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Samobor vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-84
9-16 28-19 22-18 30-31
Position#4
Record7-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game87.9
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#5
Record5-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game79.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 14· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Dubrovnik
20 Nov 2026
SAMO v DUBR
upcoming
13 May 2026
SAMO81
DUBR86
18 Mar 2026
SAMO107
DUBR76
03 Jan 2026
SAMO89
DUBR84
11 Mar 2023
SAMO91
DUBR92
12 Feb 2022
SAMO72
DUBR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubrovnik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
80-99
80
99
-19
68avg 84
H17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 84
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
103-63
103
63
+40
107avg 84
H02/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 84
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
77avg 84
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 84
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
112avg 84
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 84
A13/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-122
86
122
-36
74avg 84
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 84
A27/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
15-27
28-26
26-24
22-25
21-18
24-27
23-19
26-19
23-16
17-16
37-12
16-18
27-14
14-19
22-25
24-16
17-28
18-22
28-19
26-19
25-26
19-21
12-31
29-18
29-27
14-31
25-21
22-26
23-21
23-21
17-20
27-29
25-26
18-26
16-41
16-18
21-17
23-17
20-18
177.7Avg total
88.2Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.887.9174.8-1.154%
Season at home (5)90.491.8182.2-1.460%
Season away (8)84.685.5170.1-0.950%
Last 10 (10)88.289.5177.7-1.360%
Last 5 (5)88.696.6185.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.898.2178.0-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.276.6163.8+10.778%
vs Weaker (17)89.083.9172.9+5.176%
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
76avg 73
H10/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
94-81
94
81
+13
100avg 73
A18/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
72-70
72
70
+2
70avg 73
A26/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
79-63
79
63
+16
78avg 73
H02/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
83-62
83
62
+21
86avg 73
A09/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
62avg 73
H15/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
58avg 73
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
60avg 73
H05/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
71-88
71
88
-17
60avg 73
A12/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
58-91
58
91
-33
41avg 73
A21/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
20-20
20-25
21-21
21-24
24-23
29-11
20-23
15-16
23-15
17-18
17-21
17-10
26-17
17-17
19-19
13-20
28-13
29-11
13-18
20-19
22-16
19-20
13-27
20-28
17-8
9-20
18-27
18-17
24-23
22-17
10-26
19-25
19-22
13-19
20-22
16-16
20-24
15-25
7-26
153.5Avg total
75.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.879.7154.4-4.942%
Season at home (5)77.478.2155.6-0.840%
Season away (7)72.980.7153.6-7.943%
Last 10 (10)75.278.3153.5-3.150%
Last 5 (5)68.285.4153.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.285.1161.3-8.920%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.681.6162.1-1.043%
vs Weaker (6)85.582.7168.2+2.883%
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -7.2-7.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -7.2-7.2
SamoborDubrovnik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H17/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H02/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A27/12
Premijer liga
87.5Avg total
44.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.042.487.4+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.442.586.9+1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)45.442.487.8+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.543.087.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.494.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.848.289.0-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.338.982.2+4.456%-
vs Weaker (17)46.842.989.8+3.953%-
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H10/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A18/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H02/11
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A09/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H15/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A12/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/12
Premijer liga
77.4Avg total
40.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.981.9+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.538.682.1+4.979%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.981.7-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.077.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.678.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.042.879.8-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.439.681.1+1.857%-
vs Weaker (6)46.740.587.2+6.283%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.1
50.2%
53.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.7
41.3%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.317.7
79.4%
74.3%17.7
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.8
52.9%
53.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.6
27.5%
34.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.712.6
67.4%
74.3%12.6
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WLLWLWWWWL
Dubrovnik
LLLLLWWWWW
#4
League position
#5
-2.1
Net rating
-4.6
109.9
Offensive rating
98.3
112.1
Defensive rating
102.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
48.5%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
22.2%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
41.3%
3-point %
27.5%
64.4%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 98.3Defence112.1 · 102.9Shooting54.6% · 48.5%3-point %41.3% · 27.5%Ball care19.7% · 22.2%Off. rebounds27.4% · 32.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Samobor   ■ Dubrovnik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
5
Dubrovnik wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25Dubrovnik v Samobor83-80
11/03/23Samobor v Dubrovnik91-92
11/12/22Dubrovnik v Samobor103-72
12/02/22Samobor v Dubrovnik72-78
13/11/21Dubrovnik v Samobor80-66
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AZabok80-70
19/12/25HSplit86-122
13/12/25AKvarner85-88
07/12/25ADinamo Zagreb110-106 OT
23/11/25ACibona82-97
16/11/25HGKK Sibenka87-85
09/11/25AAlkar79-76
02/11/25HDubrava103-63
26/10/25ACedevita Junior90-89
17/10/25HZadar80-99
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ADinamo Zagreb58-91
12/12/25AGKK Sibenka71-88
05/12/25HDubrava74-83
23/11/25AZadar64-83
15/11/25HZabok74-82
09/11/25AKvarner83-62
02/11/25HCibona79-63
26/10/25AAlkar72-70
18/10/25ACedevita Junior94-81
10/10/25HSamobor83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW54%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %54%60%50%
Points / game86.890.484.6
Allowed / game87.991.885.5
Point differential-1.1-1.4-0.9
Avg total174.8182.2170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %8%0%12%
Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%40%43%
Points / game74.877.472.9
Allowed / game79.778.280.7
Point differential-4.9-0.8-7.9
Avg total154.4155.6153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Split1211192%94.281.5+12.7
2 Zadar1311285%87.472.2+15.2
3 Zabok138562%82.279.6+2.6
4 Samobor137654%86.887.9-1.1
5 Cibona136746%82.881.3+1.5
6 Kvarner136746%76.178.3-2.2
7 Alkar136746%70.577.4-6.8
8 Dubrovnik125742%74.879.7-4.9
9 Dinamo Zagreb135838%86.485.0+1.4
10 Dubrava135838%79.785.7-6.0
11 Cedevita Junior134931%81.183.8-2.7
12 GKK Sibenka1331023%75.884.7-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor928223089
Dubrovnik1619183184
← all games of the day
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