Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 108-78

24-14 33-18 28-22 23-24

Position#1

Record7-3

FormWWLLW

Points / game97.0

Allowed / game74.5

Bakken Bears 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#7

Record4-7

FormLLWLL

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game83.4

Basketligaen

Other2022-23

Meetings · Bakken Bears v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBears

Date

Competition

Darussafaka

#25

66-80

-14

56avg 56

A19/10

Champions League

Horsens

94-74

+20

no box

H22/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

71-78

-7

no box

A26/10

Basketligaen

Hapoel Jerusalem

71-72

-1

no box

H01/11

Champions League

Copenhagen

118-68

118

+50

no box

A04/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

106-81

106

+25

no box

A17/11

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

96-56

+40

no box

A20/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

95-97

-2

no box

H22/11

Basketligaen

Hapoel Jerusalem

80-89

-9

71avg 56

A30/11

Champions League

Amager

#10

105-76

105

+29

no box

A03/12

Basketligaen

17-21

15-15

16-25

18-19

20-23

34-15

23-17

17-19

20-17

19-29

18-13

14-19

19-12

16-16

15-21

21-23

23-12

28-20

36-16

31-20

23-21

26-18

35-21

22-21

26-14

25-9

23-9

22-24

22-36

20-20

28-18

25-23

19-24

22-24

23-19

16-22

21-15

23-16

28-24

33-21

167.3Avg total

90.2Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	97.0	74.5	171.5	+22.5	70%
Season at home (3)	102.3	80.0	182.3	+22.3	67%
Season away (7)	94.7	72.1	166.9	+22.6	71%
Last 10 (10)	90.2	77.1	167.3	+13.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	96.4	79.8	176.2	+16.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.2	85.5	159.8	-11.2	25%
vs Similar (5)	76.0	79.2	155.2	-3.2	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	96.3	78.0	174.3	+18.3	81%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVaerlose

Date

Competition

Amager

#10

98-72

+26

no box

H28/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

84-75

no box

H01/10

Basketligaen

Randers

63-79

-16

no box

A08/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

78-76

no box

H14/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

89-91 OT

-2

no box

A21/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

82-87

-5

no box

H04/11

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

69-74

-5

no box

A19/11

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

85-75

+10

no box

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

71-85

-14

no box

H01/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

88-109

109

-21

no box

H07/12

Basketligaen

26-8

23-16

27-24

22-24

23-20

19-23

16-16

26-16

9-19

18-20

22-15

14-25

18-15

23-21

21-15

16-25

20-16

23-24

20-20

19-22

12-32

27-26

24-14

19-15

12-25

20-15

24-14

13-20

11-17

22-11

25-18

27-29

14-20

27-17

15-29

15-19

21-27

23-33

21-26

23-23

163.0Avg total

80.7Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	80.6	83.4	164.0	-2.7	36%
Season at home (6)	83.5	84.0	167.5	-0.5	50%
Season away (5)	77.2	82.6	159.8	-5.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	82.3	163.0	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	86.0	165.0	-7.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	82.9	95.2	178.1	-12.3	18%
vs Similar (8)	80.5	83.4	163.9	-2.9	25%
vs Weaker (10)	86.5	81.3	167.8	+5.2	70%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Bakken BearsVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.1	41.6	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.2	20.1	43.3	+3.1	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	21.8	41.3	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.9	40.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	22.6	41.7	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.9	36.5	-3.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	24.2	38.2	-10.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.5	24.1	43.6	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.2	43.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	25.1	20.2	45.3	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.4	40.6	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.2	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.7	20.3	44.0	+3.3	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.9	44.3	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.6	43.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	20.4	44.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	21.9	24.9	46.8	-3.0	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.8	15.9	37.7	+5.9	70%	-

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Darussafaka

#25

32-36

-4

A19/10

Champions League

Horsens

54-38

+16

H22/10

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

39-46

-7

A26/10

Basketligaen

Hapoel Jerusalem

35-28

H01/11

Champions League

Copenhagen

51-32

+19

A04/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

49-39

+10

A17/11

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

51-23

+28

A20/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

42-56

-14

H22/11

Basketligaen

Hapoel Jerusalem

41-48

-7

A30/11

Champions League

Amager

#10

44-31

+13

A03/12

Basketligaen

81.5Avg total

43.8Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.5	40.3	84.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.9	39.8	86.6	+7.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	40.8	83.1	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	37.7	81.5	+6.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	39.4	84.8	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.5	41.5	80.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.2	38.8	78.0	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	46.9	40.4	87.3	+6.4	67%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Amager

#10

49-24

+25

H28/09

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-43

-1

H01/10

Basketligaen

Randers

27-39

-12

A08/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

41-36

H14/10

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

43-40

A21/10

Basketligaen

Horsens

39-58

-19

H04/11

Basketligaen

Bears Academy

32-40

-8

A19/11

Basketligaen

Holbaek-Stenhus

#11

33-28

A27/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

41-37

H01/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

44-60

-16

H07/12

Basketligaen

79.6Avg total

39.1Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.6	42.8	84.4	-1.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	45.5	86.1	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	40.5	79.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	44.6	82.4	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	41.5	49.0	90.5	-7.5	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	41.9	44.4	86.2	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.5	34.8	76.3	+6.7	60%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	18.7	41.9	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	19.4	43.1	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.8	18.1	40.8	+4.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	18.3	42.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	18.2	45.6	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	20.8	36.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	21.0	38.4	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	26.0	17.8	43.7	+8.2	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	21.2	41.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	22.5	41.5	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.1	40.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.8	24.5	43.3	-5.6	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.7	41.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	21.2	37.8	-4.8	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.5	19.8	43.3	+3.7	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.8	20.1	41.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.8	44.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	22.6	21.7	44.4	+0.9	45%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.8	20.4	38.1	-2.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.4	22.2	45.6	+1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	38.4	83.3	+6.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.4	40.2	86.6	+6.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	36.8	80.4	+6.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	39.4	85.8	+7.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	40.4	91.4	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	32.2	42.0	74.2	-9.8	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	35.8	39.0	74.8	-3.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	49.5	37.6	87.0	+11.9	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.3	43.4	84.8	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	41.4	83.8	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	45.3	85.7	-5.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	40.9	81.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	41.4	82.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	41.5	46.2	87.6	-4.7	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.8	37.9	75.6	-0.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.1	44.8	88.9	-0.7	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bakken Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bakken Bears: 80.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game

50%

32%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	21.5	51.4%	54.5%	43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.6	33.1%	32.5%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.1	66.5%	69.7%	12.1

They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Vaerlosetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.2	52.0%	54.5%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	9.0	33.7%	32.5%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	10.9	72.7%	69.7%	10.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.7	53.2%	54.5%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.7	9.0	33.7%	32.5%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.1	10.6	65.8%	69.7%	10.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	21.8	52.8%	54.5%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.0	34.8%	32.5%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	14.5	10.3	70.9%	69.7%	10.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bakken Bears wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
01/10/22	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	84-75
19/02/22	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	96-87
21/11/21	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	64-90
09/01/21	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	108-68
06/10/20	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	74-106
10/01/20	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	71-85
17/11/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	102-81
31/03/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	90-71
29/03/19	Vaerlose v Bakken Bears	87-98
22/03/19	Bakken Bears v Vaerlose	107-81

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/12/22	A	Amager	105-76
30/11/22	A	Hapoel Jerusalem	80-89
22/11/22	H	Team FOG Naestved	95-97
20/11/22	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	96-56
17/11/22	A	Svendborg	106-81
04/11/22	A	Copenhagen	118-68
01/11/22	H	Hapoel Jerusalem	71-72
26/10/22	A	Herlev Wolfpack	71-78
22/10/22	H	Horsens	94-74
19/10/22	A	Darussafaka	66-80

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/22	H	Team FOG Naestved	88-109
01/12/22	H	Herlev Wolfpack	71-85
27/11/22	A	Holbaek-Stenhus	85-75
19/11/22	A	Bears Academy	69-74
04/11/22	H	Horsens	82-87
21/10/22	A	Copenhagen	89-91 OT
14/10/22	H	Svendborg	78-76
08/10/22	A	Randers	63-79
01/10/22	H	Bakken Bears	84-75
28/09/22	H	Amager	98-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	70%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LWWWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	3	7
Win %	70%	67%	71%
Points / game	97.0	102.3	94.7
Allowed / game	74.5	80.0	72.1
Point differential	+22.5	+22.3	+22.6
Avg total	171.5	182.3	166.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	70%	67%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	36%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	LLLLW	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	36%	50%	20%
Points / game	80.6	83.5	77.2
Allowed / game	83.4	84.0	82.6
Point differential	-2.7	-0.5	-5.4
Avg total	164.0	167.5	159.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	17%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	9%	0%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Team FOG Naestved	11	9	2	82%	102.3	86.5	+15.8
2	Randers	10	8	2	80%	87.5	73.4	+14.1
3	Horsens	10	8	2	80%	86.5	76.4	+10.1
4	Herlev Wolfpack	11	8	3	73%	79.4	77.4	+2.0
5	Bakken Bears	10	7	3	70%	97.0	74.5	+22.5
6	Svendborg	11	5	6	45%	86.2	82.2	+4.0
7	Bears Academy	11	5	6	45%	74.4	79.3	-4.9
8	Vaerlose	11	4	7	36%	80.6	83.4	-2.7
9	Copenhagen	11	3	8	27%	82.3	95.1	-12.8
10	Amager	11	2	9	18%	76.4	96.7	-20.4
11	Holbaek-Stenhus	11	0	11	0%	71.8	95.3	-23.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bakken Bears	24	33	28	23	108
Vaerlose	14	18	22	24	78

← all games of the day

Bakken Bears vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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