Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Oct 2021

Tip-off: 12:30

Final 54-94

10-24 15-17 12-25 17-28

Position#4

Record2-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game88.0

Tobol Kostanay

Astana 🏆

Position#1

Record3-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game55.0

National League

Other2021-22

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Atyrau

62-79

-17

no box

A28/04

National League

Atyrau

78-92

-14

no box

A29/04

National League

Atyrau

83-104

104

-21

no box

H02/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

88-76

+12

no box

H10/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

72-80

-8

no box

H11/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

82-66

+16

no box

A15/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

81-74

no box

A16/05

National League

Aktobe

77-74

no box

H10/10

National League

Aktobe

92-90

no box

H11/10

National League

Astana

50-100

100

-50

no box

H22/10

National League

20-23

6-17

12-12

24-27

13-17

23-28

19-26

23-21

28-36

13-22

23-27

19-19

22-15

30-24

24-15

12-22

23-17

17-16

17-22

15-25

26-23

20-17

24-15

12-11

20-20

23-23

18-14

20-17

16-20

22-17

22-18

17-19

23-18

22-25

23-28

24-19

13-26

16-23

8-26

13-25

160.0Avg total

76.5Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	73.0	88.0	161.0	-15.0	67%
Season at home (3)	73.0	88.0	161.0	-15.0	67%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	76.5	83.5	160.0	-7.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	80.8	157.2	-4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	71.9	84.1	156.1	-12.2	29%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (16)	90.5	75.3	165.8	+15.2	88%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

85-52

+33

no box

A30/04

National League

Atyrau

95-89

no box

H07/05

National League

Atyrau

94-80

+14

no box

H08/05

National League

Atyrau

88-65

+23

no box

A12/05

National League

Atyrau

81-50

+31

no box

A26/09

National League

Atyrau

76-65

+11

no box

A27/09

National League

Zenit Petersburg

83-69

+14

82avg 71

A04/10

VTB United League

Nizhny Novgorod

73-76

-3

62avg 71

A10/10

VTB United League

Zielona Gora

#11

84-70

+14

82avg 71

H16/10

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

100-50

100

+50

no box

A22/10

National League

25-11

23-13

17-14

20-14

21-23

30-21

26-23

18-22

25-26

29-17

20-23

20-14

30-22

16-21

21-7

21-15

12-6

26-14

28-18

15-12

23-17

12-14

20-20

21-14

25-15

14-29

26-11

18-14

22-16

20-26

13-22

18-12

27-18

16-17

26-13

15-22

26-13

23-16

26-8

25-13

152.5Avg total

85.9Scored

66.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	85.7	55.0	140.7	+30.7	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (3)	85.7	55.0	140.7	+30.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.9	66.6	152.5	+19.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	66.0	149.2	+17.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	79.2	83.7	162.9	-4.5	20%
vs Similar (5)	71.8	82.4	154.2	-10.6	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	85.1	59.5	144.6	+25.7	93%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.6	21.9	44.4	+0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	22.9	21.8	44.6	+1.1	45%	-
Last 30 away (9)	21.9	22.1	44.0	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.5	41.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	15%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (16)	24.6	19.7	44.3	+4.9	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.6	17.9	41.4	+5.7	72%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	19.8	43.2	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.6	15.5	39.2	+8.1	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	16.7	40.3	+6.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	15.8	40.4	+8.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	70%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	25.9	16.5	42.4	+9.4	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	48%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.0	41.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.2	21.3	40.5	-2.2	31%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (16)	22.9	19.6	42.5	+3.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	19.4	40.2	+1.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.3	39.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.2	23.5	42.7	-4.3	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.4	21.4	36.8	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.7	15.9	39.6	+7.9	86%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

26-40

-14

A28/04

National League

Atyrau

36-45

-9

A29/04

National League

Atyrau

41-58

-17

H02/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

52-39

+13

H10/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

40-33

H11/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

46-40

A15/05

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

43-43

A16/05

National League

Aktobe

38-37

H10/10

National League

Aktobe

45-43

H11/10

National League

Astana

29-49

-20

H22/10

National League

82.3Avg total

39.6Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	43.8	42.2	86.0	+1.5	62%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	44.3	42.6	86.9	+1.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (9)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	42.7	82.3	-3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.4	82.6	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.2	45.8	85.0	-6.7	38%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (16)	47.5	39.3	86.8	+8.2	81%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kaspiy Aktau

48-24

+24

A30/04

National League

Atyrau

51-44

H07/05

National League

Atyrau

54-43

+11

H08/05

National League

Atyrau

46-43

A12/05

National League

Atyrau

38-20

+18

A26/09

National League

Atyrau

35-31

A27/09

National League

Zenit Petersburg

39-44

-5

A04/10

VTB United League

Nizhny Novgorod

42-42

A10/10

VTB United League

Zielona Gora

#11

43-35

H16/10

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

49-29

+20

A22/10

National League

80.0Avg total

44.5Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	44.3	37.3	81.6	+7.0	72%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	39.1	82.8	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.9	35.2	80.1	+9.8	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	35.5	80.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	36.2	77.8	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.5	42.1	82.6	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	37.0	41.6	78.6	-4.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	49.6	32.4	81.9	+17.2	100%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	41%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	20.9	19.9	40.9	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.2	21.5	38.8	-4.3	15%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (16)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	16.8	36.6	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	15.9	38.2	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	14.8	37.0	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.2	15.3	37.5	+6.9	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	19.9	39.4	-0.3	48%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	19.8	20.1	39.8	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.1	19.4	38.6	-0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.5	23.2	42.8	-3.7	23%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (16)	19.6	17.1	36.7	+2.4	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	15.2	34.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.0	34.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.8	25.2	41.0	-9.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.4	14.6	34.1	+4.8	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.7	39.4	79.1	+0.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (20)	40.7	40.0	80.7	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.3	38.2	75.6	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	40.8	77.7	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.4	74.6	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.8	44.8	81.5	-8.0	23%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (16)	42.0	35.1	77.1	+6.9	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	35.8	75.3	+3.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.6	36.1	74.7	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	35.5	76.0	+5.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	31.1	72.5	+10.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	29.8	71.4	+11.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.7	41.6	80.3	-2.9	30%	-
vs Similar (5)	34.8	40.8	75.6	-6.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	41.6	29.9	71.6	+11.7	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 78.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	21.0	59.5%	50.5%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.5	33.7%	30.4%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	15.5	11.4	73.5%	69.6%	11.4

They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	20.1	51.4%	50.5%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	10.0	36.5%	30.4%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	17.6	13.3	75.6%	69.6%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	18.7	52.2%	50.5%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.9	35.4%	30.4%	26.6
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.4	72.7%	69.6%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	20.5	52.4%	50.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.6	37.8%	30.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	15.3	77.2%	69.6%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
22/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	50-100
07/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	0-20
06/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	107-57
18/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	82-110
17/01/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	72-88
18/01/20	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	92-101
17/01/20	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	52-90
10/12/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	101-72
09/12/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	98-77
19/05/19	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	122-74

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/21	H	Astana	50-100
11/10/21	H	Aktobe	92-90
10/10/21	H	Aktobe	77-74
16/05/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	81-74
15/05/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	82-66
11/05/21	H	Kaspiy Aktau	72-80
10/05/21	H	Kaspiy Aktau	88-76
02/05/21	H	Atyrau	83-104
29/04/21	A	Atyrau	78-92
28/04/21	A	Atyrau	62-79

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/21	A	Tobol Kostanay	100-50
16/10/21	H	Zielona Gora	84-70
10/10/21	A	Nizhny Novgorod	73-76
04/10/21	A	Zenit Petersburg	83-69
27/09/21	A	Atyrau	76-65
26/09/21	A	Atyrau	81-50
12/05/21	A	Atyrau	88-65
08/05/21	H	Atyrau	94-80
07/05/21	H	Atyrau	95-89
30/04/21	A	Kaspiy Aktau	85-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2021-22

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	3	-
Win %	67%	67%	-
Points / game	73.0	73.0	-
Allowed / game	88.0	88.0	-
Point differential	-15.0	-15.0	-
Avg total	161.0	161.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

Astana

National League 2021-22

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	-	-
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	-	3
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	85.7	-	85.7
Allowed / game	55.0	-	55.0
Point differential	+30.7	-	+30.7
Avg total	140.7	-	140.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	3	3	0	100%	85.7	55.0	+30.7
2	Tobol Kostanay	3	2	1	67%	73.0	88.0	-15.0
3	Atyrau	4	2	2	50%	69.5	69.5	+0.0
4	Aktobe	2	0	2	0%	82.0	84.5	-2.5
5	Kaspiy Aktau	2	0	2	0%	60.5	81.5	-21.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	10	15	12	17	54
Astana	24	17	25	28	94

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Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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