PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 107-109 (OT)
35-26 15-15 21-26 22-26 14-16
Position#13
Record3-21
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#6
Record12-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game89.6
DenmarkBasketligaen· Amager Hallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Amager v Vaerlose
14 Mar 2026
AMAG107
VAER109
20 Nov 2025
AMAG80
VAER91
24 Apr 2025
AMAG90
VAER74
01 Nov 2024
AMAG102
VAER90
28 Sep 2023
AMAG83
VAER102
22 Apr 2023
AMAG86
VAER79
15 Dec 2022
AMAG87
VAER73
09 Apr 2022
AMAG99
VAER91
28 Oct 2021
AMAG71
VAER78
14 Feb 2021
AMAG72
VAER82
31 Oct 2020
AMAG83
VAER76
15 Jan 2020
AMAG71
VAER98
07 Jan 2019
AMAG77
VAER111
02 Feb 2011
AMAG83
VAER87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
70-94
70
94
-24
57avg 74
A27/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
85-100
85
100
-15
79avg 74
H03/01
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 74
H09/01
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 74
H29/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
82avg 74
A04/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
92-113
92
113
-21
82avg 74
H14/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
77avg 74
A19/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
67-75
67
75
-8
59avg 74
A08/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
73avg 74
A11/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
13-26
19-19
13-24
26-26
17-20
16-26
26-28
19-23
21-19
19-24
15-14
18-22
17-14
20-26
16-22
21-24
17-26
27-16
17-25
19-27
21-18
24-25
29-30
27-25
26-32
20-29
19-27
16-28
25-25
16-20
27-19
22-23
12-11
18-17
15-24
14-18
18-17
24-22
27-18
170.5Avg total
80.1Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.196.0176.1-15.912%
Season at home (11)85.198.3183.4-13.29%
Season away (13)75.994.1170.0-18.215%
Last 10 (10)80.190.4170.5-10.310%
Last 5 (5)83.891.0174.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)79.6100.9180.5-21.30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.087.8168.8-6.833%
vs Weaker (6)91.785.2176.8+6.567%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-87
70
87
-17
61avg 71
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-114
70
114
-44
58avg 71
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
76-75
76
75
+1
66avg 71
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
73-103
73
103
-30
no box
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
80-106
80
106
-26
74avg 71
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
100-93
100
93
+7
99avg 71
H04/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
69-100
69
100
-31
54avg 71
A14/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 71
A19/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 71
H07/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
95-88
95
88
+7
87avg 71
A11/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
18-14
14-24
24-20
22-31
13-27
15-30
20-26
16-22
19-20
21-17
20-16
18-31
19-29
19-28
17-15
23-18
22-34
19-25
16-29
27-19
18-21
25-24
30-29
16-28
17-28
19-23
17-21
23-15
18-19
18-26
28-19
20-22
20-25
20-25
19-20
19-27
15-23
22-22
39-16
173.6Avg total
79.9Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.389.6168.0-11.350%
Season at home (12)79.089.1168.1-10.150%
Season away (12)77.790.2167.8-12.550%
Last 10 (10)79.993.7173.6-13.840%
Last 5 (5)86.090.4176.4-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)70.697.8168.4-27.27%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.581.7168.2+4.980%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
AmagerVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A27/12
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/01
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H09/01
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H29/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A04/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H14/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A19/02
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A08/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/03
Basketligaen
84.3Avg total
39.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.446.586.9-6.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.248.090.2-5.814%-
Last 30 away (16)38.845.183.9-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.984.3-5.50%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.884.8-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.050.590.5-10.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.342.780.0-5.311%-
vs Weaker (6)46.042.288.2+3.883%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
35-58
35
58
-23
A03/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
37-60
37
60
-23
H18/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A29/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A14/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A19/02
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#12
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A11/03
Basketligaen
85.9Avg total
37.7Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.845.984.7-7.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.946.387.1-5.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.745.582.2-8.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.748.285.9-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.484.0-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.651.184.8-17.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.341.284.5+2.173%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.2
47.2%
54.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.4
33.8%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.618.5
72.3%
70.1%18.5
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.1
51.6%
54.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.0
34.2%
32.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.716.6
67.2%
70.1%16.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
WLLLLLLLLL
Vaerlose
WLWLWLLWLL
#13
League position
#6
-8.6
Net rating
-15.5
92.3
Offensive rating
86.5
100.8
Defensive rating
102.0
48.6%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
22.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.8%
3-point %
34.2%
59.4%
Assist %
59.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 86.5Defence100.8 · 102.0Shooting48.6% · 51.5%3-point %33.8% · 34.2%Ball care18.2% · 22.9%Off. rebounds27.0% · 19.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Amager   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Amager wins
5
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
04/02/26Vaerlose v Amager100-93
20/11/25Amager v Vaerlose80-91
24/04/25Amager v Vaerlose90-74
22/03/25Vaerlose v Amager79-93
30/01/25Vaerlose v Amager84-77
01/11/24Amager v Vaerlose102-90
28/12/23Vaerlose v Amager91-89
28/09/23Amager v Vaerlose83-102
22/04/23Amager v Vaerlose86-79
30/03/23Vaerlose v Amager87-92
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AHolbaek-Stenhus83-75
08/03/26ABears Academy67-75
19/02/26ACopenhagen84-92
14/02/26HHorsens92-113
04/02/26AVaerlose93-100
29/01/26HBakken Bears82-91
16/01/26AVejen71-84
09/01/26HBMS Herlev74-80
03/01/26HBears Academy85-100
27/12/25AHorsens70-94
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AHerlev Wolfpack95-88
07/03/26HVejen79-92
19/02/26AHerlev Wolfpack87-79
14/02/26ASvendborg69-100
04/02/26HAmager100-93
29/01/26ARanders80-106
18/01/26HRanders73-103
09/01/26HCopenhagen76-75
03/01/26ABakken Bears70-114
29/12/25HBakken Bears70-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeWLLLL9%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %12%9%15%
Points / game80.185.175.9
Allowed / game96.098.394.1
Point differential-15.9-13.2-18.2
Avg total176.1183.4170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %4%9%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.379.077.7
Allowed / game89.689.190.2
Point differential-11.3-10.1-12.5
Avg total168.0168.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2421388%102.877.2+25.7
2 Team FOG Naestved2421388%106.786.2+20.5
3 Svendborg2419579%95.575.7+19.8
4 Horsens2416867%86.978.3+8.6
5 Randers2416867%93.786.3+7.4
6 Copenhagen24141058%88.785.6+3.1
7 Vaerlose24121250%78.389.6-11.3
8 Bears Academy2471729%81.795.6-14.0
9 Herlev Wolfpack72529%82.493.7-11.3
10 BMS Herlev1741324%78.294.1-15.9
11 Vejen2451921%77.091.7-14.7
12 Holbaek-Stenhus2442017%79.994.6-14.7
13 Amager2432112%80.196.0-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Amager3515212214107
Vaerlose2615262616109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.