Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 12:30

Final 86-79

22-15 19-22 20-23 25-19

Position#10

Record8-19

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game92.6

Amager 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#7

Record12-15

FormWLWWW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game80.9

Basketligaen

Other2022-23

Meetings · Amager v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Amager

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

87-89

-2

H28/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

70-89

-19

A11/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

92-116

116

-24

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

89-73

+16

H07/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

86-94

-8

A11/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

82-78

H18/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

92-87

A30/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

80-95

-15

A04/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

82-84

-2

H12/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

89-79

+10

A17/04

Basketligaen

23-29

20-23

22-21

22-16

26-19

14-25

16-22

14-23

24-26

21-33

27-32

20-25

27-19

21-15

24-19

17-20

21-25

22-20

25-28

18-21

20-19

29-25

15-18

18-16

27-19

27-20

21-21

17-27

17-17

19-17

21-30

23-31

14-26

21-21

23-15

24-22

28-27

17-18

18-15

26-19

173.3Avg total

84.9Scored

88.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	81.9	92.6	174.6	-10.7	30%
Season at home (13)	85.8	89.0	174.8	-3.2	46%
Season away (14)	78.4	96.0	174.4	-17.6	14%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	88.4	173.3	-3.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	84.6	169.6	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	83.3	95.1	178.4	-11.9	30%
vs Similar (2)	75.0	82.5	157.5	-7.5	0%
vs Weaker (4)	81.5	79.0	160.5	+2.5	75%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

84-62

+22

A03/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

84-81

H07/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

90-68

+22

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

69-58

+11

A05/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

79-91

-12

H07/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

84-62

+22

A11/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

87-92

-5

H30/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

77-74

H02/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

79-75

A04/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

104-60

104

+44

H12/04

Basketligaen

22-20

14-9

25-17

23-16

21-21

16-17

26-26

21-17

29-22

26-17

17-17

18-12

19-15

19-9

25-17

6-17

18-17

19-27

19-22

23-25

23-19

16-11

27-15

18-17

19-27

20-27

21-21

27-17

21-17

17-19

28-26

11-12

27-20

28-20

6-14

18-21

20-7

30-16

23-24

31-13

156.0Avg total

83.7Scored

72.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.4	80.9	161.3	-0.4	44%
Season at home (14)	84.3	81.8	166.1	+2.5	50%
Season away (13)	76.2	79.8	156.1	-3.6	38%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	72.3	156.0	+11.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	72.6	158.8	+13.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	77.3	91.7	169.0	-14.3	17%
vs Similar (14)	78.6	80.9	159.5	-2.4	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	86.2	73.7	159.9	+12.6	67%

This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AmagerVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	22.1	42.8	-1.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.4	42.5	-2.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.6	45.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	39%	-
vs Similar (2)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	20.3	40.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.5	20.4	36.9	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	22.2	39.0	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	23.1	43.4	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	23.8	42.9	-4.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.9	24.4	44.3	-4.5	30%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.0	12.5	35.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	27.3	48.0	-6.7	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.2	15.4	37.7	+6.8	89%	-

AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

43-52

-9

H28/01

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

40-44

-4

A11/02

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

45-59

-14

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

48-34

+14

H07/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

43-45

-2

A11/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

49-44

H18/03

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

54-39

+15

A30/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

36-34

A04/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

35-47

-12

H12/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

45-45

A17/04

Basketligaen

88.1Avg total

43.8Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.0	45.2	86.2	-4.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	44.3	87.0	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	46.2	85.4	-7.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	44.3	88.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	41.8	85.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	40.9	47.2	88.0	-6.3	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.0	31.5	72.5	+9.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	25%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Herlev Wolfpack

36-29

A03/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

37-38

-1

H07/02

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

55-39

+16

H16/02

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-24

+14

A05/03

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

37-44

-7

H07/03

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

39-30

A11/03

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

39-54

-15

H30/03

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

38-36

H02/04

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

55-40

+15

A04/04

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

50-23

+27

H12/04

Basketligaen

78.1Avg total

42.4Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	40.5	79.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.4	41.1	82.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	39.7	75.4	-4.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	35.7	78.1	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	36.6	80.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.5	49.5	87.0	-12.0	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	42.3	33.4	75.8	+8.9	89%	-

This opponent (Amager) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	23.5	44.2	-2.9	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	21.6	42.1	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	25.6	46.4	-4.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	21.0	24.2	45.3	-3.2	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	26.5	45.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.0	41.0	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	20.8	41.6	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	20.7	38.8	-2.5	17%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	22.6	42.3	-2.8	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	24.2	42.6	-5.8	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.0	44.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.6	23.3	44.0	-2.7	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.0	24.5	39.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	21.8	38.6	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.7	36.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.4	46.1	86.5	-5.7	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	42.6	84.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	49.8	89.0	-10.6	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	44.1	85.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.8	84.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	41.7	47.6	89.2	-5.9	26%	-
vs Similar (2)	34.0	51.0	85.0	-17.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.5	35.0	71.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.4	80.6	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	39.8	82.1	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	41.0	78.9	-3.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	36.6	77.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	36.0	78.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.9	40.2	84.1	+3.7	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Amager wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
30/03/23	Vaerlose v Amager	87-92
15/12/22	Amager v Vaerlose	87-73
28/09/22	Vaerlose v Amager	98-72
09/04/22	Amager v Vaerlose	99-91 OT
27/03/22	Vaerlose v Amager	77-76
28/01/22	Vaerlose v Amager	98-88
28/10/21	Amager v Vaerlose	71-78
14/02/21	Amager v Vaerlose	72-82
06/02/21	Vaerlose v Amager	102-88
31/10/20	Amager v Vaerlose	83-76

Amagerlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/23	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	89-79
12/04/23	H	Copenhagen	82-84
04/04/23	A	Bears Academy	80-95
30/03/23	A	Vaerlose	92-87
18/03/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	82-78
11/03/23	A	Copenhagen	86-94
07/03/23	H	Bears Academy	89-73
16/02/23	H	Team FOG Naestved	92-116
11/02/23	A	Bakken Bears	70-89
28/01/23	H	Horsens	87-89

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	104-60
04/04/23	A	Copenhagen	79-75
02/04/23	H	Bears Academy	77-74
30/03/23	H	Amager	87-92
11/03/23	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	84-62
07/03/23	H	Copenhagen	79-91
05/03/23	A	Bears Academy	69-58
16/02/23	H	Holbaek-Stenhus	90-68
07/02/23	H	Bears Academy	84-81
03/02/23	A	Herlev Wolfpack	84-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	30%
Home	LLWWL	46%
Away	LLWLW	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	30%	46%	14%
Points / game	81.9	85.8	78.4
Allowed / game	92.6	89.0	96.0
Point differential	-10.7	-3.2	-17.6
Avg total	174.6	174.8	174.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	23%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	40% (5)	100% (1)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	44%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	LWWWW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	44%	50%	38%
Points / game	80.4	84.3	76.2
Allowed / game	80.9	81.8	79.8
Point differential	-0.4	+2.5	-3.6
Avg total	161.3	166.1	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	21%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (6)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	30	24	6	80%	94.3	76.2	+18.2
2	Team FOG Naestved	30	24	6	80%	97.6	84.2	+13.4
3	Randers	30	24	6	80%	88.4	76.6	+11.8
4	Horsens	30	18	12	60%	84.8	82.7	+2.1
5	Svendborg	30	14	16	47%	89.0	86.9	+2.1
6	Copenhagen	28	13	15	46%	82.8	87.6	-4.8
7	Vaerlose	27	12	15	44%	80.4	80.9	-0.4
8	Herlev Wolfpack	30	11	19	37%	75.1	85.4	-10.3
9	Bears Academy	28	9	19	32%	74.8	79.5	-4.8
10	Amager	27	8	19	30%	81.9	92.6	-10.7
11	Holbaek-Stenhus	28	2	26	7%	69.5	89.1	-19.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Amager	22	19	20	25	86
Vaerlose	15	22	23	19	79

← all games of the day

Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature