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Arkansas vs Alabama Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#110
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#48
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game76.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Arkansas v Alabama
09 Jan 2027
ARKA v ALAB
upcoming
08 Feb 2025
ARKA81
ALAB85
11 Jan 2023
ARKA69
ALAB84
24 Feb 2021
ARKA81
ALAB66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
H14/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H15/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
97-78
97
78
+19
H19/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H22/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
88-109
88
109
-21
A27/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
106-61
106
61
+45
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#192
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-39
45-40
37-36
42-43
41-39
45-36
54-36
43-42
43-42
51-46
43-54
45-55
47-28
59-33
27-46
45-45
39-30
37-23
43-27
36-39
166.3Avg total
87.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.267.8151.0+15.575%
Season at home (3)87.060.0147.0+27.0100%
Season away (1)72.091.0163.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)87.379.0166.3+8.380%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.298.6181.8-15.420%
vs Similar (12)89.881.8171.6+8.175%
vs Weaker (13)91.376.2167.5+15.292%
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
A27/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#226
W
96-74
96
74
+22
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#229
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-50
45-48
50-31
46-53
41-47
38-33
37-35
53-35
49-25
41-40
49-47
28-43
40-29
56-45
51-34
50-52
56-29
53-39
38-28
44-48
169.9Avg total
90.8Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season at home (4)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.879.1169.9+11.770%
Last 5 (5)93.078.8171.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.395.3171.7-19.00%
vs Similar (14)91.284.9176.1+6.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.777.9171.6+15.892%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +1.8+1.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +1.8+1.8
ArkansasAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H14/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H19/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H22/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A27/03
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#472
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Virginia
#42
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A08/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#192
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H14/11
NCAA
78.8Avg total
41.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.179.7+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.635.678.2+6.979%-
Last 30 away (11)39.742.582.2-2.745%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.778.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.076.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.648.886.4-11.220%-
vs Similar (12)43.238.081.2+5.267%-
vs Weaker (13)41.534.275.6+7.385%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A03/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/03
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#226
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#229
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H10/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#130
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H14/11
NCAA
80.9Avg total
45.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.837.481.3+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.835.482.2+11.480%-
Last 30 away (10)38.041.579.5-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)45.435.580.9+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.480.2+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.044.086.0-2.067%-
vs Similar (14)43.939.683.5+4.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.233.677.8+10.585%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arkansas wins
7
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
19/02/26Alabama v Arkansas117-115 OT
09/02/25Arkansas v Alabama81-85
09/03/24Alabama v Arkansas92-88 OT
25/02/23Alabama v Arkansas86-83
12/01/23Arkansas v Alabama69-84
12/02/22Alabama v Arkansas68-67
25/02/21Arkansas v Alabama81-66
16/01/21Alabama v Arkansas90-59
01/02/20Alabama v Arkansas78-82
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCentral Arkansas79-66
12/11/26HRobert Morris76-53
08/11/26AVirginia72-91
04/11/26HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-61
27/03/26AArizona88-109
22/03/26HHigh Point94-88
19/03/26HHawaii97-78
15/03/26HVanderbilt86-75
14/03/26HOle Miss93-90 OT
14/03/26HOklahoma82-79
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSeton Hall82-76
10/11/26HOakland109-68
07/11/26HArkansas State101-86
04/11/26HSam Houston St.96-74
27/03/26AMichigan77-90
23/03/26HTexas Tech90-65
20/03/26HHofstra90-70
13/03/26HOle Miss79-80
08/03/26HAuburn96-84
03/03/26AGeorgia88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.287.072.0
Allowed / game67.860.091.0
Point differential+15.5+27.0-19.0
Avg total151.0147.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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