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Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 64-91
18-19 17-18 20-34 9-20
Position#4
Record20-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Astana 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#1
Record31-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game56.8
KazakhstanNational League
Other2018-19
Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana
27 Jan 2026
TOBO73
AST88
26 Jan 2026
TOBO64
AST119
27 Oct 2025
TOBO54
AST103
26 Oct 2025
TOBO56
AST88
30 Oct 2022
TOBO90
AST83
29 Oct 2022
TOBO102
AST81
28 Apr 2022
TOBO59
AST104
20 Jan 2022
TOBO50
AST105
19 Jan 2022
TOBO60
AST102
23 Oct 2021
TOBO54
AST94
22 Oct 2021
TOBO50
AST100
18 Jan 2021
TOBO82
AST110
17 Jan 2021
TOBO72
AST88
18 Jan 2020
TOBO92
AST101
17 Jan 2020
TOBO52
AST90
18 May 2019
TOBO75
AST120
21 Mar 2019
TOBO64
AST91
20 Mar 2019
TOBO84
AST102
28 Feb 2018
TOBO89
AST94
27 Feb 2018
TOBO69
AST107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
101-83
101
83
+18
H28/01
National League
Almaty
#3
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
H09/02
National League
Almaty
#3
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H10/02
National League
Kokshetay
#5
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H13/02
National League
Kokshetay
#5
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H14/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
76-83
76
83
-7
H01/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
104-107
104
107
-3
H02/03
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H04/03
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
106-50
106
50
+56
H05/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
H20/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
22-15
20-24
27-28
25-29
23-19
24-20
17-21
27-25
16-24
15-20
25-22
18-20
14-20
38-21
27-16
25-25
23-16
22-21
23-21
21-19
18-22
18-24
19-18
25-29
30-17
26-28
23-33
25-24
24-20
20-11
17-19
34-16
24-14
22-10
26-10
25-29
23-26
11-28
25-19
179.0Avg total
93.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)91.079.8170.8+11.269%
Season at home (15)94.883.9178.7+10.967%
Season away (14)86.975.5162.4+11.471%
Last 10 (10)93.985.1179.0+8.860%
Last 5 (5)91.283.2174.4+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)86.290.6176.8-4.322%
vs Similar (4)86.085.0171.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (17)94.272.6166.9+21.6100%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#7
W
101-14
101
14
+87
A15/02
National League
Parma Perm
#12
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A27/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
98-95
98
95
+3
A02/03
VTB United League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H04/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
110-50
110
50
+60
H05/03
National League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A11/03
VTB United League
Almaty
#3
W
93-65
93
65
+28
A13/03
National League
Almaty
#3
W
95-60
95
60
+35
A14/03
National League
Minsk
#14
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H17/03
VTB United League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
102-84
102
84
+18
A20/03
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-4
32-5
23-5
24-0
22-28
26-17
22-20
15-15
21-22
25-25
26-20
26-28
24-17
23-18
24-23
15-23
24-15
33-15
29-10
24-10
13-22
14-26
21-26
26-28
23-16
27-22
24-13
19-14
24-16
20-17
25-14
26-13
20-19
24-20
30-20
27-12
29-25
26-23
28-11
19-25
164.7Avg total
94.5Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)96.356.8153.1+39.5100%
Season at home (16)95.957.5153.4+38.4100%
Season away (15)96.856.0152.8+40.8100%
Last 10 (10)94.570.2164.7+24.390%
Last 5 (5)93.076.4169.4+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.589.0177.5-0.550%
vs Similar (3)85.788.3174.0-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)95.665.3161.0+30.396%
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +9.0+9.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +9.0+9.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.3+5.3
Tobol KostanayAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H28/01
National League
Almaty
#3
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H09/02
National League
Almaty
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/02
National League
Kokshetay
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H13/02
National League
Kokshetay
#5
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H14/02
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/03
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H04/03
National League
Atyrau 2
#7
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H05/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H20/03
National League
89.9Avg total
47.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.439.985.3+5.455%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.742.389.9+5.453%-
Last 30 away (14)42.937.480.4+5.557%-
Last 10 (10)47.442.589.9+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.293.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.944.887.7-1.922%-
vs Similar (4)38.544.583.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (16)48.536.184.6+12.488%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#7
W
54-9
54
9
+45
A15/02
National League
Parma Perm
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A27/02
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A02/03
VTB United League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/03
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H05/03
National League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#7
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A11/03
VTB United League
Almaty
#3
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A13/03
National League
Almaty
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A14/03
National League
Minsk
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H17/03
VTB United League
Tobol Kostanay
#4
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A20/03
National League
84.4Avg total
47.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.635.181.7+11.577%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.833.581.3+14.387%-
Last 30 away (15)45.536.782.1+8.867%-
Last 10 (10)47.237.284.4+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.285.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.045.086.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.344.081.3-6.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)48.233.281.4+15.088%-
This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tobol Kostanay wins
8
Astana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/19HAstana84-102
05/03/19HAtyrau 2106-50
04/03/19HAtyrau 286-74
02/03/19HAtyrau104-107
01/03/19HAtyrau76-83
14/02/19HKokshetay93-83
13/02/19HKokshetay97-77
10/02/19HAlmaty83-91
09/02/19HAlmaty109-101 OT
28/01/19HKaspiy Aktau101-83
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/19ATobol Kostanay102-84
17/03/19HMinsk101-71
14/03/19AAlmaty95-60
13/03/19AAlmaty93-65
11/03/19ABC Kalev/Cramo74-102
05/03/19HKaspiy Aktau110-50
04/03/19HKaspiy Aktau86-81
02/03/19AUnics Kazan98-95
27/02/19AParma Perm85-80
15/02/19AAtyrau 2101-14

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay
National League 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL69%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game91.094.886.9
Allowed / game79.883.975.5
Point differential+11.2+10.9+11.4
Avg total170.8178.7162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%53%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Astana
National League 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.395.996.8
Allowed / game56.857.556.0
Point differential+39.5+38.4+40.8
Avg total153.1153.4152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+90%81%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana31310100%96.356.8+39.5
2 Tobol Kostanay2920969%91.079.8+11.2
3 Almaty30191163%82.879.9+2.9
4 Atyrau26161062%85.581.9+3.6
5 Kokshetay30102033%72.283.8-11.6
6 Atyrau 23042613%66.793.0-26.3
7 Kaspiy Aktau3032710%68.087.8-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tobol Kostanay181720964
Astana1918342091
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