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Alytaus Dzukija vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 64-65
13-19 18-23 20-14 13-9
Position#8
Record11-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#5
Record11-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game79.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Alytaus Dzukija v Neptunas
09 Apr 2022
ADZ64
NEP65
28 Dec 2021
ADZ67
NEP79
29 Apr 2021
ADZ77
NEP86
30 Dec 2020
ADZ63
NEP71
18 Apr 2020
ADZ v NEP
upcoming
28 Dec 2019
ADZ80
NEP77
09 Mar 2019
ADZ82
NEP88
04 Oct 2018
ADZ91
NEP94
10 Feb 2018
ADZ63
NEP81
12 Nov 2017
ADZ76
NEP96
04 Feb 2017
ADZ66
NEP69
09 Oct 2016
ADZ56
NEP80
10 Jan 2016
ADZ58
NEP55
04 Oct 2015
ADZ62
NEP67
09 May 2015
ADZ55
NEP69
03 May 2015
ADZ65
NEP56
25 Jan 2015
ADZ66
NEP72
23 Nov 2014
ADZ75
NEP91
28 Feb 2014
ADZ66
NEP79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alytaus Dzukija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alytaus DzukijaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDzukija
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
W
85-70
85
70
+15
70avg 72
A19/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
90avg 72
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
74avg 72
H31/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
61avg 72
A14/02
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
61avg 72
H17/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
48avg 72
H07/03
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 72
A24/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H28/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
78-95
78
95
-17
65avg 72
A02/04
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
72-62
72
62
+10
66avg 72
A06/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-19
23-13
21-18
27-22
20-16
26-22
19-26
15-17
28-24
18-21
22-18
22-27
14-22
14-25
13-20
18-18
18-23
19-23
18-17
14-17
13-14
25-24
11-19
21-23
19-12
18-11
19-24
32-19
17-24
22-15
22-18
12-26
18-16
29-24
19-29
20-13
19-13
17-21
16-15
156.7Avg total
77.9Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.580.0156.4-3.544%
Season at home (13)77.877.5155.3+0.254%
Season away (12)75.182.6157.7-7.533%
Last 10 (10)77.978.8156.7-0.960%
Last 5 (5)76.675.4152.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.386.8162.1-11.522%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.875.3157.1+6.467%
vs Weaker (3)73.767.0140.7+6.7100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
56avg 78
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 78
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 78
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
70avg 78
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
76avg 78
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 78
A21/03
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
74avg 78
H26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
95-61
95
61
+34
104avg 78
H03/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
17-18
15-20
19-17
16-25
21-16
13-18
10-18
26-18
20-18
20-25
22-21
23-15
22-12
8-20
20-16
15-19
28-17
16-11
18-28
16-26
21-17
16-21
20-19
20-28
25-18
10-11
24-25
21-22
24-23
22-17
20-22
24-14
21-17
18-19
12-28
27-8
26-21
24-20
18-12
153.2Avg total
77.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.879.9157.6-2.144%
Season at home (13)77.281.8159.0-4.531%
Season away (12)78.377.8156.2+0.558%
Last 10 (10)77.176.1153.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)81.877.6159.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.387.5157.8-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.280.0158.2-1.836%
vs Weaker (13)85.276.4161.6+8.877%
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
Alytaus DzukijaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alytaus DzukijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A19/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H31/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A14/02
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H07/03
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A24/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H28/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A02/04
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A06/04
LKL
77.3Avg total
38.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.777.8-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.876.1+0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.579.5-3.640%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.577.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.472.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.841.278.0-4.439%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.139.981.0+1.256%-
vs Weaker (3)37.029.766.7+7.3100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A07/02
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/03
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H03/04
LKL
79.9Avg total
42.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.380.1+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.038.578.5+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)41.640.081.6+1.647%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.379.9+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.883.8+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.843.580.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.040.681.6+0.436%-
vs Weaker (13)42.536.278.6+6.369%-
This opponent (Alytaus Dzukija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alytaus Dzukijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alytaus Dzukija: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.2
48.3%
53.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.0
37.9%
33.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.312.7
69.4%
73.1%12.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.221.0
61.4%
53.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.4
32.5%
33.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.612.3
69.9%
73.1%12.3
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alytaus Dzukija
WLWWLLLWWW
Neptunas
WLWLLWWWLL
#8
League position
#5
-1.0
Net rating
+1.3
106.8
Offensive rating
107.2
107.7
Defensive rating
105.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
56.3%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
24.0%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.9%
3-point %
32.5%
58.1%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 107.2Defence107.7 · 105.9Shooting51.9% · 56.3%3-point %37.9% · 32.5%Ball care14.7% · 24.0%Off. rebounds23.4% · 35.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Alytaus Dzukija   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Alytaus Dzukija wins
8
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/22APrienai72-62
02/04/22AJuventus78-95
28/03/22HNevezis93-76
24/03/22APrienai77-70
07/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas63-74
17/02/22HJonava73-81
14/02/22ALietkabelis63-94
31/01/22HJuventus83-80
24/01/22HPieno Zvaigzdes92-86
19/01/22ANeptunas85-70
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/22HNevezis95-61
26/03/22HJonava75-78
21/03/22ASiauliai87-84
14/03/22AJuventus79-82
05/03/22HLietkabelis73-83
15/02/22ASiauliai77-75
07/02/22APrienai73-63
03/02/22HPrienai88-82
30/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas60-77
27/01/22AJuventus64-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alytaus Dzukija
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW44%
HomeWWLLW54%
AwayWLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%54%33%
Points / game76.577.875.1
Allowed / game80.077.582.6
Point differential-3.5+0.2-7.5
Avg total156.4155.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%23%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLWLLW31%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%31%58%
Points / game77.877.278.3
Allowed / game79.981.877.8
Point differential-2.1-4.5+0.5
Avg total157.6159.0156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%8%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%87.174.6+12.5
2 Rytas2522388%90.074.6+15.4
3 Lietkabelis2520580%83.873.7+10.0
4 Siauliai24121250%80.981.0-0.1
5 Jonava26131350%77.581.2-3.7
6 Juventus25121348%84.683.6+1.0
7 Neptunas25111444%77.879.9-2.1
8 Alytaus Dzukija25111444%76.580.0-3.5
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes2561924%80.287.7-7.6
10 Nevezis2451921%78.188.4-10.3
11 Prienai2632312%76.087.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alytaus Dzukija1318201364
Neptunas192314965
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