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Split vs Dinamo Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-60
19-14 19-14 24-13 12-19
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game63.3
Split 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game64.3
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 4· Dvorana KK Split
Other2023-24
Meetings · Split v Dinamo Zagreb
11 Dec 2026
SPL v DINA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SPL94
DINA99
31 May 2025
SPL89
DINA69
25 May 2025
SPL82
DINA86
09 Apr 2025
SPL94
DINA86
06 Mar 2025
SPL79
DINA61
02 Apr 2024
SPL74
DINA51
15 Oct 2023
SPL74
DINA60
01 Nov 2022
SPL96
DINA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dinamo Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
90-67
90
67
+23
no box
A23/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H30/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
84-94 OT
84
94
-10
no box
H01/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
62-99
62
99
-37
no box
A04/06
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
65avg 74
H29/09
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
90-56
90
56
+34
89avg 74
H02/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
86avg 74
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 74
H08/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 74
A12/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
68-97
68
97
-29
55avg 74
A14/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
23-23
19-11
25-17
16-24
30-18
13-16
17-27
19-13
15-25
28-21
13-16
17-27
9-24
10-18
26-30
21-18
16-17
13-16
22-25
15-18
24-12
21-14
30-12
18-20
31-21
19-25
22-29
17-18
24-11
16-22
23-11
20-18
16-16
17-21
23-17
23-27
9-28
16-16
20-26
159.1Avg total
78.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.063.3145.3+18.7100%
Season at home (2)85.059.0144.0+26.0100%
Season away (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.880.3159.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)80.876.4157.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.090.0161.0-19.00%
vs Similar (12)82.687.2169.8-4.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.671.9161.5+17.688%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Zabok
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
A22/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
no box
H25/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A29/04
Premijer liga
Gorica
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
H07/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
no box
A10/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H13/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
65-90
65
90
-25
no box
A17/05
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
98-59
98
59
+39
104avg 101
H29/09
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 101
A07/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
106-61
106
61
+45
115avg 101
H10/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
18-15
20-25
16-16
29-18
23-21
29-16
18-17
32-22
28-17
9-19
18-16
16-19
15-17
15-17
33-20
11-20
13-23
17-19
21-18
19-24
15-17
24-12
19-23
17-20
20-29
15-22
13-19
29-7
26-20
28-13
15-19
15-17
24-14
26-20
23-22
29-17
26-15
26-10
25-19
157.5Avg total
84.5Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.364.3161.7+33.0100%
Season at home (2)102.060.0162.0+42.0100%
Season away (1)88.073.0161.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.573.0157.5+11.580%
Last 5 (5)86.871.8158.6+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.982.7155.6-9.929%
vs Similar (17)80.979.6160.6+1.359%
vs Weaker (6)93.876.3170.2+17.567%
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
SplitDinamo Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H30/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H01/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A04/06
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H29/09
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H02/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A12/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A14/10
ABA League
78.0Avg total
38.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.881.2+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.237.480.7+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)39.242.681.8-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.478.0-0.870%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.047.081.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (12)41.142.683.7-1.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.536.979.4+5.669%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A22/04
Premijer liga
Alkar
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H25/04
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A29/04
Premijer liga
Gorica
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A10/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H13/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A17/05
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H29/09
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A07/10
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H10/10
Premijer liga
80.3Avg total
43.5Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.983.4+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.241.985.1+1.246%-
Last 30 away (17)41.940.282.1+1.759%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.880.3+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.080.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.143.379.4-7.129%-
vs Similar (17)42.440.582.9+1.959%-
vs Weaker (6)49.839.589.3+10.367%-
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.7
53.4%
53.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.4
33.5%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
73.4%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.727.0
60.4%
53.6%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.710.3
47.7%
34.6%31.0
🏀 Free throws17.711.7
66.0%
73.4%11.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
LWWLWLLLLW
Dinamo Zagreb
WWWLWLWWWW
#2
League position
#5
+2.5
Net rating
+42.4
108.9
Offensive rating
121.6
106.3
Defensive rating
79.3
52.1%
Effective FG%
64.1%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
40.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
47.7%
65.3%
Assist %
74.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 121.6Defence106.3 · 79.3Shooting52.1% · 64.1%3-point %33.5% · 47.7%Ball care17.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 30.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Split   ■ Dinamo Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Split wins
0
Dinamo Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Dinamo Zagreb v Split73-88
01/11/22Split v Dinamo Zagreb96-62
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ACedevita Olimpija68-97
12/10/23ADubrovnik76-72
08/10/23HCedevita Junior80-62
06/10/23HIgokea90-95
02/10/23HGKK Sibenka90-56
29/09/23HStudentski Centar72-76
04/06/23AZadar62-99
01/06/23HZadar84-94 OT
30/05/23HZadar76-85
23/05/23ACedevita Junior90-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/23HBosco106-61
07/10/23AZabok88-73
29/09/23HSkrljevo98-59
17/05/23AZadar65-90
13/05/23HZadar77-76
10/05/23AZadar62-80
07/05/23HGorica79-73
29/04/23ABosco87-74
25/04/23HAlkar99-72
22/04/23AZabok84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.085.076.0
Allowed / game63.359.072.0
Point differential+18.7+26.0+4.0
Avg total145.3144.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.3102.088.0
Allowed / game64.360.073.0
Point differential+33.0+42.0+15.0
Avg total161.7162.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dinamo Zagreb330100%97.364.3+33.0
2 Zadar440100%98.275.2+23.0
3 Split330100%82.063.3+18.7
4 Cedevita Junior32167%84.775.7+9.0
5 Cibona32167%78.373.3+5.0
6 Dubrovnik42250%79.569.0+10.5
7 Dubrava42250%97.294.5+2.8
8 GKK Sibenka31233%71.381.7-10.3
9 Alkar41325%77.889.5-11.8
10 Skrljevo41325%72.294.0-21.8
11 Zabok3030%73.385.0-11.7
12 Bosco4040%69.8105.2-35.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1919241274
Dinamo Zagreb1414131960
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