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Dinamo Zagreb vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-68
22-28 10-16 20-8 22-16
Position#5
Record12-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#11
Record6-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 22· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar
30 Oct 2026
DINA85
ALKA75
03 Jan 2026
DINA76
ALKA81
01 Mar 2025
DINA96
ALKA86
02 Mar 2024
DINA74
ALKA68
25 Apr 2023
DINA99
ALKA72
01 Oct 2022
DINA91
ALKA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dinamo ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
79-84
79
84
-5
75avg 82
H15/12
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
96-72
96
72
+24
97avg 82
A20/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
60avg 82
H07/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
91-96
91
96
-5
86avg 82
A13/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
84-66
84
66
+18
85avg 82
H21/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
74-98
74
98
-24
63avg 82
A26/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 82
A31/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
79avg 82
H02/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
65avg 82
A09/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
95-102
95
102
-7
90avg 82
A13/02
Croatian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
16-24
16-24
31-20
19-12
28-12
23-22
26-26
14-17
15-28
17-18
20-19
17-26
22-22
29-21
23-27
18-18
20-12
26-13
20-23
22-17
19-23
13-29
20-29
28-19
26-25
26-14
20-31
19-31
30-25
24-23
16-18
26-13
13-19
16-22
18-23
18-35
21-21
25-26
31-20
171.0Avg total
84.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.576.5160.0+7.057%
Season at home (10)84.774.3159.0+10.460%
Season away (11)82.578.5161.0+3.955%
Last 10 (10)84.786.3171.0-1.630%
Last 5 (5)86.292.6178.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.979.6146.4-12.714%
vs Similar (8)87.081.4168.4+5.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.474.1162.6+14.386%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
no box
H09/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
72avg 70
A18/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
70-84
70
84
-14
61avg 70
H20/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
81-73
81
73
+8
77avg 70
H05/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 70
A13/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 70
H20/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 70
H31/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
72avg 70
A04/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
58-57
58
57
+1
52avg 70
H10/02
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
94-52
94
52
+42
98avg 70
A18/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
17-15
15-16
15-20
27-34
23-21
8-20
18-14
17-18
21-17
11-21
21-28
19-13
16-25
27-20
19-15
21-20
24-29
16-24
27-21
16-21
21-18
23-29
20-27
15-21
26-20
19-26
26-24
13-25
31-27
21-21
16-22
18-15
13-13
10-20
17-9
19-16
24-9
20-17
31-10
159.1Avg total
78.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.083.0159.0-7.029%
Season at home (11)73.781.0154.7-7.336%
Season away (10)78.585.3163.8-6.820%
Last 10 (10)78.880.3159.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)79.878.0157.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.787.3158.0-16.50%
vs Similar (13)85.080.8165.8+4.262%
vs Weaker (5)86.682.6169.2+4.040%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.0+2.0
Dinamo ZagrebAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dinamo ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A20/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H07/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H21/01
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A31/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H02/02
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A09/02
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A13/02
Croatian Cup
82.2Avg total
40.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.780.7+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.382.4+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)41.138.279.2+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.582.2-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.690.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.941.674.4-8.714%-
vs Similar (8)41.642.183.8-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.835.180.9+10.786%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H09/12
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A18/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H20/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H05/01
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A13/01
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H20/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H31/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A04/02
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H10/02
Premijer liga
Bosco
#13
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A18/02
Premijer liga
79.2Avg total
40.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.181.9-2.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.138.676.7-0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)41.545.687.1-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.279.2+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.076.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.844.981.7-8.19%-
vs Similar (13)42.339.882.2+2.554%-
vs Weaker (5)39.441.080.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dinamo Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dinamo Zagreb: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.8
55.9%
53.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.415.7
70.1%
73.4%15.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.9
56.4%
53.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.4
31.0%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.310.1
62.0%
73.4%10.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dinamo Zagreb
LLLWLWLLWL
Alkar
WWLLLLWLLW
#5
League position
#11
-2.1
Net rating
-4.9
106.4
Offensive rating
100.9
108.6
Defensive rating
105.8
52.8%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.0%
3-point %
31.0%
73.1%
Assist %
67.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 100.9Defence108.6 · 105.8Shooting52.8% · 52.6%3-point %32.0% · 31.0%Ball care19.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 24.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Dinamo Zagreb   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Dinamo Zagreb wins
0
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb53-76
25/04/23Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar99-72
29/03/23Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb75-85
17/12/22Alkar v Dinamo Zagreb74-86
01/10/22Dinamo Zagreb v Alkar91-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24ACedevita Junior95-102
09/02/24AZadar73-77
02/02/24HCibona89-97
31/01/24ADubrava100-89
26/01/24AGKK Sibenka74-98
21/01/24HDubrovnik84-66
13/01/24ACedevita Junior91-96
07/01/24HSplit66-82
20/12/23ABosco96-72
15/12/23HZabok79-84
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24ABosco94-52
10/02/24HDubrovnik58-57
04/02/24ACedevita Junior81-95
31/01/24HSplit86-91
20/01/24HZabok80-95
13/01/24ASkrljevo88-94
05/01/24HGKK Sibenka81-73
20/12/23HZadar70-84
18/12/23ACibona76-89
09/12/23HDubrava74-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dinamo Zagreb
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeLLLWL60%
AwayWLLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%60%55%
Points / game83.584.782.5
Allowed / game76.574.378.5
Point differential+7.0+10.4+3.9
Avg total160.0159.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%50%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLWLLW36%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%36%20%
Points / game76.073.778.5
Allowed / game83.081.085.3
Point differential-7.0-7.3-6.8
Avg total159.0154.7163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2119290%89.072.4+16.5
2 Split2118386%86.471.6+14.8
3 Cibona2117481%79.873.2+6.6
4 Cedevita Junior2114767%85.781.5+4.2
5 Dinamo Zagreb2112957%83.576.5+7.0
6 GKK Sibenka21101148%80.479.1+1.2
7 Zabok21101148%83.282.9+0.3
8 Dubrovnik2191243%76.078.4-2.4
9 Dubrava2161529%78.483.8-5.4
10 Alkar2161529%76.083.0-7.0
11 Skrljevo2141719%81.793.1-11.4
12 Bosco211205%71.095.4-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dinamo Zagreb2210202274
Alkar281681668
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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