PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minsk vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 84-69
21-30 16-18 25-5 22-16
Position#12
Record2-29
FormLLLWL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game80.5
Minsk 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#11
Record5-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game85.5
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Minsk v Astana
27 Mar 2024
MIN60
AST58
07 Dec 2023
MIN84
AST89
26 Mar 2023
MIN84
AST69
25 Dec 2022
MIN65
AST76
13 Mar 2022
MIN66
AST60
21 Mar 2021
MIN78
AST80
02 Feb 2020
MIN96
AST77
13 Oct 2018
MIN86
AST93
22 Oct 2017
MIN75
AST66
19 Feb 2017
MIN70
AST80
05 Mar 2016
MIN87
AST83
05 Apr 2015
MIN94
AST86
17 Nov 2013
MIN82
AST68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minsk winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinskRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A19/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A01/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
42-69
42
69
-27
H04/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A08/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H11/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A14/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
56-90
56
90
-34
A03/03
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A08/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H12/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
55-67
55
67
-12
H17/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-26
19-17
14-17
15-29
26-14
12-24
29-19
6-15
11-11
16-19
9-24
13-20
21-18
12-28
21-16
19-16
22-17
18-25
12-13
13-20
16-20
24-11
17-27
9-23
16-16
18-28
13-23
17-24
15-16
16-15
7-20
22-19
22-17
20-11
17-18
9-24
18-18
12-12
16-13
143.4Avg total
65.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)62.180.5142.6-18.56%
Season at home (15)61.377.2138.5-15.97%
Season away (16)62.883.7146.5-20.96%
Last 10 (10)65.777.7143.4-12.010%
Last 5 (5)63.475.0138.4-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)62.380.8143.0-18.57%
vs Similar ◀ (3)65.079.7144.7-14.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A15/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H13/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A16/03
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A19/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
59-94
59
94
-35
A22/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
15-25
16-25
16-18
18-26
20-21
16-21
13-15
29-15
14-26
24-12
19-29
16-26
14-25
24-17
21-21
17-13
20-17
15-28
21-16
14-15
18-20
22-22
19-23
9-23
21-28
18-26
25-15
11-23
18-20
27-18
14-18
20-19
6-26
13-13
28-19
18-23
11-22
19-19
11-30
155.8Avg total
71.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)67.085.5152.5-18.516%
Season at home (16)67.983.8151.8-15.925%
Season away (15)66.087.4153.4-21.47%
Last 10 (10)71.084.8155.8-13.810%
Last 5 (5)68.484.4152.8-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.786.5153.2-19.85%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.765.0144.7+14.7100%
vs Weaker (8)83.471.6155.0+11.862%
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -7.3-7.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
MinskAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/01
VTB United League
Astana
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H04/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/02
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A03/03
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A08/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H12/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H17/03
VTB United League
70.9Avg total
32.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.441.370.7-11.810%-
Last 30 at home (14)28.639.668.2-11.114%-
Last 30 away (16)30.242.772.9-12.56%-
Last 10 (10)32.838.170.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.439.470.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)29.341.370.6-12.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Astana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A15/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H13/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A16/03
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A19/03
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A22/03
VTB United League
77.2Avg total
32.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.242.378.5-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.378.2-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)33.445.478.8-12.013%-
Last 10 (10)32.944.377.2-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)29.243.873.0-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.845.276.9-13.45%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (8)44.839.984.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Minsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minsk: 59.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.2
48.3%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.6
31.9%
-19.8
🏀 Free throws13.39.6
72.2%
-9.6
They take 52.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minsk
LWLLLLLLLL
Astana
LLLLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#11
-33.5
Net rating
-32.5
91.1
Offensive rating
82.8
124.7
Defensive rating
115.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
45.4%
62.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
22.8%
Turnover %
26.7%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.9%
3-point %
30.4%
61.9%
Assist %
60.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Minsk   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minsk wins
6
Astana wins
DateGameScore
01/02/23Astana v Minsk86-82
11/01/23Astana v Minsk77-48
25/12/22Minsk v Astana65-76
17/03/22Astana v Minsk64-65 OT
13/03/22Minsk v Astana66-60
25/04/21Astana v Minsk74-109
21/03/21Minsk v Astana78-80
02/02/20Minsk v Astana96-77
09/11/19Astana v Minsk91-89
17/03/19Astana v Minsk101-71
Minsklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/23HParma Perm55-67
12/03/23HSaratov81-65
08/03/23AEnisey55-75
03/03/23ASamara56-90
14/02/23ASaratov70-78
11/02/23HSamara78-87 OT
08/02/23AParma Perm67-82
04/02/23HEnisey42-69
01/02/23AAstana82-86
19/01/23ASamara71-78
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/23AParma Perm59-94
19/03/23AEnisey67-77
16/03/23ASaratov70-79
13/03/23HSamara73-92
09/03/23HSaratov73-80
04/03/23HParma Perm73-74
15/02/23ASamara75-89
01/02/23HMinsk86-82
28/01/23HEnisey67-83
20/01/23HLokomotiv Kuban67-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minsk
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL6%
HomeLLLWL7%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %6%7%6%
Points / game62.161.362.8
Allowed / game80.577.283.7
Point differential-18.5-15.9-20.9
Avg total142.6138.5146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL16%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %16%25%7%
Points / game67.067.966.0
Allowed / game85.583.887.4
Point differential-18.5-15.9-21.4
Avg total152.5151.8153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%12%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3230294%95.675.5+20.1
2 Unics Kazan3124777%85.474.9+10.4
3 Zenit Petersburg3122971%81.972.1+9.8
4 Lokomotiv Kuban32171553%78.877.2+1.7
5 Nizhny Novgorod32171553%74.875.3-0.5
6 Parma Perm32161650%78.179.1-1.0
7 Saratov32151747%79.881.2-1.4
8 MBA Moscow32151747%75.478.2-2.8
9 Enisey32141844%74.876.4-1.6
10 Samara32131941%78.676.6+1.9
11 Astana3152616%67.085.5-18.5
12 Minsk312296%62.180.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minsk2116252284
Astana301851669
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.