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Panathinaikos vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 May 2022
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 109-79
34-13 18-11 28-25 29-30
Position#2
Record22-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#7
Record11-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game77.2
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Aris
07 Mar 2027
PAO v ARI
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
PAO82
ARI77
22 Dec 2024
PAO126
ARI74
28 Sep 2024
PAO81
ARI68
31 May 2024
PAO89
ARI71
17 Feb 2024
PAO76
ARI65
05 Feb 2024
PAO70
ARI73
15 Jan 2023
PAO96
ARI79
22 May 2022
PAO109
ARI79
30 Jan 2022
PAO103
ARI83
28 Feb 2021
PAO94
ARI72
26 Oct 2019
PAO108
ARI86
28 Jan 2019
PAO85
ARI65
02 Apr 2018
PAO84
ARI63
05 Mar 2017
PAO70
ARI54
18 Feb 2017
PAO68
ARI59
27 Dec 2015
PAO90
ARI69
16 Dec 2014
PAO76
ARI69
02 Mar 2014
PAO71
ARI59
09 Feb 2014
PAO90
ARI53
28 Jan 2013
PAO81
ARI62
19 Apr 2012
PAO83
ARI68
23 Oct 2011
PAO84
ARI72
29 Dec 2010
PAO87
ARI58
11 Dec 2010
PAO93
ARI62
14 Feb 2010
PAO90
ARI56
16 May 2009
PAO71
ARI69
09 May 2009
PAO84
ARI80
07 Dec 2008
PAO84
ARI59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 74
H31/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A03/04
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#14
L
78-87
78
87
-9
73avg 74
A06/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
W
62-59
62
59
+3
58avg 74
A08/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
52avg 74
H11/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 74
A17/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
98-67
98
67
+31
89avg 74
H20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
70avg 74
A01/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 74
H07/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
79avg 74
A14/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
19-21
18-22
28-32
20-17
25-14
17-17
21-21
13-28
27-16
15-25
23-18
22-20
16-12
6-17
18-10
13-15
21-19
16-18
12-16
17-25
28-20
26-15
20-22
17-20
32-15
24-15
25-17
16-12
18-17
22-24
20-14
27-22
17-14
26-8
8-24
20-19
21-22
18-9
22-9
150.8Avg total
79.6Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.568.5152.0+15.092%
Season at home (12)85.568.8154.2+16.892%
Season away (12)81.468.2149.7+13.292%
Last 10 (10)79.671.2150.8+8.480%
Last 5 (5)84.868.6153.4+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.581.1155.5-6.627%
vs Similar (5)78.276.4154.6+1.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.168.3151.4+14.8100%
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 67
A05/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
H13/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
L
64-68
64
68
-4
55avg 67
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
62avg 67
H27/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
83avg 67
A02/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
67-89
67
89
-22
60avg 67
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
70-67
70
67
+3
60avg 67
A16/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
65avg 67
H20/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
82-70
82
70
+12
78avg 67
H07/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
L
73-74
73
74
-1
71avg 67
A14/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
16-21
20-24
12-19
22-30
22-11
18-18
29-14
18-19
18-17
10-12
18-20
18-17
20-22
13-17
25-17
17-26
22-7
17-29
30-29
16-21
17-20
12-25
22-23
30-16
8-18
8-13
24-20
22-21
17-15
16-28
22-12
24-14
20-21
12-13
26-22
9-10
20-19
17-24
27-21
150.8Avg total
75.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.377.2153.5-0.946%
Season at home (12)79.373.8153.1+5.675%
Season away (12)73.380.7154.0-7.317%
Last 10 (10)75.075.8150.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)73.875.2149.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.085.5159.5-11.517%
vs Similar (21)75.976.2152.0-0.348%
vs Weaker (2)71.565.0136.5+6.550%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
PanathinaikosAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A03/04
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#14
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A08/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/04
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A01/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/05
Basket League
77.0Avg total
41.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.478.3+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.436.978.3+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.040.278.2-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.977.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.279.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.541.680.2-3.145%-
vs Similar (5)40.037.877.8+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.836.176.9+4.650%-
This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A05/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/03
Basket League
Lavrio
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/03
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A02/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A16/04
Basket League
PAOK
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H07/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A14/05
Basket League
73.0Avg total
37.2Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.173.0-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.636.972.5-1.257%-
Last 30 away (16)34.239.273.4-5.019%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.873.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.071.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)31.745.377.0-13.70%-
vs Similar (21)36.437.674.0-1.148%-
vs Weaker (2)34.029.563.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.3
54.0%
51.3%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.7
34.9%
34.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.612.1
77.6%
72.2%12.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.6
46.9%
51.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.9
36.8%
34.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.311.9
65.0%
72.2%11.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWLWLWW
Aris
LWWWLLWLWL
#2
League position
#7
+11.7
Net rating
-1.9
112.8
Offensive rating
100.2
101.0
Defensive rating
102.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
36.8%
60.3%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 100.2Defence101.0 · 102.1Shooting53.4% · 50.2%3-point %34.9% · 36.8%Ball care15.3% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.2% · 27.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Panathinaikos wins
1
Aris wins
DateGameScore
30/01/22Panathinaikos v Aris103-83
03/10/21Aris v Panathinaikos81-71
28/02/21Panathinaikos v Aris94-72
17/01/21Aris v Panathinaikos75-93
15/02/20Aris v Panathinaikos81-88
26/10/19Panathinaikos v Aris108-86
28/01/19Panathinaikos v Aris85-65
13/10/18Aris v Panathinaikos70-84
02/04/18Panathinaikos v Aris84-63
10/12/17Aris v Panathinaikos70-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/22AIraklis81-59
07/05/22HApollon Patras78-68
01/05/22APromitheas76-67
20/04/22HLarisa98-67
17/04/22ALavrio91-82
11/04/22HOlympiacos62-68
08/04/22AFenerbahce62-59
06/04/22AAlba Berlin78-87
03/04/22AAEK Athens83-69
31/03/22HReal Madrid87-86
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/22AApollon Patras73-74
07/05/22HLarisa82-70
20/04/22HPAOK77-76
16/04/22APeristeri70-67
07/04/22AOlympiacos67-89
02/04/22AIraklis86-91
27/03/22HPromitheas76-73
19/03/22ALavrio64-68
13/03/22HAEK Athens91-73
05/03/22AKolossos Rhodes64-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game83.585.581.4
Allowed / game68.568.868.2
Point differential+15.0+16.8+13.2
Avg total152.0154.2149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%92%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aris
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%75%17%
Points / game76.379.373.3
Allowed / game77.273.880.7
Point differential-0.9+5.6-7.3
Avg total153.5153.1154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)67% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2423196%92.672.6+20.0
2 Panathinaikos2422292%83.568.5+15.0
3 Kolossos Rhodes25151060%74.673.7+0.9
4 AEK Athens24131154%76.180.2-4.1
5 Larisa25131252%77.180.6-3.6
6 Promitheas24121250%77.478.2-0.9
7 Aris24111346%76.377.2-0.9
8 PAOK24101442%76.275.8+0.5
9 Peristeri24101442%75.377.6-2.2
10 Lavrio2481633%73.980.3-6.5
11 Apollon Patras2481633%72.879.7-6.9
12 Iraklis2461825%74.879.6-4.8
13 Ionikos2461825%76.582.8-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos34182829109
Aris1311253079
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