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Apollon Patras vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 89-79
26-13 24-29 25-16 14-21
Position#17
Record3-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#9
Record10-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game86.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 2· Apollon Patras Indoor Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Apollon Patras v AEK Athens
06 Apr 2024
APA89
AAT79
13 Jan 2024
APA83
AAT74
21 Jan 2023
APA61
AAT69
16 Oct 2021
APA84
AAT68
09 Oct 2016
APA59
AAT77
07 Mar 2015
APA48
AAT89
08 Oct 2011
APA81
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apollon Patras winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apollon PatrasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPatras
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
84avg 57
H13/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
60-88
60
88
-28
52avg 57
A21/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
55-87
55
87
-32
41avg 57
H28/01
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 57
A03/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
56-84
56
84
-28
46avg 57
H10/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
73-99
73
99
-26
60avg 57
A04/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
52avg 57
H09/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
68avg 57
A17/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
63-93
63
93
-30
no box
H24/03
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
63-87
63
87
-24
62avg 57
A30/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
28-14
23-18
13-22
18-22
10-22
25-24
7-20
11-26
18-23
15-22
11-16
10-25
22-18
18-21
20-23
11-16
8-20
18-22
19-26
21-25
22-21
18-23
12-30
21-18
6-16
16-24
20-16
19-23
18-14
21-22
17-23
9-28
26-18
15-27
13-20
26-23
15-21
15-13
7-30
151.6Avg total
66.1Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)66.284.2150.4-18.013%
Season at home (11)65.977.2143.1-11.327%
Season away (12)66.590.6157.1-24.10%
Last 10 (10)66.185.5151.6-19.410%
Last 5 (5)67.487.0154.4-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)67.084.2151.2-17.314%
vs Similar (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (1)93.066.0159.0+27.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 79
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 79
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
94avg 79
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
101avg 79
H05/03
Champions League
Promitheas
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
87avg 79
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 79
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
90-82
90
82
+8
90avg 79
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
67-79
67
79
-12
63avg 79
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
97-101
97
101
-4
no box
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
79avg 79
H01/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
19-20
18-20
16-21
15-20
15-19
18-20
24-20
22-23
22-22
23-16
27-24
18-15
20-21
19-25
20-16
14-17
18-23
29-20
26-31
15-35
29-20
19-24
26-21
24-17
23-20
23-22
20-23
12-11
17-20
17-24
21-24
29-29
22-29
25-18
21-25
13-20
28-19
25-21
22-25
176.4Avg total
86.1Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.986.2173.1+0.743%
Season at home (12)90.286.7176.8+3.550%
Season away (11)83.385.7169.0-2.536%
Last 10 (10)86.190.3176.4-4.230%
Last 5 (5)86.289.4175.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.392.4176.8-8.10%
vs Similar (11)87.286.9174.1+0.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.278.9168.1+10.378%
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -8.7-8.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -8.7-8.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Apollon PatrasAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apollon PatrasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H13/01
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A21/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H28/01
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H10/02
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/03
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H09/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H24/03
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/03
Basket League
75.1Avg total
33.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.641.275.8-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.136.971.1-2.840%-
Last 30 away (15)35.145.580.6-10.37%-
Last 10 (10)33.841.375.1-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.478.0-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)34.841.876.6-7.121%-
vs Similar (1)31.034.065.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (1)35.031.066.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A15/02
Greek Cup
PAOK
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/03
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/03
Champions League
Promitheas
#7
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A12/03
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H23/03
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/04
Basket League
81.9Avg total
39.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.883.8-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.141.783.8+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.983.9-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.881.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.086.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.148.988.0-9.80%-
vs Similar (11)43.039.582.5+3.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.941.082.9+0.956%-
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apollon Patrastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon Patras: 65.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.3
47.4%
52.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.1
27.7%
33.7%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
71.5%12.2
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.3
55.2%
52.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.4
32.7%
33.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
71.5%14.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apollon Patras
LLLLLLLLLW
AEK Athens
WLLWLLLWLL
#17
League position
#9
-24.8
Net rating
-5.0
90.3
Offensive rating
108.9
115.1
Defensive rating
113.9
45.2%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
21.2%
Turnover %
18.4%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.7%
3-point %
32.7%
59.4%
Assist %
58.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 108.9Defence115.1 · 113.9Shooting45.2% · 53.1%3-point %27.7% · 32.7%Ball care21.2% · 18.4%Off. rebounds25.0% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Apollon Patras   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Apollon Patras wins
8
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24APAOK63-87
24/03/24HOlympiacos63-93
17/03/24ALavrio75-82
09/03/24HPeristeri63-74
04/03/24AMaroussi73-99
10/02/24HPromitheas56-84
03/02/24APAOK70-87
28/01/24HPanathinaikos55-87
21/01/24AKolossos Rhodes60-88
13/01/24HAEK Athens83-74
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24HMaroussi88-85
23/03/24HPeristeri97-101
20/03/24HPromitheas67-79
16/03/24AMaroussi90-82
12/03/24AMurcia89-100
09/03/24HPromitheas87-91
05/03/24HHapoel Holon108-112 OT
02/03/24APAOK94-85
15/02/24APanathinaikos72-79
12/02/24HPanathinaikos69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apollon Patras
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL13%
HomeWLLLL27%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %13%27%0%
Points / game66.265.966.5
Allowed / game84.277.290.6
Point differential-18.0-11.3-24.1
Avg total150.4143.1157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLLLLW50%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game86.990.283.3
Allowed / game86.286.785.7
Point differential+0.7+3.5-2.5
Avg total173.1176.8169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2221195%86.069.2+16.8
3 Olympiacos2321291%85.168.4+16.7
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W97278%75.660.7+14.9
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W129375%82.063.2+18.8
6 Peristeri2316770%83.074.6+8.3
7 Promitheas2213959%83.680.6+3.0
8 Aris23121152%76.476.1+0.3
9 AEK Athens23101343%86.986.2+0.7
10 Kolossos Rhodes2391439%82.385.2-2.9
11 PAOK2491538%74.579.8-5.3
12 Lavrio2491538%76.484.7-8.2
13 Siauliai W114736%72.671.0+1.6
14 AS Karditsas2381535%75.980.4-4.5
15 Maroussi2371630%82.087.3-5.3
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W1221017%57.077.6-20.6
17 Apollon Patras2332013%66.284.2-18.0
18 Panevezys W121118%58.185.2-27.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apollon Patras2624251489
AEK Athens1329162179
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