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Arkansas vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 81-85
34-40 47-45
Position#118
Record14-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Alabama 🏆
USA
Position#34
Record19-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Arkansas v Alabama
09 Jan 2027
ARKA v ALAB
upcoming
08 Feb 2025
ARKA81
ALAB85
11 Jan 2023
ARKA69
ALAB84
24 Feb 2021
ARKA81
ALAB66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#220
W
92-62
92
62
+30
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
52-76
52
76
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H09/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H11/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H26/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A02/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-39
50-23
27-42
25-34
33-33
33-40
25-28
38-43
36-34
38-44
35-52
30-31
26-38
42-27
31-35
31-30
46-45
43-34
35-24
43-46
143.1Avg total
70.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.868.7145.5+8.164%
Season at home (12)78.462.2140.6+16.375%
Season away (10)74.976.5151.4-1.650%
Last 10 (10)70.972.2143.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)72.472.4144.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.880.5154.2-6.825%
vs Similar (12)76.872.8149.6+4.167%
vs Weaker (10)86.667.4154.0+19.280%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
W
105-82
105
82
+23
H29/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
107-79
107
79
+28
H04/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A09/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
94-88
94
88
+6
A12/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H15/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H22/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H26/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
57-33
48-49
48-29
59-50
45-28
43-40
52-44
42-44
36-32
28-42
47-45
55-52
48-31
55-56
40-40
40-33
44-39
44-45
39-28
51-41
172.2Avg total
92.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.278.3168.5+11.986%
Season at home (13)88.473.3161.7+15.185%
Season away (9)92.985.6178.4+7.389%
Last 10 (10)92.180.1172.2+12.090%
Last 5 (5)92.682.0174.6+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.583.0161.5-4.550%
vs Similar (19)89.281.6170.8+7.674%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.379.2171.6+13.1100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +10.7+10.72nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.3+1.3
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: +10.7+10.72nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.3+1.3
ArkansasAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#220
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H31/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/01
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H11/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri
#89
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H23/01
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Texas
#168
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A06/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
33.6Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.873.0+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.632.068.6+4.650%-
Last 30 away (14)37.840.278.0-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)33.637.070.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.873.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.838.574.2-2.838%-
vs Similar (12)35.836.272.0-0.542%-
vs Weaker (10)39.933.273.1+6.760%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#108
W
57-33
57
33
+24
H29/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H04/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A09/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A12/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H15/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H22/01
NCAA
LSU
#255
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Georgia
#120
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H01/02
NCAA
80.5Avg total
45.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.136.678.8+5.563%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.333.875.1+7.672%-
Last 30 away (12)43.340.984.2+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)45.634.980.5+10.790%-
Last 5 (5)43.636.680.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.040.077.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (19)42.837.280.1+5.674%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.834.776.4+7.156%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arkansas wins
5
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
09/03/24Alabama v Arkansas92-88 OT
25/02/23Alabama v Arkansas86-83
12/01/23Arkansas v Alabama69-84
12/02/22Alabama v Arkansas68-67
25/02/21Arkansas v Alabama81-66
16/01/21Alabama v Arkansas90-59
01/02/20Alabama v Arkansas78-82
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25ATexas78-70
02/02/25AKentucky89-79
26/01/25HOklahoma62-65
23/01/25HGeorgia68-65
18/01/25AMissouri65-83
15/01/25ALSU74-78
11/01/25HFlorida63-71
09/01/25HOle Miss66-73
04/01/25ATennessee52-76
31/12/24HOakland92-62
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HGeorgia90-69
30/01/25AMississippi St.88-84
26/01/25HLSU80-73
22/01/25HVanderbilt103-87
18/01/25AKentucky102-97
15/01/25HOle Miss64-74
12/01/25ATexas A&M94-88
09/01/25ASouth Carolina88-68
04/01/25HOklahoma107-79
29/12/24HSouth Dakota St.105-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWLLWL75%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game76.878.474.9
Allowed / game68.762.276.5
Point differential+8.1+16.2-1.6
Avg total145.5140.6151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %86%85%89%
Points / game90.288.492.9
Allowed / game78.373.385.6
Point differential+11.9+15.1+7.3
Avg total168.5161.7178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%46%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn2321291%85.067.7+17.3
2 Florida2320387%83.766.4+17.3
3 Alabama2219386%90.278.3+11.9
4 Tennessee2420483%74.859.2+15.5
5 Texas A&M2318578%75.066.1+8.9
6 Missouri2317674%82.469.2+13.2
7 Ole Miss2317674%78.668.4+10.2
8 Vanderbilt2317674%81.171.9+9.3
9 Mississippi St.2317674%79.771.3+8.4
10 Kentucky2316770%86.776.6+10.2
11 Oklahoma2316770%78.571.7+6.9
12 Georgia2416867%76.067.4+8.6
13 Arkansas2214864%76.868.7+8.1
14 Texas2415962%78.567.5+11.0
15 LSU22121055%77.372.3+5.0
16 South Carolina23101343%69.969.7+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas344781
Alabama404585
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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