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Amager vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-91
16-13 22-31 18-28 24-19
Position#13
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game104.2
Amager
Denmark
vs
Vaerlose 🏆
Denmark
Position#6
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game85.7
DenmarkBasketligaen· Amager Hallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Amager v Vaerlose
14 Mar 2026
AMAG107
VAER109
20 Nov 2025
AMAG80
VAER91
24 Apr 2025
AMAG90
VAER74
01 Nov 2024
AMAG102
VAER90
28 Sep 2023
AMAG83
VAER102
22 Apr 2023
AMAG86
VAER79
15 Dec 2022
AMAG87
VAER73
09 Apr 2022
AMAG99
VAER91
28 Oct 2021
AMAG71
VAER78
14 Feb 2021
AMAG72
VAER82
31 Oct 2020
AMAG83
VAER76
15 Jan 2020
AMAG71
VAER98
07 Jan 2019
AMAG77
VAER111
02 Feb 2011
AMAG83
VAER87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Amager winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AmagerDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAmager
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
83-111
83
111
-28
56avg 76
A25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
89-106
89
106
-17
75avg 76
H27/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-122
71
122
-51
57avg 76
A03/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
64avg 76
H11/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
78-112
78
112
-34
63avg 76
H17/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
66-100
66
100
-34
54avg 76
A25/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
A28/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
91-98
91
98
-7
79avg 76
H01/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
90-110
90
110
-20
87avg 76
H06/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
82-90
82
90
-8
67avg 76
A14/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-29
20-29
22-28
22-28
26-26
18-26
23-26
20-32
18-22
15-35
18-33
21-29
17-25
13-18
28-18
19-30
21-22
15-29
23-31
18-34
19-19
20-18
9-29
12-21
18-29
16-32
24-21
22-30
22-24
26-20
21-24
10-19
21-25
36-32
23-34
20-21
23-26
18-14
21-29
184.1Avg total
79.9Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.9104.2184.1-24.30%
Season at home (5)85.4103.2188.6-17.80%
Season away (5)74.4105.2179.6-30.80%
Last 10 (10)79.9104.2184.1-24.30%
Last 5 (5)79.8100.2180.0-20.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.2107.3189.5-25.20%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.794.7170.3-19.00%
vs Weaker (14)91.281.6172.8+9.679%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVaerlose
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 70
A23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 70
H04/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
68-124
68
124
-56
59avg 70
H09/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
91-72
91
72
+19
91avg 70
A12/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
57-115
57
115
-58
44avg 70
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
60-74
60
74
-14
48avg 70
H26/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 70
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
56avg 70
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
93-76
93
76
+17
no box
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
59-58
59
58
+1
56avg 70
A15/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
23-21
17-18
19-23
21-23
24-17
21-23
14-13
18-36
13-31
24-25
13-32
20-23
18-14
35-17
18-18
10-28
15-29
12-24
20-34
17-19
9-20
17-18
17-17
24-23
22-20
27-25
14-15
16-35
15-14
24-29
17-20
19-25
25-17
26-20
23-14
10-21
18-17
16-9
15-11
161.2Avg total
75.5Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.585.7161.2-10.260%
Season at home (5)77.686.6164.2-9.060%
Season away (5)73.484.8158.2-11.460%
Last 10 (10)75.585.7161.2-10.260%
Last 5 (5)74.277.8152.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.993.4165.4-21.514%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.581.9167.4+3.767%
vs Weaker (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
AmagerVaerlose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AmagerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H27/09
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A03/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H11/10
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H17/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A25/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A28/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H01/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/11
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/11
Basketligaen
90.6Avg total
39.0Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.147.390.4-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.947.892.7-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)41.346.788.1-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)39.051.690.6-12.60%-
Last 5 (5)37.049.686.6-12.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.652.593.1-11.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)35.751.387.0-15.70%-
vs Weaker (14)47.141.688.6+5.579%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A23/09
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H04/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
31-67
31
67
-36
H09/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
25-57
25
57
-32
A15/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H26/10
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A02/11
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
Basketligaen
81.8Avg total
36.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.986.0-5.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.446.287.6-4.944%-
Last 30 away (14)38.645.584.1-6.936%-
Last 10 (10)36.645.281.8-8.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.277.2-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.149.484.5-14.47%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.542.987.4+1.767%-
vs Weaker (1)44.042.086.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Amager) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Amagertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Amager: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
54.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.815.5
65.1%
70.1%15.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vaerlose: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.3
49.5%
54.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.7
26.6%
32.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.415.7
70.1%
70.1%15.7
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Amager
LLLLLLLLLL
Vaerlose
WWLWLLWLWW
#13
League position
#6
-25.2
Net rating
-16.8
95.6
Offensive rating
87.7
120.9
Defensive rating
104.5
49.5%
Effective FG%
45.6%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
19.8%
Turnover %
24.3%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.5%
3-point %
26.6%
44.1%
Assist %
60.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 87.7Defence120.9 · 104.5Shooting49.5% · 45.6%3-point %31.5% · 26.6%Ball care19.8% · 24.3%Off. rebounds21.7% · 24.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)0% · 60%
■ Amager   ■ Vaerlose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Amager wins
4
Vaerlose wins
DateGameScore
24/04/25Amager v Vaerlose90-74
22/03/25Vaerlose v Amager79-93
30/01/25Vaerlose v Amager84-77
01/11/24Amager v Vaerlose102-90
28/12/23Vaerlose v Amager91-89
28/09/23Amager v Vaerlose83-102
22/04/23Amager v Vaerlose86-79
30/03/23Vaerlose v Amager87-92
15/12/22Amager v Vaerlose87-73
28/09/22Vaerlose v Amager98-72
Amagerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25ABears Academy82-90
06/11/25HTeam FOG Naestved90-110
01/11/25HRanders91-98
28/10/25ABMS Herlev70-103
25/10/25ARanders66-100
17/10/25HCopenhagen78-112
11/10/25HVejen79-90
03/10/25ABakken Bears71-122
27/09/25HSvendborg89-106
25/09/25ATeam FOG Naestved83-111
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25AVejen59-58
06/11/25HBMS Herlev93-76
02/11/25AHorsens72-98
29/10/25HHolbaek-Stenhus87-83
26/10/25HHorsens60-74
15/10/25ATeam FOG Naestved57-115
12/10/25ABears Academy91-72
09/10/25HSvendborg68-124
04/10/25HVejen80-76
23/09/25AHolbaek-Stenhus88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Amager
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.985.474.4
Allowed / game104.2103.2105.2
Point differential-24.3-17.8-30.8
Avg total184.1188.6179.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game75.577.673.4
Allowed / game85.786.684.8
Point differential-10.2-9.0-11.4
Avg total161.2164.2158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%110.972.8+38.1
2 Team FOG Naestved109190%109.683.4+26.2
3 Horsens109190%87.270.8+16.4
4 Randers118373%95.183.0+12.1
5 Svendborg107370%93.279.2+14.0
6 Copenhagen117464%88.485.1+3.3
7 Vaerlose106460%75.585.7-10.2
8 BMS Herlev93633%81.888.8-7.0
9 Holbaek-Stenhus101910%77.993.4-15.5
10 Vejen101910%73.392.2-18.9
11 Bears Academy111109%75.7101.9-26.2
12 Amager100100%79.9104.2-24.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Amager1622182480
Vaerlose1331281991
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