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AEK Athens vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 69-89
16-28 19-20 18-20 16-21
Position#9
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#2
Record16-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game69.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 18· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · AEK Athens v Panathinaikos
08 Nov 2026
AAT74
PAO83
13 Dec 2025
AAT63
PAO101
12 Jan 2025
AAT80
PAO103
12 Feb 2024
AAT69
PAO89
25 Mar 2023
AAT77
PAO73
03 Apr 2022
AAT69
PAO83
26 May 2021
AAT71
PAO78
21 May 2021
AAT92
PAO80
28 Apr 2021
AAT95
PAO104
24 Sep 2020
AAT73
PAO79
05 Jan 2020
AAT100
PAO97
10 Apr 2019
AAT72
PAO104
14 Jan 2018
AAT74
PAO94
05 Nov 2017
AAT73
PAO69
22 May 2017
AAT67
PAO105
14 May 2017
AAT71
PAO70
26 Mar 2017
AAT87
PAO106
16 Feb 2015
AAT62
PAO70
18 Dec 2010
AAT78
PAO95
17 Jan 2010
AAT47
PAO85
22 Apr 2009
AAT70
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 77
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
90-75
90
75
+15
90avg 77
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 77
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 77
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
91-93
91
93
-2
83avg 77
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 77
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 77
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
68-79
68
79
-11
56avg 77
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
80-103
80
103
-23
64avg 77
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 77
H06/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-24
22-27
21-21
26-11
19-26
26-11
19-27
16-23
23-26
18-22
23-21
20-19
14-28
18-23
22-13
22-19
20-24
29-24
20-26
18-20
22-15
18-27
21-18
26-15
26-32
23-15
20-24
26-23
12-23
13-14
17-19
19-27
17-24
19-29
25-23
25-27
14-15
21-20
19-22
167.8Avg total
81.4Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.685.3171.9+1.441%
Season at home (8)92.684.2176.9+8.462%
Season away (9)81.386.2167.6-4.922%
Last 10 (10)81.486.4167.8-5.020%
Last 5 (5)80.286.4166.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.589.9170.4-9.410%
vs Similar (9)83.883.6167.3+0.244%
vs Weaker (11)89.579.3168.8+10.373%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
W
88-63
88
63
+25
87avg 76
H11/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
102avg 76
A14/01
Basket League
Partizan
#11
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 76
H19/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
72avg 76
H22/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-55
87
55
+32
87avg 76
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-62
79
62
+17
75avg 76
H31/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
61avg 76
A02/02
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
67avg 76
H05/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 76
H09/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
16-18
21-14
24-19
25-16
21-15
26-23
20-22
18-16
24-24
16-18
26-13
23-18
21-24
19-12
22-26
21-18
15-25
23-19
16-28
26-11
23-18
22-15
16-11
21-16
23-12
13-13
22-21
25-25
13-19
18-20
12-16
10-25
24-14
23-12
13-22
13-21
25-9
19-17
17-16
151.5Avg total
80.2Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.669.5154.1+15.194%
Season at home (9)90.073.0163.0+17.089%
Season away (8)78.565.6144.1+12.9100%
Last 10 (10)80.271.3151.5+8.970%
Last 5 (5)75.666.6142.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.277.2160.4+6.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)81.673.8155.4+7.876%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
AEK AthensPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A24/12
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H07/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A13/01
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H20/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A23/01
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/01
Basket League
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A03/02
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/02
Champions League
83.8Avg total
40.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.443.083.4-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.642.987.5+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.743.179.8-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.883.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.285.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.446.083.4-8.610%-
vs Similar (9)42.940.783.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker (11)41.142.183.2-1.055%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/01
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A14/01
Basket League
Partizan
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H19/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A25/01
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H31/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A02/02
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H05/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/02
Euroleague
77.0Avg total
41.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.236.979.1+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.136.980.1+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)41.136.978.0+4.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.677.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.074.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.336.578.8+5.860%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.322.8
48.2%
52.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.75.1
28.8%
33.7%15.3
🏀 Free throws25.119.3
76.9%
71.5%19.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.2
57.9%
52.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.1
34.3%
33.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.315.7
77.3%
71.5%15.7
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LLLWLLLLWL
Panathinaikos
WLLWWLWWWW
#9
League position
#2
-7.7
Net rating
+13.2
105.8
Offensive rating
112.7
113.5
Defensive rating
99.5
46.8%
Effective FG%
55.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
19.6%
Turnover %
20.3%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.8%
3-point %
34.3%
59.5%
Assist %
55.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 112.7Defence113.5 · 99.5Shooting46.8% · 55.6%3-point %28.8% · 34.3%Ball care19.6% · 20.3%Off. rebounds39.0% · 34.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24HMurcia79-84
03/02/24AKolossos Rhodes80-103
30/01/24AHapoel Holon68-79
27/01/24AAS Karditsas95-86
23/01/24APromitheas79-80
20/01/24HAris91-93
13/01/24AApollon Patras74-83
07/01/24HOlympiacos80-92
30/12/23ALavrio90-75
24/12/23APeristeri78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HFenerbahce74-63
05/02/24HAris70-73
02/02/24AZalgiris Kaunas68-80
31/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-62
28/01/24AApollon Patras87-55
25/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-90
22/01/24HOlympiacos85-80
19/01/24HPartizan84-71
14/01/24ALavrio92-76
11/01/24HMonaco88-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL41%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLWLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%62%22%
Points / game86.692.681.3
Allowed / game85.384.286.2
Point differential+1.4+8.4-4.9
Avg total171.9176.9167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL94%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %94%89%100%
Points / game84.690.078.5
Allowed / game69.573.065.6
Point differential+15.1+17.0+12.9
Avg total154.1163.0144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W880100%85.264.4+20.9
2 Panathinaikos1716194%84.669.5+15.1
3 Olympiacos1816289%84.768.3+16.4
4 Kibirkstis Vilnius W65183%88.866.0+22.8
5 Klaipedos Neptunas W64267%73.763.2+10.5
6 Peristeri1812667%82.473.3+9.2
7 Aris1811761%78.376.6+1.7
8 Promitheas1810856%85.181.0+4.1
9 PAOK1881044%72.377.2-4.8
10 AEK Athens1771041%86.685.3+1.4
11 Kolossos Rhodes1871139%81.484.3-2.8
12 AS Karditsas1861233%75.579.7-4.2
13 Lavrio1861233%76.486.2-9.8
14 Maroussi1851328%81.389.0-7.7
15 Aistes LSU Kaunas W82625%57.672.0-14.4
16 Apollon Patras1831517%65.983.4-17.5
17 Panevezys W61517%58.087.0-29.0
18 Siauliai W6060%64.877.8-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens1619181669
Panathinaikos2820202189
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