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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-72
20-15 19-15 20-18 20-24
Position#12
Record-
FormWLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#37
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceGreek CupGreek Cup - Quarter-finals· Heraklion Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
102avg 76
A14/01
Basket League
Partizan
#11
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 76
H19/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
72avg 76
H22/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-55
87
55
+32
87avg 76
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-62
79
62
+17
75avg 76
H31/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 76
A02/02
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
67avg 76
H05/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 76
H09/02
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
90avg 76
A12/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
21-15
26-23
20-22
18-16
24-24
16-18
26-13
23-18
21-24
19-12
22-26
21-18
15-25
23-19
16-28
26-11
23-18
22-15
16-11
21-16
23-12
13-13
22-21
25-25
13-19
18-20
12-16
10-25
24-14
23-12
13-22
13-21
25-9
19-17
17-16
28-16
20-19
20-18
21-16
152.2Avg total
80.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.371.9152.2+8.470%
Last 5 (5)76.069.4145.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.277.2160.4+6.080%
vs Weaker (25)82.273.7156.0+8.576%
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 77
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 77
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 77
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 77
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 77
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 77
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 77
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
80-103
80
103
-23
64avg 77
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 77
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
57avg 77
H12/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
19-26
26-11
19-27
16-23
23-26
18-22
23-21
20-19
14-28
18-23
22-13
22-19
20-24
29-24
20-26
18-20
22-15
18-27
21-18
26-15
26-32
23-15
20-24
26-23
12-23
13-14
17-19
19-27
17-24
19-29
25-23
25-27
14-15
21-20
19-22
16-28
19-20
18-20
16-21
166.9Avg total
80.5Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.586.4166.9-5.920%
Last 5 (5)78.288.2166.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.091.0169.0-13.00%
vs Similar (9)83.883.6167.3+0.244%
vs Weaker (11)89.579.3168.8+10.373%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A14/01
Basket League
Partizan
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H31/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/02
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H05/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/02
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/02
Basket League
78.0Avg total
41.9Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.879.4+5.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.636.880.4+6.873%-
Last 30 away (15)41.636.778.3+4.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.178.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.275.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
vs Weaker (25)42.836.379.1+6.464%-
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/02
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/02
Basket League
84.5Avg total
40.0Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.383.3-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.843.687.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.743.179.8-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.584.5-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.886.8-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.247.183.3-10.90%-
vs Similar (9)42.940.783.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker (11)41.142.183.2-1.055%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.4 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.321.3
57.1%
53.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.9
33.7%
30.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.216.0
75.5%
75.2%16.0
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.4 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.922.5
48.0%
53.7%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.75.2
29.4%
30.7%15.6
🏀 Free throws24.718.9
76.5%
75.2%18.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLLWWLWWW
AEK Athens
LLLLWLLLLW
#12
League position
#37
+11.8
Net rating
-8.4
111.7
Offensive rating
105.5
99.8
Defensive rating
113.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
46.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.0%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.7%
3-point %
29.4%
57.1%
Assist %
59.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 105.5Defence99.8 · 113.9Shooting54.8% · 46.9%3-point %33.7% · 29.4%Ball care20.2% · 19.0%Off. rebounds34.2% · 37.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/24AAEK Athens89-69
09/02/24HFenerbahce74-63
05/02/24HAris70-73
02/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas68-80
31/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-62
28/01/24AApollon Patras87-55
25/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-90
22/01/24HOlympiacos85-80
19/01/24HPartizan84-71
14/01/24ALavrio92-76
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/24HPanathinaikos69-89
06/02/24HMurcia79-84
03/02/24AKolossos Rhodes80-103
30/01/24AHapoel Holon68-79
27/01/24AAS Karditsas95-86
23/01/24APromitheas79-80
20/01/24HAris91-93
13/01/24AApollon Patras74-83
07/01/24HOlympiacos80-92
30/12/23ALavrio90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Greek Cup 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Athens
Greek Cup 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panionios550100%78.267.0+11.2
2 NE Megaridas54180%76.267.4+8.8
3 Milon Aons43175%76.266.0+10.2
4 Lefkadas43175%54.250.0+4.2
5 Papagou32167%92.377.0+15.3
6 Mykonos32167%82.072.0+10.0
7 Holargos B.C.32167%83.376.7+6.7
8 Apas Naxos32167%77.771.7+6.0
9 GS Almyros32167%76.070.3+5.7
10 Kifisia32167%72.768.7+4.0
11 Douka32167%81.080.0+1.0
12 Amyntas32167%74.776.3-1.7
13 Ilioupoulis32167%72.376.0-3.7
14 Agia Barbara32167%68.081.0-13.0
15 Trikala21150%74.565.0+9.5
16 Ermis Schimatari21150%84.579.0+5.5
17 Falirou21150%76.572.0+4.5
18 Akadimia Elefsinas21150%67.066.0+1.0
19 Koroivos21150%82.582.0+0.5
20 Esperos21150%79.079.5-0.5
21 Proteas Voulas21150%81.582.0-0.5
22 Eleftheroupoli21150%75.079.5-4.5
23 Stavroupoli21150%56.068.5-12.5
24 Olympos1010%80.081.0-1.0
25 Komotini1010%70.072.0-2.0
26 Argos Orestiko1010%60.063.0-3.0
27 Psychikou1010%81.084.0-3.0
28 Agia Paraskevis1010%64.068.0-4.0
29 Ethnikos Livadeias1010%75.079.0-4.0
30 Aiolos Agias1010%70.075.0-5.0
31 Neo Lixouriou1010%57.063.0-6.0
32 Eleftheria Moshatou1010%76.083.0-7.0
33 Lefkippos Xanthis1010%73.080.0-7.0
34 Ioannina1010%56.064.0-8.0
35 Dafni Dafniou1010%76.086.0-10.0
36 Aias Evosmou1010%71.083.0-12.0
37 Dafni1010%63.076.0-13.0
38 Doxas Pyrrou1010%69.088.0-19.0
39 Vikos1010%73.092.0-19.0
40 Iraklis1010%0.020.0-20.0
41 Hanth1010%68.089.0-21.0
42 Kronos Agiou Dimitriou1010%67.088.0-21.0
43 Panerythraikos1010%63.086.0-23.0
44 Panserraikos1010%43.066.0-23.0
45 Pera As1010%66.090.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 45 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2019202079
AEK Athens1515182472
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