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Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-90
20-22 24-22 29-27 29-19
Position#6
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game93.8
Amager 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#10
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game89.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Amager Hallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Amager v Vaerlose
14 Mar 2026
AMAG107
VAER109
20 Nov 2025
AMAG80
VAER91
24 Apr 2025
AMAG90
VAER74
01 Nov 2024
AMAG102
VAER90
28 Sep 2023
AMAG83
VAER102
22 Apr 2023
AMAG86
VAER79
15 Dec 2022
AMAG87
VAER73
09 Apr 2022
AMAG99
VAER91
28 Oct 2021
AMAG71
VAER78
14 Feb 2021
AMAG72
VAER82
31 Oct 2020
AMAG83
VAER76
15 Jan 2020
AMAG71
VAER98
07 Jan 2019
AMAG77
VAER111
02 Feb 2011
AMAG83
VAER87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
73avg 71
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
64-61
64
61
+3
60avg 71
A14/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
97-94
97
94
+3
90avg 71
H23/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
99-91 OT
99
91
+8
94avg 71
H26/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
100-75
100
75
+25
98avg 71
H19/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
75avg 71
A26/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
65avg 71
H29/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
98-106
98
106
-8
86avg 71
A04/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
102-108
102
108
-6
86avg 71
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
73-110
73
110
-37
60avg 71
A24/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
26-27
22-19
12-23
20-10
17-14
14-8
13-29
22-14
22-18
21-30
32-32
19-25
21-21
23-24
22-15
23-17
25-30
22-14
30-14
24-28
21-20
23-15
11-21
11-27
22-10
21-19
19-24
22-32
33-28
21-21
22-25
28-26
15-40
27-22
32-20
21-23
26-27
14-31
12-29
176.5Avg total
86.8Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.593.8181.3-6.317%
Season at home (3)91.787.7179.3+4.033%
Season away (3)83.3100.0183.3-16.70%
Last 10 (10)86.889.7176.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)85.097.6182.6-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)79.299.9179.1-20.717%
vs Similar (4)81.581.5163.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)98.0106.0204.0-8.00%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 71
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
68avg 71
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-105
70
105
-35
54avg 71
H11/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
86-103
86
103
-17
80avg 71
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
65-106
65
106
-41
51avg 71
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
91avg 71
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
56avg 71
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 71
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
78avg 71
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
H27/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
26-27
23-22
14-27
16-25
23-11
21-20
23-32
21-26
19-18
9-28
21-33
20-25
19-19
29-26
18-33
18-25
20-25
18-27
9-29
25-23
22-14
22-26
22-19
15-16
21-20
15-28
20-22
11-23
20-16
16-18
15-19
16-19
17-18
32-32
16-27
8-19
22-25
25-21
14-27
170.2Avg total
76.5Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.289.7162.8-16.517%
Season at home (3)77.086.7163.7-9.733%
Season away (3)69.392.7162.0-23.30%
Last 10 (10)76.593.7170.2-17.210%
Last 5 (5)74.886.4161.2-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.194.2173.4-15.114%
vs Similar (3)78.076.3154.3+1.767%
vs Weaker (4)87.278.8166.0+8.5100%
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -9.6-9.6
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.4-5.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -9.6-9.6
AmagerVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A14/04
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/04
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H26/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H19/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A26/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#7
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A04/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
43-66
43
66
-23
H10/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A24/10
Basketligaen
89.7Avg total
44.1Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.748.887.5-10.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.650.089.6-10.421%-
Last 30 away (16)37.947.885.7-9.819%-
Last 10 (10)44.145.689.7-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)44.652.296.8-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)39.149.288.4-10.121%-
vs Similar (4)36.243.079.2-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)55.060.0115.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H04/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A08/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H11/04
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A15/04
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A21/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H24/09
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H03/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A10/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A19/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H27/10
Basketligaen
80.4Avg total
38.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.483.8-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.045.087.0-3.025%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.580.1-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.180.4-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.674.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.444.984.3-5.527%-
vs Similar (3)39.735.074.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (4)47.840.288.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Amager) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.1
51.8%
51.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
32.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.516.9
66.3%
70.2%16.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.9
50.6%
51.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.0
29.0%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.011.7
65.0%
70.2%11.7
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
LLLLLWWWWL
Vaerlose
LLLLWLLLLL
#6
League position
#10
-2.7
Net rating
-22.0
102.7
Offensive rating
95.6
105.4
Defensive rating
117.6
51.7%
Effective FG%
47.7%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.2%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.3%
3-point %
29.0%
57.0%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 95.6Defence105.4 · 117.6Shooting51.7% · 47.7%3-point %34.3% · 29.0%Ball care19.1% · 19.2%Off. rebounds27.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Amager   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Amager wins
6
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
28/12/23Vaerlose v Amager91-89
28/09/23Amager v Vaerlose83-102
22/04/23Amager v Vaerlose86-79
30/03/23Vaerlose v Amager87-92
15/12/22Amager v Vaerlose87-73
28/09/22Vaerlose v Amager98-72
09/04/22Amager v Vaerlose99-91 OT
27/03/22Vaerlose v Amager77-76
28/01/22Vaerlose v Amager98-88
28/10/21Amager v Vaerlose71-78
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/24ARanders73-110
10/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved102-108
04/10/24AHolbaek-Stenhus98-106
29/09/24HBakken Bears73-80
26/09/24AHorsens79-84
19/09/24HCopenhagen100-75
26/04/24HHolbaek-Stenhus99-91 OT
23/04/24HHerlev Wolfpack97-94
14/04/24ABears Academy64-61
26/03/24ACopenhagen83-88
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HTeam FOG Naestved69-92
19/10/24ABakken Bears81-96
10/10/24ASvendborg62-76
03/10/24HHerlev Wolfpack71-86
24/09/24HBears Academy91-82
21/09/24ARanders65-106
15/04/24ABakken Bears86-103
11/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved70-105
08/04/24ASvendborg83-88
04/04/24HRanders87-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game87.591.783.3
Allowed / game93.887.7100.0
Point differential-6.3+4.0-16.7
Avg total181.3179.3183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game73.277.069.3
Allowed / game89.786.792.7
Point differential-16.5-9.7-23.3
Avg total162.8163.7162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Team FOG Naestved880100%99.488.5+10.9
2 Svendborg76186%86.474.1+12.3
3 Bakken Bears76186%91.480.4+11.0
4 Horsens65183%87.779.7+8.0
5 Randers84450%91.982.9+9.0
6 Herlev Wolfpack73443%81.082.6-1.6
7 Holbaek-Stenhus72529%80.691.3-10.7
8 Amager61517%87.593.8-6.3
9 Vaerlose61517%73.289.7-16.5
10 Copenhagen71614%80.089.4-9.4
11 Bears Academy71614%75.487.0-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Amager20242929102
Vaerlose2222271990
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