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Apollon Patras vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 83-74
19-20 28-14 23-18 13-22
Position#17
Record2-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#9
Record6-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game83.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 14· Apollon Patras Indoor Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Apollon Patras v AEK Athens
06 Apr 2024
APA89
AAT79
13 Jan 2024
APA83
AAT74
21 Jan 2023
APA61
AAT69
16 Oct 2021
APA84
AAT68
09 Oct 2016
APA59
AAT77
07 Mar 2015
APA48
AAT89
08 Oct 2011
APA81
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apollon Patras winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Apollon PatrasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPatras
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
69-87
69
87
-18
59avg 58
H28/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
60-112
60
112
-52
43avg 58
A06/11
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
54-67
54
67
-13
46avg 58
H11/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
68-106
68
106
-38
56avg 58
A19/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 58
H26/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
57-90
57
90
-33
48avg 58
A03/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
71-60
71
60
+11
68avg 58
H09/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
65-84
65
84
-19
49avg 58
A24/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 58
A30/12
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
63-76
63
76
-13
48avg 58
A06/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
26-12
8-27
19-21
12-33
15-29
15-27
18-23
16-17
10-15
18-15
10-20
27-28
17-33
11-21
13-24
14-13
21-19
19-22
15-21
17-17
17-27
8-29
15-17
14-9
20-14
17-11
20-26
17-33
11-18
18-15
19-18
21-15
16-20
19-16
18-25
14-17
17-18
10-21
22-20
148.3Avg total
65.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.383.2149.5-16.815%
Season at home (6)67.572.8140.3-5.333%
Season away (7)65.392.0157.3-26.70%
Last 10 (10)65.083.3148.3-18.310%
Last 5 (5)66.077.2143.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)67.483.4150.8-16.016%
vs Similar (3)68.069.3137.3-1.333%
vs Weaker (2)84.072.5156.5+11.550%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 77
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-64
86
64
+22
79avg 77
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#10
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 77
H25/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
95-100
95
100
-5
92avg 77
A02/12
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
110-79
110
79
+31
119avg 77
H05/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 77
H09/12
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
79-83
79
83
-4
69avg 77
A20/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 77
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 77
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 77
H07/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
19-23
29-15
19-23
17-16
19-10
25-22
25-16
17-25
19-20
28-8
26-17
18-26
22-33
27-19
28-22
31-18
24-17
26-24
29-20
24-22
25-23
16-22
26-22
18-21
20-14
18-22
23-26
17-17
18-24
22-27
21-21
26-11
19-26
26-11
19-27
16-23
23-26
18-22
23-21
171.1Avg total
88.4Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.283.5170.6+3.746%
Season at home (7)92.983.0175.9+9.971%
Season away (6)80.584.0164.5-3.517%
Last 10 (10)88.482.7171.1+5.750%
Last 5 (5)83.685.6169.2-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.085.5162.5-8.515%
vs Similar (8)82.181.9164.0+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.376.2168.6+16.189%
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
Apollon PatrasAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Apollon PatrasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H28/10
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-62
27
62
-35
A06/11
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H11/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A19/11
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/11
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A03/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H09/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A24/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/12
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/01
Basket League
75.2Avg total
33.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.741.376.1-6.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.036.271.2-1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)34.545.880.3-11.36%-
Last 10 (10)33.841.475.2-7.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.670.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.642.176.6-7.524%-
vs Similar (3)31.736.368.0-4.733%-
vs Weaker (2)41.539.581.0+2.050%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H25/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/12
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H05/12
Champions League
Maroussi
#11
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H09/12
Basket League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A20/12
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H07/01
Basket League
83.0Avg total
41.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.981.6-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.742.085.7+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)35.141.977.0-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.083.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.482.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.143.579.5-7.415%-
vs Similar (8)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.440.683.0+1.967%-
This opponent (Apollon Patras) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Apollon Patrastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon Patras: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.916.5
46.0%
52.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.2
27.7%
33.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
71.5%12.4
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.923.8
51.9%
52.4%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.1
33.2%
33.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.318.5
76.1%
71.5%18.5
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Apollon Patras
LLLWLLLLLL
AEK Athens
LWLLWWLWWL
#17
League position
#9
-26.1
Net rating
+7.3
90.5
Offensive rating
115.4
116.6
Defensive rating
108.2
44.3%
Effective FG%
51.2%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.7%
3-point %
33.2%
61.7%
Assist %
66.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 115.4Defence116.6 · 108.2Shooting44.3% · 51.2%3-point %27.7% · 33.2%Ball care18.3% · 15.6%Off. rebounds23.9% · 37.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Apollon Patras   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Apollon Patras wins
8
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AAris63-76
30/12/23AAS Karditsas74-76
24/12/23AOlympiacos65-84
09/12/23HLavrio71-60
03/12/23APeristeri57-90
26/11/23HMaroussi69-75
19/11/23APromitheas68-106
11/11/23HPAOK54-67
06/11/23APanathinaikos60-112
28/10/23HKolossos Rhodes69-87
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HOlympiacos80-92
30/12/23ALavrio90-75
24/12/23APeristeri78-89
20/12/23ALudwigsburg79-83
09/12/23HMaroussi91-89
05/12/23HSassari110-79
02/12/23APromitheas95-100
25/11/23HPAOK90-70
22/11/23HSzczecin86-64
20/11/23APanathinaikos85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Apollon Patras
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL15%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%33%0%
Points / game66.367.565.3
Allowed / game83.272.892.0
Point differential-16.8-5.3-26.7
Avg total149.5140.3157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL46%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%71%17%
Points / game87.292.980.5
Allowed / game83.583.084.0
Point differential+3.7+9.9-3.5
Avg total170.6175.9164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W660100%85.867.3+18.5
2 Panathinaikos13130100%84.969.1+15.8
3 Olympiacos1312192%86.468.2+18.2
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W54180%95.268.4+26.8
5 Promitheas149564%88.082.2+5.8
6 Klaipedos Neptunas W53260%75.864.2+11.6
7 Peristeri148657%80.573.1+7.4
8 Aris137654%76.875.7+1.1
9 AEK Athens136746%87.283.5+3.7
10 PAOK146843%73.178.6-5.4
11 Aistes LSU Kaunas W52340%56.475.0-18.6
12 Kolossos Rhodes135838%81.886.2-4.5
13 Maroussi145936%82.189.4-7.4
14 Lavrio134931%77.588.7-11.2
15 AS Karditsas1331023%71.978.5-6.6
16 Apollon Patras1321115%66.383.2-16.8
17 Siauliai W5050%66.280.8-14.6
18 Panevezys W4040%56.290.5-34.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Apollon Patras1928231383
AEK Athens2014182274
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