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Alkar vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 54-77
19-25 18-18 9-14 8-20
Position#9
Record9-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
Position#1
Record19-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game70.2
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 22· GSD Ivica Glavan-Ico
Other2025-26
Meetings · Alkar v Zadar
05 Mar 2027
ALKA v ZAD
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
ALKA58
ZAD69
09 Mar 2026
ALKA54
ZAD77
23 Mar 2025
ALKA44
ZAD63
15 Dec 2024
ALKA61
ZAD71
17 Mar 2024
ALKA65
ZAD73
20 Dec 2023
ALKA70
ZAD84
06 Mar 2023
ALKA83
ZAD100
20 Dec 2022
ALKA70
ZAD97
31 Jan 2022
ALKA88
ZAD86
27 Jan 2021
ALKA55
ZAD75
22 Jan 2020
ALKA93
ZAD84
23 Mar 2019
ALKA62
ZAD103
26 Apr 2018
ALKA81
ZAD103
29 Dec 2016
ALKA89
ZAD83
02 May 2015
ALKA61
ZAD81
04 May 2014
ALKA61
ZAD81
17 Apr 2013
ALKA97
ZAD104
22 Oct 2011
ALKA64
ZAD74
04 Apr 2011
ALKA52
ZAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alkar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
87avg 66
H09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
60-79
60
79
-19
no box
A14/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
61-82
61
82
-21
no box
H17/01
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
52-69
52
69
-17
36avg 66
H20/01
ENBL
Samobor
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
73avg 66
A25/01
Premijer liga
Fyllingen
#25
W
74-72
74
72
+2
68avg 66
A28/01
ENBL
Cibona
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
53avg 66
A02/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
77-73
77
73
+4
79avg 66
H08/02
Premijer liga
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
W
104-94
104
94
+10
104avg 66
H11/02
ENBL
Zabok
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 66
A14/02
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
26-34
16-24
33-19
10-24
21-25
19-16
10-14
16-14
14-24
18-19
13-25
11-21
13-13
15-12
13-23
23-16
18-16
14-16
22-23
26-26
19-15
16-10
13-21
17-20
13-24
18-20
19-28
23-21
19-17
18-16
17-19
22-25
23-20
31-21
28-28
20-29
18-16
12-22
31-24
156.0Avg total
74.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.879.4151.2-7.643%
Season at home (10)74.475.9150.3-1.550%
Season away (11)69.582.5152.0-13.136%
Last 10 (10)74.082.0156.0-8.040%
Last 5 (5)80.684.4165.0-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)72.282.4154.6-10.229%
vs Similar (5)72.872.2145.0+0.680%
vs Weaker (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
H17/01
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H19/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
101-112 OT
101
112
-11
98avg 81
H23/01
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
107-71
107
71
+36
114avg 81
A24/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 81
H30/01
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
86-77
86
77
+9
90avg 81
A06/02
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#5
W
79-67
79
67
+12
81avg 81
A08/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
81-63
81
63
+18
80avg 81
H12/02
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
84-58
84
58
+26
88avg 81
H15/02
Premijer liga
Split
#18
W
106-77
106
77
+29
99avg 81
H06/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
12-21
12-26
21-12
30-21
21-23
22-5
18-22
18-16
29-26
26-23
21-29
30-20
27-11
25-17
25-23
22-26
17-15
18-13
25-13
12-18
31-24
24-17
19-18
28-15
22-19
17-17
12-16
28-9
13-18
22-10
18-26
25-16
22-13
21-17
16-12
28-21
38-23
26-19
14-14
162.7Avg total
88.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)87.470.2157.6+17.190%
Season at home (11)87.565.1152.5+22.4100%
Season away (10)87.375.9163.2+11.480%
Last 10 (10)88.474.3162.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)87.268.4155.6+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.294.2174.5-14.00%
vs Similar (5)81.474.2155.6+7.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.571.0157.6+15.581%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +6.0+6.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
AlkarZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Split
#2
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A14/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H17/01
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H20/01
ENBL
Samobor
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A25/01
Premijer liga
Fyllingen
#25
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A28/01
ENBL
Cibona
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A02/02
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/02
Premijer liga
Valmiera Glass Via
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/02
ENBL
Zabok
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A14/02
Premijer liga
78.4Avg total
36.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.841.277.1-5.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.138.975.0-2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)35.643.278.9-7.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.078.4-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.542.577.0-8.025%-
vs Similar (5)40.235.275.4+5.080%-
vs Weaker (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/01
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H19/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H23/01
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
57-31
57
31
+26
A24/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H30/01
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A06/02
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#5
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A08/02
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H12/02
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H15/02
Premijer liga
Split
#18
W
66-44
66
44
+22
H06/03
ABA League
85.1Avg total
47.5Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.337.881.1+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.536.379.8+7.272%-
Last 30 away (12)43.140.083.1+3.158%-
Last 10 (10)47.537.685.1+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)49.435.284.6+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.842.282.0-2.550%-
vs Similar (5)42.038.280.2+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.336.881.1+7.571%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.1
52.5%
53.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
34.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.512.5
71.4%
74.3%12.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.4
59.0%
53.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.711.3
42.3%
34.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.9
77.6%
74.3%14.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alkar
LWWLWWLLLL
Zadar
WWWWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#1
-3.1
Net rating
+16.2
92.9
Offensive rating
107.3
96.0
Defensive rating
91.1
50.8%
Effective FG%
61.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.9%
3-point %
42.3%
69.5%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 107.3Defence96.0 · 91.1Shooting50.8% · 61.0%3-point %31.9% · 42.3%Ball care15.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.3% · -Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Alkar   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alkar wins
10
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Zadar v Alkar83-49
23/03/25Alkar v Zadar44-63
15/12/24Alkar v Zadar61-71
28/09/24Zadar v Alkar94-47
17/03/24Alkar v Zadar65-73
20/12/23Alkar v Zadar70-84
11/10/23Zadar v Alkar106-73
06/03/23Alkar v Zadar83-100
20/12/22Alkar v Zadar70-97
04/12/22Zadar v Alkar90-66
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26AZabok81-91
11/02/26HValmiera Glass Via104-94
08/02/26HKvarner77-73
02/02/26ACibona67-92
28/01/26AFyllingen74-72
25/01/26ASamobor77-71
20/01/26HSyntainics MBC52-69
17/01/26HCedevita Junior61-82
14/01/26ADubrovnik60-79
09/01/26HSplit87-97
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HSplit106-77
15/02/26HCedevita Junior84-58
12/02/26HBorac Mozzart81-63
08/02/26ADubrovnik79-67
06/02/26AVienna Basket86-77
30/01/26HSplit82-67
24/01/26ADinamo Zagreb107-71
23/01/26HCedevita Olimpija101-112 OT
19/01/26HGKK Sibenka91-71
17/01/26HCrvena zvezda67-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game71.874.469.5
Allowed / game79.475.982.5
Point differential-7.6-1.5-13.1
Avg total151.2150.3152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game87.487.587.3
Allowed / game70.265.175.9
Point differential+17.1+22.4+11.4
Avg total157.6152.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar2119290%87.470.2+17.1
2 Split2217577%91.681.1+10.5
3 Cibona2215768%84.677.0+7.5
4 Zabok2213959%80.879.7+1.1
5 Samobor22121055%86.386.8-0.5
6 Dubrovnik22111150%79.080.3-1.3
7 Alkar2191243%71.879.4-7.6
8 Dinamo Zagreb2291341%85.587.6-2.0
9 Dubrava2291341%83.286.2-3.0
10 Kvarner2281436%76.782.2-5.5
11 Cedevita Junior2261627%79.984.3-4.4
12 GKK Sibenka2231914%73.585.0-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alkar19189854
Zadar2518142077
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