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Apoel BC vs AEK Larnaca Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game69.7
CyprusDivision ARound 10· Lefkotheo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Apoel BC v AEK Larnaca
11 Dec 2026
APO v ALA
upcoming
28 Apr 2026
APO95
ALA87
21 Apr 2026
APO82
ALA79
05 Apr 2026
APO75
ALA80
19 Oct 2025
APO61
ALA96
22 Mar 2025
APO69
ALA91
08 Jan 2025
APO57
ALA67
30 Apr 2024
APO85
ALA86
22 Oct 2023
APO62
ALA60
29 Jan 2023
APO73
ALA77
23 Oct 2021
APO85
ALA86
10 Oct 2020
APO60
ALA76
06 Jan 2020
APO56
ALA80
27 Oct 2018
APO88
ALA86
18 Mar 2018
APO94
ALA87
08 Jan 2018
APO82
ALA84
18 Apr 2017
APO64
ALA73
07 Apr 2017
APO75
ALA72
05 Mar 2017
APO69
ALA73
02 Dec 2016
APO89
ALA77
26 Apr 2016
APO66
ALA76
25 Mar 2016
APO70
ALA90
16 Jan 2016
APO67
ALA72
18 Apr 2015
APO74
ALA79
09 Apr 2015
APO67
ALA69
11 Feb 2015
APO94
ALA73
08 Nov 2014
APO82
ALA75
18 Mar 2014
APO81
ALA50
11 Mar 2014
APO74
ALA58
04 Mar 2014
APO95
ALA88
19 Jan 2014
APO78
ALA59
15 Dec 2013
APO72
ALA82
05 Apr 2013
APO71
ALA76
29 Mar 2013
APO81
ALA72
25 Nov 2012
APO56
ALA54
02 Mar 2012
APO96
ALA79
12 Feb 2012
APO83
ALA82
29 Jan 2011
APO79
ALA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apoel BC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apoel BCCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H05/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H08/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
77-99
77
99
-22
A17/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H21/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A24/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H28/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A01/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H12/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A18/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H23/10
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
16-23
18-23
11-16
24-23
26-18
15-26
20-19
25-27
25-23
14-27
13-22
22-12
23-17
14-18
23-32
21-29
17-19
17-21
17-20
14-21
30-23
23-21
28-22
14-22
25-25
20-23
12-15
19-25
24-17
14-17
23-14
18-30
20-19
23-21
18-13
19-10
28-22
21-13
16-17
162.3Avg total
80.0Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.072.7153.7+8.367%
Season at home (2)82.067.5149.5+14.5100%
Season away (1)79.083.0162.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)80.082.3162.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)81.878.0159.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.486.5160.9-12.117%
vs Similar (14)83.481.8165.2+1.664%
vs Weaker (4)87.278.0165.2+9.275%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A21/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#11
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A16/09
Champions League
Wurzburg
#23
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#7
W
90-56
90
56
+34
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#15
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#32
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#46
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
24-27
19-25
22-26
18-18
16-16
21-11
13-19
18-31
19-13
24-32
26-19
22-17
18-23
15-19
18-6
26-14
23-12
18-13
23-17
14-29
20-19
31-17
15-29
30-18
19-20
21-23
13-18
32-21
25-30
22-20
20-22
18-16
30-22
15-21
22-15
23-20
26-22
22-11
14-16
161.3Avg total
83.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.069.7155.7+16.3100%
Season at home (1)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)87.565.0152.5+22.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.078.3161.3+4.770%
Last 5 (5)86.481.8168.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)77.777.2154.9+0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.575.7163.2+11.890%
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
Apoel BCAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apoel BCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H05/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H08/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A17/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A24/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H28/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/05
Division A
AEL
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Division A
86.3Avg total
44.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.184.9+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.384.5+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.985.3-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.386.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.885.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.445.284.6-5.817%-
vs Similar (14)43.940.384.1+3.671%-
vs Weaker (4)49.239.288.5+10.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H25/05
Division A
CSM Oradea
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/09
Champions League
Wurzburg
#23
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apollon
#7
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A11/10
Division A
Dziki Warszawa
#15
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/10
Division A
Tartu Ulikool
#32
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Paralimni
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
Division A
MZT Skopje
#46
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A27/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.0Avg total
43.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.384.5+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.539.685.1+5.960%-
Last 30 away (15)42.841.183.9+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.640.484.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.443.490.8+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)39.640.279.8-0.722%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.540.286.8+6.370%-
This opponent (Apoel BC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apoel BCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apoel BC: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.6
54.2%
50.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.19.9
34.0%
33.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
72.4%12.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.4
51.3%
50.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.1
33.5%
33.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.016.9
76.8%
72.4%16.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apoel BC
WLWLWLWLLL
AEK Larnaca
WWWWLWWLWL
#4
League position
#2
-3.1
Net rating
+5.5
93.6
Offensive rating
97.9
96.6
Defensive rating
92.4
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.0%
3-point %
33.5%
65.3%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 97.9Defence96.6 · 92.4Shooting52.8% · 50.9%3-point %34.0% · 33.5%Ball care13.4% · 12.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Apoel BC   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Apoel BC wins
8
AEK Larnaca wins
Apoel BClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HAchilleas K.84-62
18/10/26AAEK Larnaca79-83
12/10/26HAEL80-73
01/05/26AAEK Larnaca71-85
28/04/26HAEK Larnaca95-87
24/04/26AAEK Larnaca72-89
21/04/26HAEK Larnaca82-79
17/04/26AAEK Larnaca77-99
08/04/26HParalimni85-86
05/04/26HAEK Larnaca75-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26AMZT Skopje85-69
24/10/26AParalimni85-74
21/10/26HTartu Ulikool99-93
18/10/26HApoel BC83-79
14/10/26ADziki Warszawa80-94
11/10/26AApollon90-56
07/10/26HWurzburg73-65
16/09/26ACSM Oradea87-95
25/05/26HKeravnos68-64
21/05/26AKeravnos80-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apoel BC
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game81.082.079.0
Allowed / game72.767.583.0
Point differential+8.3+14.5-4.0
Avg total153.7149.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.083.087.5
Allowed / game69.779.065.0
Point differential+16.3+4.0+22.5
Avg total155.7162.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos330100%92.073.0+19.0
2 AEK Larnaca330100%86.069.7+16.3
3 AEL43175%76.869.0+7.8
4 Apoel BC32167%81.072.7+8.3
5 ETHA Engomi32167%71.067.7+3.3
6 Paralimni31233%81.084.3-3.3
7 Apollon31233%73.789.3-15.7
8 Morphou41325%68.078.0-10.0
9 Anorthosis3030%72.378.3-6.0
10 Achilleas K.3030%70.789.7-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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