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Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 83-102
20-29 19-20 21-29 23-24
Position#11
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game82.5
Amager
Denmark
vs
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game85.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Amager Hallen (Copenhagen)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Amager v Vaerlose
14 Mar 2026
AMAG107
VAER109
20 Nov 2025
AMAG80
VAER91
24 Apr 2025
AMAG90
VAER74
01 Nov 2024
AMAG102
VAER90
28 Sep 2023
AMAG83
VAER102
22 Apr 2023
AMAG86
VAER79
15 Dec 2022
AMAG87
VAER73
09 Apr 2022
AMAG99
VAER91
28 Oct 2021
AMAG71
VAER78
14 Feb 2021
AMAG72
VAER82
31 Oct 2020
AMAG83
VAER76
15 Jan 2020
AMAG71
VAER98
07 Jan 2019
AMAG77
VAER111
02 Feb 2011
AMAG83
VAER87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
W
89-73
89
73
+16
no box
H07/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
82-78
82
78
+4
no box
H18/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
A30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
L
80-95
80
95
-15
no box
A04/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H12/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
no box
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H22/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
72-90
72
90
-18
55avg 61
H16/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
68-75
68
75
-7
66avg 61
A21/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
21-15
24-19
17-20
21-25
22-20
25-28
18-21
20-19
29-25
15-18
18-16
27-19
27-20
21-21
17-27
17-17
19-17
21-30
23-31
14-26
21-21
23-15
24-22
28-27
17-18
18-15
26-19
22-15
19-22
20-23
25-19
17-24
23-23
17-21
15-22
19-17
12-20
17-23
20-15
166.0Avg total
82.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.082.5152.5-12.50%
Season at home (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
Season away (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)82.683.4166.0-0.850%
Last 5 (5)79.481.4160.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)81.394.8176.2-13.522%
vs Similar (2)75.082.5157.5-7.50%
vs Weaker (4)81.579.0160.5+2.575%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
H07/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
84-62
84
62
+22
no box
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
104-60
104
60
+44
no box
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
82-100
82
100
-18
70avg 70
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 70
H23/09
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-27
19-22
23-25
23-19
16-11
27-15
18-17
19-27
20-27
21-21
27-17
21-17
17-19
28-26
11-12
27-20
28-20
6-14
18-21
20-7
30-16
23-24
31-13
15-22
22-19
23-20
19-25
17-25
17-19
15-20
20-23
23-19
17-33
19-29
23-19
15-17
29-18
20-23
12-12
161.3Avg total
81.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.085.0164.0-6.050%
Season at home (1)76.070.0146.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)82.0100.0182.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)81.679.7161.3+1.950%
Last 5 (5)82.080.6162.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.489.4166.9-12.029%
vs Similar (13)76.981.3158.2-4.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.175.2159.3+8.956%
This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
AmagerVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bears Academy
#9
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H07/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/03
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H12/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/04
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H16/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A21/09
Basketligaen
83.1Avg total
42.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.845.385.2-5.524%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.145.186.2-3.929%-
Last 30 away (15)38.645.684.2-7.020%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.983.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.681.0-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.447.386.7-7.917%-
vs Similar (2)41.031.572.5+9.5100%-
vs Weaker (4)41.541.082.5+0.525%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H07/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A11/03
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H30/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H02/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A04/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H12/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A22/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A14/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H23/09
Basketligaen
81.2Avg total
41.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.578.5-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.641.381.9-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)35.839.875.5-4.044%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.981.2+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.080.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.746.785.4-8.029%-
vs Similar (13)37.439.877.2-2.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.035.376.3+5.778%-
This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.516.0
38.6%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.5
27.7%
31.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws27.517.5
63.6%
67.0%17.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.3 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.0
48.8%
51.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.5
34.9%
31.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.013.5
71.1%
67.0%13.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
LLWWLLWWLW
Vaerlose
WLLLWWWLWL
#11
League position
#7
-15.7
Net rating
-7.3
86.6
Offensive rating
95.2
102.3
Defensive rating
102.6
39.6%
Effective FG%
50.0%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
22.5%
Turnover %
23.1%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.7%
3-point %
34.9%
75.6%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence86.6 · 95.2Defence102.3 · 102.6Shooting39.6% · 50.0%3-point %27.7% · 34.9%Ball care22.5% · 23.1%Off. rebounds34.1% · 25.7%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Amager   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Amager wins
6
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
22/04/23Amager v Vaerlose86-79
30/03/23Vaerlose v Amager87-92
15/12/22Amager v Vaerlose87-73
28/09/22Vaerlose v Amager98-72
09/04/22Amager v Vaerlose99-91 OT
27/03/22Vaerlose v Amager77-76
28/01/22Vaerlose v Amager98-88
28/10/21Amager v Vaerlose71-78
14/02/21Amager v Vaerlose72-82
06/02/21Vaerlose v Amager102-88
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/23AHerlev Wolfpack68-75
16/09/23HBears Academy72-90
22/04/23HVaerlose86-79
17/04/23AHolbaek-Stenhus89-79
12/04/23HCopenhagen82-84
04/04/23ABears Academy80-95
30/03/23AVaerlose92-87
18/03/23HHolbaek-Stenhus82-78
11/03/23ACopenhagen86-94
07/03/23HBears Academy89-73
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23HCopenhagen76-70
14/09/23ATeam FOG Naestved82-100
28/04/23ACopenhagen69-87
22/04/23AAmager79-86
12/04/23HHolbaek-Stenhus104-60
04/04/23ACopenhagen79-75
02/04/23HBears Academy77-74
30/03/23HAmager87-92
11/03/23AHolbaek-Stenhus84-62
07/03/23HCopenhagen79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.072.068.0
Allowed / game82.590.075.0
Point differential-12.5-18.0-7.0
Avg total152.5162.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.076.082.0
Allowed / game85.070.0100.0
Point differential-6.0+6.0-18.0
Avg total164.0146.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved220100%98.082.0+16.0
2 Svendborg330100%82.069.7+12.3
3 Bakken Bears220100%93.583.5+10.0
4 Randers21150%98.075.5+22.5
5 Horsens42250%86.578.5+8.0
6 Vaerlose21150%79.085.0-6.0
7 Herlev Wolfpack21150%61.576.0-14.5
8 Bears Academy31233%79.087.0-8.0
9 Copenhagen3030%72.380.7-8.3
10 Amager2020%70.082.5-12.5
11 Holbaek-Stenhus1010%53.0104.0-51.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Amager2019212383
Vaerlose29202924102
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