Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2019

Tip-off: 08:00

Final 122-74

35-23 26-18 28-15 33-18

Position#1

Record37-0

FormWLLLW

Points / game97.6

Allowed / game58.6

Astana 🏆

Tobol Kostanay

Position#4

Record22-15

FormLLLLL

Points / game89.4

Allowed / game82.6

National LeagueNational League - Semi-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Astana v Tobol Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Enisey

93-85

H21/04

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

91-72

+19

H23/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

93-76

+17

H24/04

National League

Zenit Petersburg

95-103 OT

103

-8

A27/04

VTB United League

Kokshetay

102-70

102

+32

H30/04

National League

Kokshetay

129-53

129

+76

H01/05

National League

Khimki M.

59-82

-23

A05/05

VTB United League

Khimki M.

64-94

-30

A07/05

VTB United League

Khimki M.

81-88

-7

H10/05

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

120-75

120

+45

A18/05

National League

17-28

26-22

24-23

26-12

23-20

31-12

22-15

15-25

26-15

23-27

29-20

15-14

19-27

31-22

18-26

19-12

24-18

30-18

26-20

22-14

36-10

39-17

20-10

34-16

17-24

17-15

13-22

12-21

14-21

21-26

15-26

14-21

25-24

23-26

14-17

19-21

38-24

27-16

30-19

25-16

172.5Avg total

92.7Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	97.6	58.6	156.3	+39.0	100%
Season at home (20)	97.5	59.5	157.0	+37.9	100%
Season away (17)	97.8	57.6	155.4	+40.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.7	79.8	172.5	+12.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.6	78.4	169.0	+12.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	79.0	92.4	171.4	-13.4	12%
vs Similar (1)	74.0	102.0	176.0	-28.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	97.4	65.5	162.9	+31.9	100%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

106-50

106

+56

H05/03

National League

Astana

84-102

102

-18

H20/03

National League

Astana

64-91

-27

H21/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

115-97

115

+18

H17/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

117-92

117

+25

H18/04

National League

Astana

72-91

-19

A23/04

National League

Astana

76-93

-17

A24/04

National League

Almaty

82-87

-5

A27/04

National League

Almaty

67-71

-4

A28/04

National League

Astana

75-120

120

-45

H18/05

National League

34-16

24-14

22-10

26-10

25-29

23-26

11-28

25-19

18-19

17-18

20-34

9-20

34-29

35-19

21-27

25-22

32-27

26-19

25-25

34-21

20-23

12-31

15-22

25-15

15-26

27-23

20-29

14-15

19-24

23-16

23-25

17-22

23-21

13-12

15-18

16-20

24-38

16-27

19-30

16-25

175.2Avg total

85.8Scored

89.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	89.4	82.6	172.0	+6.8	59%
Season at home (19)	94.4	87.3	181.6	+7.1	63%
Season away (18)	84.1	77.7	161.8	+6.4	56%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	89.4	175.2	-3.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	92.4	166.8	-18.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	86.0	95.6	181.6	-9.6	18%
vs Similar (5)	84.0	86.4	170.4	-2.4	20%
vs Weaker (14)	98.1	77.4	175.6	+20.7	100%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AstanaTobol Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.8	41.7	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.7	17.7	41.3	+6.0	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.1	45.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	20.6	46.6	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.8	22.9	42.6	-3.1	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	22.0	35.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.6	17.1	41.7	+7.5	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	22.6	47.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	26.2	23.4	49.6	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.4	25.2	49.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	26.4	46.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	22.6	24.2	46.8	-1.5	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	26.8	21.2	48.0	+5.6	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	19.3	43.5	+5.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	26.4	20.0	46.4	+6.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.8	20.1	46.9	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	20.0	45.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	26.0	40.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	25.6	17.1	42.7	+8.4	90%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.8	42.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	22.1	20.3	42.3	+1.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.7	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.8	23.8	44.6	-3.0	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.5	18.6	43.1	+5.9	79%	-

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Enisey

43-50

-7

H21/04

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

54-32

+22

H23/04

National League

Tobol Kostanay

49-42

H24/04

National League

Zenit Petersburg

50-49

A27/04

VTB United League

Kokshetay

54-36

+18

H30/04

National League

Kokshetay

75-27

+48

H01/05

National League

Khimki M.

34-39

-5

A05/05

VTB United League

Khimki M.

35-47

-12

A07/05

VTB United League

Khimki M.

48-50

-2

H10/05

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

65-40

+25

A18/05

National League

91.9Avg total

50.7Scored

41.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.2	38.1	85.3	+9.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	50.1	37.7	87.8	+12.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	45.3	38.3	83.6	+6.9	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.7	41.2	91.9	+9.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.4	40.6	92.0	+10.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	41.9	46.9	88.8	-5.0	12%	-
vs Similar (1)	27.0	48.0	75.0	-21.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	50.2	34.2	84.4	+16.0	90%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau 2

58-30

+28

H05/03

National League

Astana

48-55

-7

H20/03

National League

Astana

35-37

-2

H21/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

69-48

+21

H17/04

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

58-46

+12

H18/04

National League

Astana

32-54

-22

A23/04

National League

Astana

42-49

-7

A24/04

National League

Almaty

42-40

A27/04

National League

Almaty

36-33

A28/04

National League

Astana

40-65

-25

H18/05

National League

91.7Avg total

46.0Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.5	43.4	89.9	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	48.3	43.7	91.9	+4.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (11)	43.5	42.9	86.4	+0.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	45.7	91.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	48.2	86.6	-9.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	43.5	48.0	91.5	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.8	43.2	83.0	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	51.3	39.9	91.1	+11.4	86%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+5.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.7	18.2	40.8	+4.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.9	17.6	40.5	+5.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.7	16.2	40.9	+8.5	90%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.5	43.6	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	22.1	21.8	43.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	24.8	43.9	-5.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.8	43.2	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	22.5	25.5	48.0	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+3.0	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	17.5	38.9	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	17.2	37.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	28.0	54.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.5	15.1	37.6	+7.4	76%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.6	18.7	39.4	+1.9	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.1	22.1	42.2	-2.0	45%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	20%	-
vs Weaker (14)	24.6	18.3	42.9	+6.3	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	35.3	79.5	+8.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.2	35.7	79.9	+8.6	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	44.2	35.1	79.3	+9.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	37.0	78.2	+4.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.8	77.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.1	43.5	79.6	-7.4	12%	-
vs Similar (1)	47.0	54.0	101.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	47.2	31.3	78.5	+15.9	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	41.8	86.0	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (19)	45.1	42.9	88.0	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.6	39.8	82.5	+2.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	43.7	83.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	44.2	80.2	-8.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	42.5	47.6	90.2	-5.1	27%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.2	40.8	81.0	-0.6	20%	-
vs Weaker (14)	46.9	37.6	84.4	+9.3	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Astana wins

Tobol Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
18/05/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	75-120
24/04/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	93-76
23/04/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	91-72
21/03/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	64-91
20/03/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	84-102
24/10/18	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	78-72
23/10/18	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	80-45
28/02/18	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	89-94
27/02/18	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	69-107
14/12/17	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	89-59

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/19	A	Tobol Kostanay	120-75
10/05/19	H	Khimki M.	81-88
07/05/19	A	Khimki M.	64-94
05/05/19	A	Khimki M.	59-82
01/05/19	H	Kokshetay	129-53
30/04/19	H	Kokshetay	102-70
27/04/19	A	Zenit Petersburg	95-103 OT
24/04/19	H	Tobol Kostanay	93-76
23/04/19	H	Tobol Kostanay	91-72
21/04/19	H	Enisey	93-85

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/19	H	Astana	75-120
28/04/19	A	Almaty	67-71
27/04/19	A	Almaty	82-87
24/04/19	A	Astana	76-93
23/04/19	A	Astana	72-91
18/04/19	H	Kaspiy Aktau	117-92
17/04/19	H	Kaspiy Aktau	115-97
21/03/19	H	Astana	64-91
20/03/19	H	Astana	84-102
05/03/19	H	Atyrau 2	106-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astana

National League 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	20	17
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	97.6	97.5	97.8
Allowed / game	58.6	59.5	57.6
Point differential	+39.0	+37.9	+40.2
Avg total	156.3	157.0	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	92%	85%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	59%
Home	LLWWL	63%
Away	WLLLL	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	19	18
Win %	59%	63%	56%
Points / game	89.4	94.4	84.1
Allowed / game	82.6	87.3	77.7
Point differential	+6.8	+7.1	+6.4
Avg total	172.0	181.6	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	51%	53%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	33% (3)	0% (3)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	37	37	0	100%	97.6	58.6	+39.0
2	Atyrau	37	27	10	73%	87.4	77.2	+10.2
3	Almaty	37	23	14	62%	81.4	79.9	+1.6
4	Tobol Kostanay	37	22	15	59%	89.4	82.6	+6.8
5	Kokshetay	36	10	26	28%	71.0	86.5	-15.6
6	Kaspiy Aktau	36	5	31	14%	72.0	88.6	-16.6
7	Atyrau 2	36	4	32	11%	66.6	93.6	-27.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Astana	35	26	28	33	122
Tobol Kostanay	23	18	15	18	74

← all games of the day

Astana vs Tobol Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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