Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 72-88

21-21 17-21 18-24 16-22

Position#3

Record3-5

FormWLLLW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game83.9

Tobol Kostanay

Astana 🏆

Position#1

Record10-0

FormWLWLW

Points / game96.6

Allowed / game62.7

National League

Other2020-21

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

102-71

102

+31

no box

H05/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

99-71

+28

no box

A09/03

National League

Aktobe

78-85

-7

no box

A03/11

National League

Aktobe

79-77

no box

A04/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

71-77

-6

no box

A08/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

91-66

+25

no box

A09/12

National League

Atyrau

89-97

-8

no box

A12/12

National League

Atyrau

65-84

-19

no box

A13/12

National League

Almaty

79-95

-16

no box

A23/12

National League

Almaty

92-90

no box

A24/12

National League

25-16

30-19

20-19

27-17

30-23

19-13

25-14

25-21

18-19

21-21

17-24

22-21

17-17

24-15

20-27

18-18

11-13

17-26

27-23

16-15

28-19

17-16

27-24

19-7

27-29

19-26

24-24

19-18

14-20

15-15

17-31

19-18

24-18

16-27

19-24

20-26

24-23

23-25

22-15

23-27

165.8Avg total

84.5Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	80.5	83.9	164.4	-3.4	38%
Season at home	no games
Season away (8)	80.5	83.9	164.4	-3.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	84.5	81.3	165.8	+3.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	86.4	169.6	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.5	95.2	169.7	-20.7	0%
vs Similar (4)	82.5	82.0	164.5	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker (20)	87.0	76.5	163.5	+10.4	75%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

90-75

+15

no box

A23/11

National League

Atyrau

89-59

+30

no box

A29/11

National League

Atyrau

88-67

+21

no box

A30/11

National League

Nizhny Novgorod

69-79

-10

66avg 68

H05/12

VTB United League

Almaty

107-67

107

+40

no box

A08/12

National League

Almaty

90-66

+24

no box

A09/12

National League

Zielona Gora

86-110

110

-24

no box

A14/12

VTB United League

Parma Perm

84-83

80avg 68

A17/12

VTB United League

Zenit Petersburg

70-77

-7

56avg 68

H26/12

VTB United League

Lokomotiv Kuban

86-82

78avg 68

H09/01

VTB United League

21-21

29-21

22-16

18-17

20-20

19-19

28-16

22-4

17-16

21-17

22-15

28-19

15-20

20-21

14-20

20-18

31-16

19-23

23-21

34-7

23-19

21-16

25-15

24-27

19-34

14-24

29-25

16-24

35-23

19-20

14-16

9-17

22-16

12-30

27-14

20-22

20-21

24-19

22-20

162.4Avg total

85.9Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	96.6	62.7	159.3	+33.9	100%
Season at home (4)	98.0	56.8	154.8	+41.2	100%
Season away (6)	95.7	66.7	162.3	+29.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	76.5	162.4	+9.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	83.6	166.8	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	77.0	90.9	167.9	-13.9	25%
vs Similar (3)	82.3	81.7	164.0	+0.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	89.0	58.5	147.5	+30.5	87%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.4	19.2	40.7	+2.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.9	18.9	40.8	+3.0	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	18.5	40.2	+3.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.7	42.8	-0.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.7	24.2	41.8	-6.5	8%	-
vs Similar (3)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	25.2	16.6	41.8	+8.6	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	18.2	39.1	+2.6	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.3	22.5	38.8	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.7	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.3	19.2	42.6	+4.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.0	45.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	42%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.7	17.3	40.0	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.1	15.2	38.4	+7.9	79%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

55-35

+20

H05/03

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

49-36

+13

A09/03

National League

Aktobe

39-40

-1

A03/11

National League

Aktobe

41-32

A04/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

28-39

-11

A08/12

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

45-35

+10

A09/12

National League

Atyrau

46-55

-9

A12/12

National League

Atyrau

29-35

-6

A13/12

National League

Almaty

40-45

-5

A23/12

National League

Almaty

47-48

-1

A24/12

National League

81.9Avg total

41.9Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.7	81.5	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.2	37.5	79.8	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.6	41.1	82.7	+0.4	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	40.0	81.9	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.6	85.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.3	47.5	84.8	-10.2	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.2	37.8	77.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	43.7	37.7	81.4	+6.0	65%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

50-42

A23/11

National League

Atyrau

39-39

A29/11

National League

Atyrau

38-33

A30/11

National League

Nizhny Novgorod

35-41

-6

H05/12

VTB United League

Almaty

50-39

+11

A08/12

National League

Almaty

44-35

A09/12

National League

Zielona Gora

43-61

-18

A14/12

VTB United League

Parma Perm

51-47

A17/12

VTB United League

Zenit Petersburg

31-33

-2

H26/12

VTB United League

Lokomotiv Kuban

40-43

-3

H09/01

VTB United League

83.4Avg total

42.1Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.2	38.4	81.6	+4.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.7	35.2	76.9	+6.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.4	40.9	85.3	+3.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	41.3	83.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	43.8	85.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.7	45.9	83.6	-8.2	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.0	39.0	80.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	48.4	31.8	80.1	+16.6	93%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.9	41.7	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.3	22.2	43.6	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	20.0	26.2	46.2	-6.2	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.2	24.2	47.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (20)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.8	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.5	40.6	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	19.4	40.1	+1.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.4	23.2	41.7	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.4	15.8	39.2	+7.6	93%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.2	21.5	38.7	-4.3	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.8	20.1	43.0	+2.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.3	17.8	40.1	+4.5	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	15.5	39.4	+8.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.8	42%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.6	13.6	37.2	+9.9	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.3	83.4	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.2	40.8	84.1	+2.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	41.2	41.7	82.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	41.3	83.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	42.8	84.6	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	37.2	47.7	84.8	-10.5	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.2	44.2	87.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Weaker (20)	43.2	38.9	82.1	+4.4	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.2	37.2	80.5	+6.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.7	35.5	79.2	+8.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.9	38.7	81.6	+4.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	35.2	79.0	+8.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	39.8	81.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.3	45.0	84.3	-5.7	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	42.7	84.0	-1.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	47.0	29.4	76.4	+17.6	93%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 78.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	18.5	49.9%	50.5%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.2	36.8%	30.4%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	18.2	13.6	74.7%	69.6%	13.6

They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.7	54.3%	50.5%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	10.3	40.4%	30.4%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	20.9	16.8	80.4%	69.6%	16.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	18.5	49.3%	50.5%	36.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	8.9	36.4%	30.4%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.9	74.3%	69.6%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.3	21.0	54.9%	50.5%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	10.1	39.8%	30.4%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	17.2	80.4%	69.6%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/20	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	92-101
17/01/20	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	52-90
10/12/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	101-72
09/12/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	98-77
19/05/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	122-74
18/05/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	75-120
24/04/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	93-76
23/04/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	91-72
21/03/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	64-91
20/03/19	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	84-102

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/12/20	A	Almaty	92-90
23/12/20	A	Almaty	79-95
13/12/20	A	Atyrau	65-84
12/12/20	A	Atyrau	89-97
09/12/20	A	Kaspiy Aktau	91-66
08/12/20	A	Kaspiy Aktau	71-77
04/11/20	A	Aktobe	79-77
03/11/20	A	Aktobe	78-85
09/03/20	A	Kaspiy Aktau	99-71
05/03/20	H	Kaspiy Aktau	102-71

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/01/21	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	86-82
26/12/20	H	Zenit Petersburg	70-77
17/12/20	A	Parma Perm	84-83
14/12/20	A	Zielona Gora	86-110
09/12/20	A	Almaty	90-66
08/12/20	A	Almaty	107-67
05/12/20	H	Nizhny Novgorod	69-79
30/11/20	A	Atyrau	88-67
29/11/20	A	Atyrau	89-59
23/11/20	A	Kaspiy Aktau	90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	38%
Home	-	-
Away	WLLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	-	8
Win %	38%	-	38%
Points / game	80.5	-	80.5
Allowed / game	83.9	-	83.9
Point differential	-3.4	-	-3.4
Avg total	164.4	-	164.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	-	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Astana

National League 2020-21

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	96.6	98.0	95.7
Allowed / game	62.7	56.8	66.7
Point differential	+33.9	+41.2	+29.0
Avg total	159.3	154.8	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	10	10	0	100%	96.6	62.7	+33.9
2	Atyrau	14	11	3	79%	86.9	77.9	+9.0
3	Almaty	14	7	7	50%	77.6	80.5	-2.9
4	Tobol Kostanay	8	3	5	38%	80.5	83.9	-3.4
5	Kaspiy Aktau	16	6	10	38%	74.2	82.6	-8.4
6	Aktobe	14	1	13	7%	74.6	93.4	-18.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	21	17	18	16	72
Astana	21	21	24	22	88

← all games of the day

Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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