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PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 85-94
23-22 22-22 16-23 24-27
Position#10
Record8-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#9
Record7-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game85.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 19· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · PAOK v AEK Athens
24 Oct 2026
PAK65
AAT62
14 Feb 2026
PAK71
AAT88
12 Apr 2025
PAK94
AAT69
13 Feb 2025
PAK84
AAT65
26 Oct 2024
PAK87
AAT82
02 Mar 2024
PAK85
AAT94
01 Apr 2023
PAK78
AAT72
14 May 2022
PAK96
AAT72
13 May 2021
PAK81
AAT73
13 Mar 2021
PAK85
AAT87
07 Dec 2019
PAK67
AAT71
05 Mar 2019
PAK75
AAT84
26 Jan 2019
PAK88
AAT79
03 Nov 2018
PAK82
AAT80
16 May 2018
PAK78
AAT74
16 Dec 2017
PAK86
AAT65
12 Nov 2016
PAK71
AAT78
11 Jan 2015
PAK73
AAT71
13 Nov 2010
PAK92
AAT70
09 Jan 2010
PAK77
AAT69
14 Dec 2008
PAK77
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
L
63-95
63
95
-32
45avg 66
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 66
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
86avg 66
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-71
35
71
-36
19avg 66
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 66
H16/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
no box
H21/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
60avg 66
A27/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-70
87
70
+17
72avg 66
H03/02
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
63-77
63
77
-14
63avg 66
A11/02
Basket League
Aris
#25
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 66
H15/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
14-26
16-24
21-18
21-14
21-24
18-21
19-26
16-23
15-9
23-12
16-26
11-22
13-24
4-11
7-14
19-22
15-18
15-22
22-22
14-10
18-10
8-22
14-12
14-12
15-30
14-22
19-13
25-10
18-22
21-18
23-20
22-24
14-16
15-18
12-19
25-11
18-18
14-17
17-30
147.5Avg total
68.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.377.2149.5-4.844%
Season at home (9)76.875.8152.6+1.067%
Season away (9)67.978.6146.4-10.722%
Last 10 (10)68.878.7147.5-9.930%
Last 5 (5)70.473.0143.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.880.8150.7-11.026%
vs Similar (8)76.476.8153.1-0.462%
vs Weaker (2)77.062.0139.0+15.0100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 76
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 76
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 76
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 76
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 76
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 76
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
80-103
80
103
-23
64avg 76
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 76
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 76
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 76
A15/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
23-26
18-22
23-21
20-19
14-28
18-23
22-13
22-19
20-24
29-24
20-26
18-20
22-15
18-27
21-18
26-15
26-32
23-15
20-24
26-23
12-23
13-14
17-19
19-27
17-24
19-29
25-23
25-27
14-15
21-20
19-22
16-28
19-20
18-20
16-21
15-20
15-19
18-20
24-20
165.5Avg total
78.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.785.5171.2+0.239%
Season at home (9)90.084.8174.8+5.256%
Season away (9)81.386.2167.6-4.922%
Last 10 (10)78.786.8165.5-8.110%
Last 5 (5)73.686.8160.4-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
vs Similar (9)83.883.6167.3+0.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.579.3168.8+10.373%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
PAOKAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H02/01
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H21/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A27/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/02
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/02
Basket League
Aris
#25
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/02
Greek Cup
71.2Avg total
34.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.138.775.8-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.537.876.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)35.639.675.2-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.037.271.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.632.669.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.340.776.0-5.426%-
vs Similar (8)40.637.578.1+3.150%-
vs Weaker (2)37.529.066.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A15/02
Greek Cup
83.2Avg total
38.5Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.283.5-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.843.687.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.242.880.0-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.544.783.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.280.8-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.847.685.3-9.80%-
vs Similar (9)42.940.783.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.142.183.2-1.055%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.5
50.7%
52.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.25.6
25.2%
33.7%16.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
71.5%14.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.121.7
48.1%
52.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.5
28.6%
33.7%16.5
🏀 Free throws23.517.8
75.7%
71.5%17.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLWLWLLWLL
AEK Athens
LLLLLWLLLL
#10
League position
#9
-14.8
Net rating
-11.3
93.1
Offensive rating
103.4
107.9
Defensive rating
114.7
45.8%
Effective FG%
46.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.2%
3-point %
28.6%
66.8%
Assist %
58.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 103.4Defence107.9 · 114.7Shooting45.8% · 46.6%3-point %25.2% · 28.6%Ball care18.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds22.9% · 35.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ PAOK   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
PAOK wins
6
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
27/12/22AEK Athens v PAOK71-83
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
22/01/22AEK Athens v PAOK72-67
16/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK87-81
13/05/21PAOK v AEK Athens81-73
11/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK102-89
13/03/21PAOK v AEK Athens85-87 OT
27/01/21AEK Athens v PAOK76-56
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HAris74-76
11/02/24AAris63-77
03/02/24HApollon Patras87-70
27/01/24AOlympiacos62-77
21/01/24HLavrio66-65 OT
16/01/24HTofas71-84
13/01/24APeristeri35-71
09/01/24ATofas88-87 OT
06/01/24HMaroussi79-85
02/01/24HTofas63-95
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24APanathinaikos72-79
12/02/24HPanathinaikos69-89
06/02/24HMurcia79-84
03/02/24AKolossos Rhodes80-103
30/01/24AHapoel Holon68-79
27/01/24AAS Karditsas95-86
23/01/24APromitheas79-80
20/01/24HAris91-93
13/01/24AApollon Patras74-83
07/01/24HOlympiacos80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game72.376.867.9
Allowed / game77.275.878.6
Point differential-4.8+1.0-10.7
Avg total149.5152.6146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLWLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game85.790.081.3
Allowed / game85.584.886.2
Point differential+0.2+5.2-4.9
Avg total171.2174.8167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos1817194%84.869.5+15.3
3 Olympiacos1816289%84.768.3+16.4
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W86275%74.560.8+13.8
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W96367%81.966.7+15.2
6 Peristeri1812667%82.473.3+9.2
7 Promitheas1911858%84.379.7+4.6
8 Aris1911858%77.276.3+0.9
9 PAOK1881044%72.377.2-4.8
10 AEK Athens1871139%85.785.5+0.2
11 Kolossos Rhodes1871139%81.484.3-2.8
12 Lavrio1971237%76.484.7-8.3
13 AS Karditsas1961332%74.579.5-5.0
14 Maroussi1851328%81.389.0-7.7
15 Siauliai W92722%67.275.2-8.0
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W102820%58.073.7-15.7
17 Apollon Patras1831517%65.983.4-17.5
18 Panevezys W81712%59.886.4-26.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2322162485
AEK Athens2222232794
← all games of the day
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