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Alytaus Alytus vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 61-80
17-16 14-23 16-20 14-21
Position#15
Record9-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#13
Record7-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game84.2
LithuaniaNKL· Silutes Vyduno gimnazija
Other2024-25
Meetings · Alytaus Alytus v Kretinga
11 Dec 2025
ALYT83
KRET87
16 Jan 2025
ALYT61
KRET80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Alytus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus AlytusLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlytus
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 70
H01/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
113-88
113
88
+25
112avg 70
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
100-96
100
96
+4
99avg 70
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
91-108
91
108
-17
83avg 70
A14/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
68-76
68
76
-8
61avg 70
H17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
69avg 70
H19/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
58-107
58
107
-49
28avg 70
A21/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
65avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
53-80
53
80
-27
38avg 70
A09/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
56-69
56
69
-13
38avg 70
H11/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
15-17
13-20
17-30
19-16
35-15
27-26
32-31
20-10
31-16
26-26
23-44
25-19
20-34
21-26
25-29
26-23
17-16
13-22
12-15
8-21
26-20
21-24
21-18
13-35
16-21
15-28
14-23
25-17
17-25
19-23
14-23
9-30
11-14
21-8
12-28
17-14
13-9
11-22
15-24
165.0Avg total
76.4Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.987.7166.6-8.833%
Season at home (13)79.088.7167.7-9.723%
Season away (14)78.886.7165.5-7.943%
Last 10 (10)76.488.6165.0-12.220%
Last 5 (5)63.685.4149.0-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.287.1163.3-10.928%
vs Similar (2)112.594.5207.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-82
79
82
-3
77avg 69
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-85
81
85
-4
70avg 69
A05/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 69
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
90-86
90
86
+4
96avg 69
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
82avg 69
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
56avg 69
H19/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
58-76
58
76
-18
45avg 69
A21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
57-72
57
72
-15
45avg 69
H05/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 69
A09/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
69-78
69
78
-9
63avg 69
H11/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
19-22
25-15
11-18
26-16
18-22
21-19
16-28
19-26
25-17
16-12
26-19
27-24
26-20
27-21
10-21
22-26
23-19
13-24
31-28
15-14
20-19
8-23
21-18
13-21
12-17
19-21
14-17
11-19
23-12
10-18
13-23
20-24
21-15
20-28
12-20
21-18
18-14
13-19
17-27
155.7Avg total
74.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.184.2161.3-7.126%
Season at home (14)75.681.0156.6-5.436%
Season away (13)78.887.7166.5-8.915%
Last 10 (10)74.681.1155.7-6.520%
Last 5 (5)64.277.4141.6-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.985.3160.2-10.431%
vs Similar (14)78.583.7162.2-5.214%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.786.3168.0-4.733%
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -8.0-8.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -8.0-8.0Q4: -4.8-4.8
Alytaus AlytusKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus AlytusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H01/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A05/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H12/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A14/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A21/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H04/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A09/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H11/01
NKL
78.8Avg total
39.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)39.341.781.0-2.441%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.540.581.0-0.154%-
Last 30 away (14)38.242.881.0-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.678.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)31.041.272.2-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.141.879.9-3.636%-
vs Similar (2)54.041.095.0+13.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H12/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H19/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A21/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H05/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H11/01
NKL
79.5Avg total
40.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.442.581.9-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.242.881.9-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)39.642.381.9-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.279.5+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.669.4+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.042.781.7-3.746%-
vs Similar (14)39.141.880.9-2.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)42.345.387.7-3.033%-
This opponent (Alytaus Alytus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Alytustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Alytus: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.222.6
46.9%
52.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.7
33.8%
32.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.110.6
65.8%
70.5%10.6
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.9
50.5%
52.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.7
28.4%
32.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.412.9
70.1%
70.5%12.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Alytus
LLLLLLLWWL
Kretinga
LLLLLLWWLL
#15
League position
#13
-14.7
Net rating
-8.6
97.3
Offensive rating
98.1
112.1
Defensive rating
106.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
47.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.8%
3-point %
28.4%
52.9%
Assist %
72.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 98.1Defence112.1 · 106.8Shooting48.0% · 47.2%3-point %33.8% · 28.4%Ball care17.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Alytaus Alytus   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Alytaus Alytus wins
0
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
31/10/24Kretinga v Alytaus Alytus71-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 256-69
09/01/25AJurbarkas53-80
04/01/25HVilkaviskis75-88
21/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga58-107
19/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga76-83
17/12/24HNeptunas 268-76
14/12/24AVytis VDU91-108
12/12/24HPlunges Olimpas100-96
05/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis113-88
01/12/24HTelsiai74-91
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HPlunges Olimpas69-78
09/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 273-87
05/01/25HJurbarkas57-72
21/12/24AUkmerges Stekas58-76
19/12/24HBC Olimpas Palanga64-74
14/12/24ANeptunas 289-97
12/12/24HVytis VDU90-86
07/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis86-74
05/12/24ARytas 281-85
30/11/24HOmega-Tauras79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Alytus
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL23%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%23%43%
Points / game78.979.078.8
Allowed / game87.788.786.7
Point differential-8.8-9.7-7.9
Avg total166.6167.7165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Kretinga
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeWWLLL36%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %26%36%15%
Points / game77.175.678.8
Allowed / game84.281.087.7
Point differential-7.1-5.4-8.9
Avg total161.3156.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga2720774%82.172.0+10.1
2 Telsiai2720774%85.477.7+7.6
3 Jurbarkas2619773%82.277.9+4.3
4 Vilkaviskis27171063%82.676.9+5.7
5 Vytis VDU27171063%89.784.7+5.0
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 226161062%79.575.5+4.0
7 Omega-Tauras26161062%81.179.3+1.7
8 Suduva-Mantinga27161159%82.378.0+4.3
9 Neptunas 226141254%79.079.1-0.0
10 Ukmerges Stekas27121544%77.078.0-0.9
11 Silute27111641%80.482.4-2.0
12 Rytas 228101836%79.483.0-3.6
13 Plunges Olimpas2691735%77.081.1-4.1
14 Alytaus Alytus2791833%78.987.7-8.8
15 Kretinga2772026%77.184.2-7.1
16 Delikatesas Joniskis271264%77.193.0-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Alytus1714161461
Kretinga1623202180
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