLWLWL
Dinamo Zagreb
LLWLLLLLWW
#7
League position
#6
-7.0
Net rating
-5.8
93.4
Offensive rating
105.6
100.4
Defensive rating
111.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.7%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.34
29.2%
3-point %
38.2%
59.6%
Assist %
70.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 105.6Defence100.4 · 111.3Shooting47.4% · 54.8%3-point %29.2% · 38.2%Ball care18.5% · 20.7%Off. rebounds23.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.20 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Alkar   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alkar wins
7
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb79-100
02/03/24Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar74-68
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
17/12/22Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-86
01/10/22Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar91-83
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24ASkrljevo85-70
30/11/24AGKK Sibenka67-75 OT
16/11/24HCedevita Junior63-65
09/11/24ADubrovnik55-64
02/11/24HSplit57-80
30/10/24ACibona75-84
27/10/24HOsijek84-74
20/10/24ADubrava69-83
12/10/24HZabok82-76
05/10/24AKvarner64-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24AMarsonia85-86
29/11/24HZadar58-64
15/11/24HKvarner87-78
08/11/24AGKK Sibenka75-82
03/11/24HCedevita Junior69-92
30/10/24ADubrovnik81-97
25/10/24HSplit111-121 OT
20/10/24ACibona85-101
12/10/24HOsijek79-65
06/10/24ADubrava80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game66.371.562.8
Allowed / game77.673.880.2
Point differential-11.3-2.2-17.3
Avg total143.9145.2143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %10%0%17%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game82.183.380.2
Allowed / game86.986.587.5
Point differential-4.8-3.2-7.2
Avg total169.0169.8167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar10100100%82.363.1+19.2
2 Split1110191%92.775.5+17.3
3 Cedevita Junior117464%82.173.9+8.2
4 Cibona117464%83.580.0+3.5
5 Kvarner105550%84.281.3+2.9
6 GKK Sibenka115645%76.882.5-5.6
7 Zabok115645%79.485.1-5.7
8 Dubrava114736%76.883.2-6.4
9 Dinamo Zagreb103730%82.186.9-4.8
10 Dubrovnik113827%74.278.6-4.5
11 Osijek113827%71.183.3-12.2
12 Alkar102820%66.377.6-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar1832162288
Dinamo Zagreb2623102180
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